Realized P&L
-$293
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
62.0%
Resolved
1,473
Trades
2,030
lifetime
Volume
$6.58K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$89
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-15
last 10-29 15:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 173 days
Categories
Crypto
58% 50% -$266
Other
29% 71% -$45
Politics
7% 79% +$8
Sports
6% 63% +$11
Tech
1% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -6 -$5 96¢ $-6 -$1 05-31 09:33
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -7 -$5 84¢ $-6 -$1 05-31 10:19
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M? Yes +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 10-28 17:14
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 10-27 12:07
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 10-26 02:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 10-26 02:07
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 10-26 04:08
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 10-25 17:07
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 10-27 17:07
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 10-27 00:07
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M? Yes +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 10-28 23:13
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 $0 10-29 13:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 10-26 03:07
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-25 14:23
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-27 20:07
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? No +6 $5 83¢ $5 $0 10-29 14:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? No +5 $5 85¢ $4 -$1 10-28 17:14
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +5 $5 34¢ $2 -$3 10-26 23:07
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +5 $5 34¢ $2 -$3 10-28 03:07
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +0 $0 3¢ $0 $0 05-28 02:29