Upset-Government — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

35.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$15

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-07 10:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 20% $-4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down		+1	$1	70¢	$1	$-0	05-07 10:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	1	$5	0	6	-6	Down	$-1	05-06 07:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	3	$5	6	10	-4	Up	+$1	05-07 05:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	2	$2	4	1	+3	Down	$-1	05-07 06:03
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-07 05:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$1	50	0	+50	Down	$-1	05-07 06:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-07 10:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 10:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1bccdb…
05-07 06:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xfa41a3…
05-07 06:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0xa2988a…
05-07 06:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x496126…
05-07 05:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xefb32f…
05-07 05:53:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0xd17ab1…
05-07 05:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x92a347…
05-07 05:28:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x7e4397…
05-06 07:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0x3646cc…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	6	$2.84K	64	05-07 10:15
Mad-Plot 0x2709…20f5	5	$538	49	05-07 10:12
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	4	$5.40K	27	05-07 10:14
Vengeful-Utilization 0x652c…2af0	4	$1.30K	9	05-07 10:13
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	4	$1.06K	20	05-07 10:12
Even-Mutton 0xe8fb…a72f	3	$891	3	05-07 10:12
Warped-Trip 0x1970…ae4b	3	$863	3	05-07 10:12
Impressionable-Captor 0x0066…5bb9	3	$769	3	05-07 10:12