Realized P&L
+$201
Unrealized P&L
+$54
Hit rate
70.7%
Resolved
30
Trades
124
lifetime
Volume
$2.42K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$111
4 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 08-25 01:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Other
95% 48% +$151
Crypto
3% 50% +$13
Sports
2% 100% +$43
Politics
1% 17% -$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No +100 $15 68¢ $68 +$54 08-25 01:55
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +300 $10 12¢ $37 +$27 08-02 00:34
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December? Yes +221 $29 2¢ $5 -$25 06-23 09:01
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? Yes +15 $2 2¢ $0 -$2 04-29 00:01