(anonymous) 0x1becb6…e533c9
4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$130
Unrealized P&L
+$760
Hit rate
93.6%
Resolved
488
Trades
1,325
lifetime
Volume
$26.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$2.21K
28 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-26 22:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 22 days
Categories
Other
77% 81% -$209
Politics
13% 84% +$357
Sports
6% 71% -$5
Tech
2% 90% -$16
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$3
Crypto
0% 83% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 171 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? No +1,310 $241 83¢ $1.1K +$845 10-19 06:55
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026? No +165 $155 96¢ $158 +$3 10-09 01:23
Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +136 $136 99¢ $136 $0 10-14 04:22
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No +131 $112 83¢ $109 -$3 10-14 10:42
Will LYON win Worlds 2026? No +89 $89 98¢ $87 -$1 10-16 23:57
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +90 $80 90¢ $81 +$0 10-13 22:44
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? No +75 $71 95¢ $71 $0 10-18 02:25
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No +69 $56 88¢ $61 +$5 10-14 10:42
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? No +62 $58 93¢ $58 -$1 10-07 21:56
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +49 $35 91¢ $44 +$10 10-12 04:21
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +43 $43 100¢ $43 +$0 10-18 05:39
Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +34 $34 100¢ $34 $0 10-15 16:09
Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +34 $34 100¢ $34 +$0 10-14 04:22
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +494 $124 6¢ $30 -$94 10-15 08:08
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +27 $27 100¢ $27 $0 10-19 14:04
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +28 $26 94¢ $27 +$0 10-22 03:11
Will Anyone's Legend win Worlds 2026? No +26 $25 100¢ $26 +$1 10-11 00:02
Will Kendrick Lamar be the top artist for 2026? No +18 $18 100¢ $18 $0 10-17 23:01
Will Michael Harris II win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award? No +18 $17 96¢ $17 $0 10-09 04:40
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +68 $14 25¢ $17 +$3 10-14 15:12
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027? No +14 $14 100¢ $14 $0 10-07 04:32
Will CTBC Flying Oyster win Worlds 2026? No +12 $12 100¢ $12 $0 10-15 15:41
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +11 $10 90¢ $10 +$0 10-26 03:32
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +7 $6 95¢ $6 $0 10-19 17:17
Will the Republican Party win the TX-06 House seat? No +364 $1 1¢ $4 +$3 10-19 08:49
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? No +24 $3 14¢ $3 +$0 10-10 06:03
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? No +26 $11 3¢ $1 -$10 10-16 00:49
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No +130 $2 1¢ $1 -$1 10-17 17:39