Realized P&L
-$81
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
45.7%
Resolved
118
Trades
230
lifetime
Volume
$414
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$10
8 positions
First seen
2026-04-15
last 05-04 17:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 39 days
Categories
Politics
36% 46% -$11
Other
26% 30% -$17
Crypto
22% 14% -$37
Sports
14% 20% -$8
Tech
2% 0% -$10
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-04).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No -9 -$2 92¢ $-8 -$6 04-28 14:29
X banned in any European country by December 31? Yes +5 $2 11¢ $1 -$1 04-28 20:51
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? Yes -5 -$1 5¢ $-0 +$1 05-01 17:34
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027? Yes -106 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$1 05-01 17:34
Ripple Labs IPO before 2027? Yes -7 $0 3¢ $-0 +$0 05-01 17:35
Will BP be acquired before 2027? Yes -5 -$1 3¢ $-0 +$1 05-01 17:35
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch? Yes -5 -$1 3¢ $-0 +$1 05-01 17:35
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? Yes -5 -$2 2¢ $-0 +$1 05-01 17:34