Realized P&L
-$920
Unrealized P&L
-$85
Hit rate
77.7%
Resolved
3,050
Trades
11,286
lifetime
Volume
$809.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$72
Open exposure
$8.53K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 23:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 295 days
Categories
Other
50% 82% -$131
Politics
29% 69% -$473
Crypto
14% 74% -$213
Tech
6% 79% +$105
Sports
0% 50% -$240
Pop-Culture
0% 75% +$31
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 92 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +730 $665 96¢ $701 +$36 10-23 12:13
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No +600 $528 92¢ $549 +$21 08-20 03:21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October? No +500 $447 98¢ $490 +$43 10-21 13:00
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +600 $444 80¢ $477 +$33 10-24 10:20
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +500 $386 95¢ $476 +$90 10-25 20:21
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? No +500 $397 94¢ $470 +$73 06-05 09:28
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +500 $400 77¢ $385 -$15 10-18 21:01
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +400 $339 94¢ $374 +$35 10-25 02:49
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +500 $475 72¢ $358 -$118 09-17 17:46
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +400 $336 82¢ $326 -$10 09-08 16:16
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +500 $331 58¢ $292 -$38 09-05 21:32
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +300 $229 96¢ $290 +$61 10-24 01:47
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? No +300 $274 96¢ $289 +$15 10-20 07:06
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +305 $278 93¢ $283 +$5 10-27 05:28
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? No +300 $218 73¢ $219 +$1 10-24 16:57
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 Yes +600 $538 35¢ $210 -$328 08-03 16:36
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +200 $174 98¢ $196 +$22 10-25 18:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October? No +200 $180 96¢ $192 +$12 10-24 13:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? No +200 $182 96¢ $192 +$10 10-05 14:40
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +200 $137 94¢ $189 +$52 10-19 20:33
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +200 $174 94¢ $188 +$14 10-27 19:58
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +200 $172 92¢ $183 +$11 10-07 03:48
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +200 $181 87¢ $175 -$6 10-21 07:51
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +400 $296 44¢ $174 -$122 09-21 11:16
will openais valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 574 287 No +200 $163 86¢ $172 +$9 10-19 23:32
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? No +200 $162 78¢ $157 -$5 10-19 07:47
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Yes +200 $150 74¢ $148 -$2 10-27 15:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? No +200 $133 70¢ $139 +$6 10-26 20:53
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +200 $126 64¢ $129 +$3 10-26 18:35
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797 Yes +111 $100 96¢ $107 +$7 09-18 17:53