Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$8,000 in December?
open
Total volume
$5,448
Trades
353
Unique wallets
102
Liquidity
$12,297
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-04-29
last 11-05 17:06
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+4.1¢
(top1%: 36% YES on $1.8K
vs crowd: 32% YES on $4.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 22 | $76 | $419 | $343 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 23 | $598 | $1.3K | $675 |
| 🐟 Fish | 31 | $415 | $939 | $524 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 26 | $201 | $143 | +$59 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 32 | $657 | $1.2K | $518 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 14 | $18 | $610 | $591 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $44 | $97 | $53 |
| Median | 9 | $20 | $9 | +$11 |
| Below median | 18 | $120 | $139 | $19 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 12 | $197 | $515 | $318 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $220 | $181 | +$39 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $13 | $47 | $34 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dimpled-Foal 0x3764…c5eb | Yes | +1,631 | $489 | $489 | 2 | 08-05 13:45 |
| Ultimate-Sprat 0xef7e…e1b1 | No | +570 | $399 | $399 | 2 | 08-04 19:12 |
| Unsightly-Puma 0x978e…80bc | Yes | +340 | $100 | $100 | 13 | 08-24 08:49 |
| Instructive-Pagoda 0xb5b6…1fda | No | +318 | $225 | $225 | 3 | 10-30 14:35 |
| Sympathetic-Count 0x43a0…0d5c | Yes | +280 | $133 | $133 | 6 | 08-11 00:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xa8da…d488 | Yes | +265 | $32 | $32 | 3 | 05-26 17:03 |
| Whimsical-Seller 0x808a…ef3f | No | +231 | $166 | $166 | 2 | 11-03 15:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e9f…91db | Yes | +222 | $109 | $109 | 2 | 09-09 15:39 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +215 | $113 | $113 | 7 | 10-15 14:12 |
| Worthless-Bank 0x70f8…7fb5 | No | +139 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 09-17 15:25 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +107 | $83 | $83 | 5 | 10-15 13:50 |
| Finished-Pad 0x7172…102a | No | +100 | $80 | $80 | 2 | 06-01 07:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x9e0b…663c | No | +100 | $75 | $75 | 1 | 08-03 20:56 |
| Nutty-Impostor 0x24fb…973e | Yes | +98 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-29 05:28 |
| Sophisticated-Facility 0xa6fc…eccb | Yes | +97 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 05-27 18:33 |
| Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | +80 | $52 | $52 | 7 | 08-07 19:28 |
| Greedy-Neighbourhood 0x6ffd…a637 | No | +53 | $33 | $33 | 2 | 09-14 08:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | +51 | $37 | $37 | 3 | 10-29 22:24 |
| Concerned-Wing 0x5874…05f7 | No | +51 | $28 | $44 | 7 | 09-01 18:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x636e…d4aa | Yes | +50 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 21:17 |
| Swift-Stuff 0x2df9…effb | No | +45 | $32 | $32 | 9 | 11-05 17:06 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +40 | $10 | $32 | 8 | 10-05 18:47 |
| 0xfb9d38cac5c3b0936413b78f30664d3c224bd78e 0xfb9d…d78e | No | +34 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 10-05 17:17 |
| Strong-Exit 0xfe2d…da35 | No | +34 | $19 | $19 | 4 | 10-14 23:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x1bec…33c9 | No | +30 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 10-15 13:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xd2ad…6835 | Yes | +29 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-27 20:11 |
| Indolent-Ceiling 0x4e48…a96d | No | +27 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 08-03 22:36 |
| Feline-Department 0x671a…2f1e | No | +25 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 10-29 21:56 |
| Ornery-Hello 0x5136…0e4f | No | +25 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 10-29 21:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x9be9…c030 | No | +25 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 10-29 21:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +24 | $17 | $17 | 4 | 11-02 19:49 |
| 0xfb9d38cac5c3b0936413b78f30664d3c224bd78e 0xfb9d…d78e | Yes | +23 | $6 | $6 | 4 | 07-28 06:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x9e24…7e71 | No | +22 | $16 | $16 | 3 | 11-04 05:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | +22 | $14 | $14 | 4 | 10-29 21:56 |
| Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | +20 | $14 | $14 | 3 | 10-29 22:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | +19 | $1 | $23 | 11 | 11-05 17:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x3d6f…e4b0 | Yes | +18 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-22 07:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x2213…e5de | Yes | +17 | $3 | $17 | 9 | 10-31 12:13 |
| Useful-Cleric 0xf6f6…0e74 | No | +17 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 10-29 22:18 |
| Pristine-Soul 0x5edc…bbad | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-03 15:26 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +14 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 08-07 19:28 |
| Odd-Relish 0xe2b4…3c5a | No | +12 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 07-02 07:37 |
| Arctic-Coverall 0x48de…2c40 | Yes | +12 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-30 22:48 |
| Minor-Vanilla 0xe381…3ba9 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-03 15:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x3bc4…2d14 | Yes | +10 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 10-13 13:24 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 10-14 23:26 |
| Glass-Typewriter 0xa49b…7054 | Yes | +8 | -$3 | $61 | 10 | 09-09 15:39 |
| Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | +8 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 10-14 23:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xe159…a9c2 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-03 04:12 |
| Evergreen-Frequency 0x2e3d…6aa1 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-14 23:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x0494…2b2a | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-29 01:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x2d21…6dfe | Yes | +4 | $2 | $8 | 3 | 08-12 17:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +2 | $1 | $25 | 6 | 09-17 18:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x6aca…cbe9 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-01 02:23 |
| Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | Yes | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-06 10:32 |
| Greedy-Neighbourhood 0x6ffd…a637 | Yes | +1 | -$28 | $138 | 13 | 08-24 08:49 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-05 17:06:06 | Swift-Stuff 0x2df9…effb | No | BUY | 10 | 79¢ | $8 | 0x9a227f… |
| 11-05 17:06:06 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x9a227f… |
| 11-05 17:06:06 | (anonymous) 0x4cfe…2a1d | No | SELL | 0 | 76¢ | $0 | 0x9a227f… |
| 11-04 05:10:25 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x8e61f8… |
| 11-04 05:10:25 | (anonymous) 0x9e24…7e71 | No | BUY | 7 | 72¢ | $5 | 0x8e61f8… |
| 11-03 15:36:30 | Whimsical-Seller 0x808a…ef3f | No | BUY | 110 | 72¢ | $79 | 0x82b758… |
| 11-03 15:36:30 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 28¢ | $0 | 0x82b758… |
| 11-03 15:36:30 | Heavy-Gentleman 0x7e01…63be | No | SELL | 110 | 72¢ | $79 | 0x82b758… |
| 11-03 14:37:45 | Whimsical-Seller 0x808a…ef3f | No | BUY | 121 | 72¢ | $87 | 0x61ed44… |
| 11-03 14:37:45 | Heavy-Gentleman 0x7e01…63be | No | SELL | 121 | 72¢ | $87 | 0x61ed44… |
| 11-02 19:49:09 | Heavy-Gentleman 0x7e01…63be | No | SELL | 7 | 72¢ | $5 | 0xbaf9e5… |
| 11-02 19:49:09 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 7 | 72¢ | $5 | 0xbaf9e5… |
| 11-02 19:48:16 | Heavy-Gentleman 0x7e01…63be | No | SELL | 3 | 72¢ | $2 | 0x98441c… |
| 11-02 19:48:16 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 3 | 72¢ | $2 | 0x98441c… |
| 10-31 12:13:55 | (anonymous) 0x9e24…7e71 | No | BUY | 8 | 71¢ | $6 | 0x6156ed… |
| 10-31 12:13:55 | (anonymous) 0x2213…e5de | Yes | BUY | 8 | 29¢ | $2 | 0x6156ed… |
| 10-30 22:48:37 | (anonymous) 0x2213…e5de | Yes | SELL | 8 | 41¢ | $3 | 0xdecb2d… |
| 10-30 22:48:37 | Arctic-Coverall 0x48de…2c40 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 41¢ | $5 | 0xdecb2d… |
| 10-30 22:48:37 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 41¢ | $2 | 0xdecb2d… |
| 10-30 22:20:21 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 29¢ | $2 | 0x2838eb… |
| 10-30 22:20:21 | (anonymous) 0x9e24…7e71 | No | BUY | 8 | 71¢ | $5 | 0x2838eb… |
| 10-30 17:57:36 | Whimsical-Seller 0x808a…ef3f | Yes | SELL | 26 | 28¢ | $7 | 0xcc5066… |
| 10-30 17:57:36 | Heavy-Gentleman 0x7e01…63be | No | SELL | 26 | 72¢ | $19 | 0xcc5066… |
| 10-30 17:15:52 | Illustrious-Package 0xa48c…3093 | No | BUY | 7 | 72¢ | $5 | 0x22db7a… |
| 10-30 17:15:52 | Heavy-Gentleman 0x7e01…63be | No | SELL | 7 | 72¢ | $5 | 0x22db7a… |
| 10-30 14:35:55 | Heavy-Gentleman 0x7e01…63be | No | SELL | 63 | 72¢ | $45 | 0x3c8eef… |
| 10-30 14:35:55 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 29¢ | $2 | 0x3c8eef… |
| 10-30 14:35:55 | Instructive-Pagoda 0xb5b6…1fda | No | BUY | 70 | 72¢ | $50 | 0x3c8eef… |
| 10-29 22:24:00 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 11 | 72¢ | $8 | 0x065b9a… |
| 10-29 22:24:00 | Heavy-Gentleman 0x7e01…63be | No | SELL | 11 | 72¢ | $8 | 0x065b9a… |
| 10-29 22:18:07 | Heavy-Gentleman 0x7e01…63be | No | SELL | 17 | 72¢ | $12 | 0x150a90… |
| 10-29 22:18:07 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 7 | 72¢ | $5 | 0x1f2b79… |
| 10-29 22:18:07 | Heavy-Gentleman 0x7e01…63be | No | SELL | 7 | 72¢ | $5 | 0x1f2b79… |
| 10-29 22:18:07 | Heavy-Gentleman 0x7e01…63be | No | SELL | 30 | 72¢ | $22 | 0x75171e… |
| 10-29 22:18:07 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 30 | 72¢ | $22 | 0x75171e… |
| 10-29 22:18:07 | Useful-Cleric 0xf6f6…0e74 | No | BUY | 17 | 72¢ | $12 | 0x150a90… |
| 10-29 21:56:25 | Ornery-Hello 0x5136…0e4f | No | BUY | 25 | 72¢ | $18 | 0x9753b7… |
| 10-29 21:56:25 | Feline-Department 0x671a…2f1e | No | BUY | 16 | 72¢ | $12 | 0xe6dbc3… |
| 10-29 21:56:25 | (anonymous) 0x9be9…c030 | No | BUY | 25 | 72¢ | $18 | 0xf8288a… |
| 10-29 21:56:25 | Feline-Department 0x671a…2f1e | No | BUY | 9 | 72¢ | $6 | 0xb8d499… |
| 10-29 21:56:25 | Heavy-Gentleman 0x7e01…63be | No | SELL | 9 | 72¢ | $6 | 0xb8d499… |
| 10-29 21:56:25 | Heavy-Gentleman 0x7e01…63be | No | SELL | 16 | 72¢ | $12 | 0xe6dbc3… |
| 10-29 21:56:25 | Heavy-Gentleman 0x7e01…63be | No | SELL | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x126629… |
| 10-29 21:56:25 | (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | BUY | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x126629… |
| 10-29 21:56:25 | Heavy-Gentleman 0x7e01…63be | No | SELL | 25 | 72¢ | $18 | 0xf8288a… |
| 10-29 21:56:25 | Heavy-Gentleman 0x7e01…63be | No | SELL | 25 | 72¢ | $18 | 0x9753b7… |
| 10-28 08:11:26 | Heavy-Gentleman 0x7e01…63be | No | SELL | 7 | 72¢ | $5 | 0x6e4dc6… |
| 10-28 08:11:26 | Elegant-Guacamole 0x7dd1…a7f6 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x6e4dc6… |
| 10-28 06:44:58 | Upset-Government 0xc4c7…3aeb | Yes | SELL | 1 | 28¢ | $0 | 0x755472… |
| 10-28 06:44:58 | Heavy-Gentleman 0x7e01…63be | No | SELL | 1 | 72¢ | $1 | 0x755472… |
| 10-24 11:56:50 | (anonymous) 0x2213…e5de | Yes | BUY | 7 | 29¢ | $2 | 0xe94416… |
| 10-24 11:56:50 | Heavy-Gentleman 0x7e01…63be | No | SELL | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0xe94416… |
| 10-24 11:56:50 | Excellent-Switching 0xca16…31d9 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 29¢ | $4 | 0xe94416… |
| 10-21 11:52:02 | (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | BUY | 8 | 71¢ | $6 | 0x0c595c… |
| 10-21 11:52:02 | (anonymous) 0x2213…e5de | Yes | BUY | 2 | 29¢ | $0 | 0x0c595c… |
| 10-20 13:29:42 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 29¢ | $3 | 0x0f1ba8… |
| 10-20 13:29:42 | (anonymous) 0xdde0…68f3 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 29¢ | $3 | 0x0f1ba8… |
| 10-20 01:05:50 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 51¢ | $10 | 0x09da84… |
| 10-20 01:05:50 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 48¢ | $7 | 0x09da84… |
| 10-20 01:05:50 | Personal-Pinecone 0x1914…36f9 | No | SELL | 42 | 51¢ | $21 | 0x09da84… |
| 10-20 01:05:50 | (anonymous) 0x2213…e5de | Yes | SELL | 8 | 48¢ | $4 | 0x09da84… |
| 10-15 14:12:35 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 10 | 72¢ | $7 | 0x9c32ae… |
| 10-15 14:12:35 | Heavy-Gentleman 0x7e01…63be | No | SELL | 10 | 72¢ | $7 | 0x9c32ae… |
| 10-15 14:12:35 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 29¢ | $2 | 0xbafa56… |
| 10-15 14:12:35 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 40 | 72¢ | $29 | 0xbafa56… |
| 10-15 14:12:35 | Heavy-Gentleman 0x7e01…63be | No | SELL | 33 | 72¢ | $24 | 0xbafa56… |
| 10-15 13:50:19 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 29¢ | $7 | 0xcd76ad… |
| 10-15 13:50:19 | (anonymous) 0x1bec…33c9 | No | BUY | 22 | 71¢ | $16 | 0xcd76ad… |
| 10-15 13:50:17 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0x93c291… |
| 10-15 13:50:17 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 29¢ | $3 | 0xb6dfe1… |
| 10-15 13:50:17 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x93c291… |
| 10-15 13:50:17 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 10 | 71¢ | $7 | 0xb6dfe1… |
| 10-14 23:34:04 | Heavy-Gentleman 0x7e01…63be | No | SELL | 1 | 72¢ | $1 | 0x0b79ad… |
| 10-14 23:34:04 | (anonymous) 0xa06e…d147 | No | BUY | 1 | 72¢ | $1 | 0x0b79ad… |
| 10-14 23:33:28 | (anonymous) 0x1bec…33c9 | No | BUY | 8 | 72¢ | $6 | 0x1f12bc… |
| 10-14 23:33:28 | Heavy-Gentleman 0x7e01…63be | No | SELL | 8 | 72¢ | $6 | 0xf1dadf… |
| 10-14 23:33:28 | Heavy-Gentleman 0x7e01…63be | No | SELL | 8 | 72¢ | $6 | 0xce9463… |
| 10-14 23:33:28 | Heavy-Gentleman 0x7e01…63be | No | SELL | 8 | 72¢ | $6 | 0x1f12bc… |
| 10-14 23:33:28 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 9 | 72¢ | $6 | 0x75d00f… |
| 10-14 23:33:28 | Heavy-Gentleman 0x7e01…63be | No | SELL | 9 | 72¢ | $6 | 0x75d00f… |
| 10-14 23:33:28 | Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | BUY | 8 | 72¢ | $6 | 0xf1dadf… |
| 10-14 23:33:28 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 8 | 72¢ | $6 | 0xce9463… |
| 10-14 23:26:45 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 30¢ | $1 | 0x072ea4… |
| 10-14 23:26:45 | Heavy-Gentleman 0x7e01…63be | No | SELL | 6 | 72¢ | $5 | 0x8002c1… |
| 10-14 23:26:45 | Evergreen-Frequency 0x2e3d…6aa1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x072ea4… |
| 10-14 23:26:45 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 10 | 71¢ | $7 | 0x8002c1… |
| 10-14 23:26:45 | Strong-Exit 0xfe2d…da35 | No | BUY | 8 | 69¢ | $6 | 0x072ea4… |
| 10-14 23:26:45 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 30¢ | $1 | 0x8002c1… |
| 10-13 13:24:13 | (anonymous) 0x3bc4…2d14 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 55¢ | $6 | 0xb47eb8… |
| 10-13 13:24:13 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 55¢ | $6 | 0xb47eb8… |
| 10-07 04:45:09 | Evergreen-Frequency 0x2e3d…6aa1 | No | BUY | 5 | 47¢ | $2 | 0xc8f549… |
| 10-07 04:45:09 | (anonymous) 0xdde0…68f3 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 53¢ | $5 | 0xc8f549… |
| 10-07 04:45:09 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 53¢ | $2 | 0xc8f549… |
| 10-05 18:47:17 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 132 | 33¢ | $44 | 0x00bbfb… |
| 10-05 18:47:17 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 36¢ | $14 | 0x00bbfb… |
| 10-05 18:47:17 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x00bbfb… |
| 10-05 18:47:17 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 63¢ | $19 | 0x00bbfb… |
| 10-05 18:47:17 | (anonymous) 0x2213…e5de | Yes | BUY | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x00bbfb… |
| 10-05 18:47:17 | Heavy-Gentleman 0x7e01…63be | No | SELL | 23 | 72¢ | $16 | 0x00bbfb… |
| 10-05 18:47:17 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 29¢ | $8 | 0x00bbfb… |