Upset-Government — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$271

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.1%

Resolved

4,089

Trades

9,828

lifetime

Volume

$23.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-06

last 10-27 07:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 173 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 64% -$257

Other

3% 57% -$13

Politics

0% 33% +$0

Sports

0% 50% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 314 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 06:00 UTC	6	$180	185	185	+0	Down	+$76	06-22 06:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 02:25 UTC	5	$145	154	154	+0	Down	+$21	06-23 02:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 01:25 UTC	9	$134	169	85	+84	Up	-$26	06-24 01:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 01:35 UTC	6	$115	97	97	+0	Down	+$11	06-24 01:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 14:25 UTC	8	$113	122	122	+0	Down	-$27	06-22 14:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 00:50 UTC	7	$110	122	58	+63	Down	+$6	06-24 00:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 14:30 UTC	9	$109	133	133	+0	Up	-$11	06-22 14:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 07:20 UTC	3	$104	86	71	+15	Down	+$24	06-23 07:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 08:40 UTC	7	$103	115	115	+0	Up	+$12	06-23 08:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 03:00 UTC	8	$103	102	92	+10	Up	+$29	06-24 03:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 07:15 UTC	3	$90	111	40	+71	Up	-$10	06-23 07:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 03:45 UTC	5	$86	61	61	+0	Up	+$12	06-22 03:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 02:20 UTC	5	$81	87	80	+7	Up	+$1	06-23 02:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 00:40 UTC	7	$78	75	43	+32	Down	+$8	06-24 00:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 01:05 UTC	8	$75	85	42	+44	Up	+$7	06-24 01:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 03:35 UTC	4	$70	52	52	+0	Down	+$8	06-22 03:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 10:05 UTC	6	$69	73	73	+0	Down	+$7	06-23 10:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 00:55 UTC	8	$69	79	35	+44	Up	+$1	06-24 00:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 09:55 UTC	6	$69	56	56	+0	Up	+$15	06-22 09:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 10:10 UTC	5	$69	72	34	+38	Up	-$1	06-23 10:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 14:40 UTC	4	$68	61	61	+0	Down	+$8	06-22 14:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 02:35 UTC	7	$68	55	37	+18	Down	+$6	06-24 02:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 01:10 UTC	7	$66	62	62	+0	Up	-$4	06-24 01:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 01:00 UTC	7	$64	74	34	+40	Down	+$2	06-24 01:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 01:40 UTC	5	$64	50	50	+0	Down	+$4	06-24 01:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 06:55 UTC	3	$63	41	41	+0	Down	+$17	06-24 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	4	$61	56	36	+20	Down	+$9	10-26 01:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 09:05 UTC	6	$61	62	62	+0	Down	+$3	06-23 09:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 14:35 UTC	3	$56	63	28	+35	Down	-$4	06-22 14:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 03:40 UTC	2	$55	38	38	+0	Down	+$15	06-24 03:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 07:27:47	Pan Pacific Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Himeno Sakatsume	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6f7fb4…
10-27 07:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xbeeb8a…
10-27 07:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x1f11ef…
10-27 07:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x5c426f…
10-27 07:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x96c71e…
10-27 06:48:48	Swiss Indoors Basel: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Arthur Fils	Arthur Fils	SELL	6	76¢	$5	0x659e43…
10-27 06:48:32	Pan Pacific Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Himeno Sakatsume	Leylah Fernandez	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x967e37…
10-27 06:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	13	71¢	$9	0x8cfac2…
10-27 06:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0xf1ed95…
10-27 06:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0x5810da…
10-27 06:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x289cdd…
10-27 06:19:47	Pan Pacific Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Himeno Sakatsume	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x884bc4…
10-27 05:44:36	Pan Pacific Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Nikola Bartunkova	Nikola Bartunkova	SELL	8	48¢	$4	0x684110…
10-27 05:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	12	83¢	$10	0xa389ee…
10-27 05:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0x72bd73…
10-27 04:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0x9de6ec…
10-27 04:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x8436d5…
10-27 03:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0x979af2…
10-27 03:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xd8e874…
10-27 03:51:06	Pan Pacific Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Maria Sakkari	Maria Sakkari	SELL	7	48¢	$3	0xdf9dbb…
10-27 03:42:27	Pan Pacific Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Maria Sakkari	Maria Sakkari	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xe3903d…
10-27 03:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	12	88¢	$11	0x452b0a…
10-27 03:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x6103f0…
10-27 02:40:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	22	92¢	$21	0x3a3f82…
10-27 02:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x28b591…
10-27 02:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	13	84¢	$11	0x305a17…
10-27 02:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x6db7a7…
10-27 02:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	4	91¢	$3	0xfc2277…
10-27 02:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x4b5c95…
10-27 02:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xf78dba…
10-27 02:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x8e3868…
10-27 02:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	8	93¢	$8	0x4646a3…
10-27 02:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x178ea4…
10-27 02:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x403277…
10-27 02:13:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	15	9¢	$1	0x09a1af…
10-27 02:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x9961a0…
10-27 02:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x20b6b3…
10-26 17:07:47	Erste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Lukas Neumayer	Jakub Mensik	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x2af25a…
10-26 16:34:36	Swiss Indoors Basel: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Arthur Fils	Arthur Fils	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xfefc17…
10-26 16:10:38	Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur	Alex de Minaur	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xc1a406…
10-26 12:04:36	Pan Pacific Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Nikola Bartunkova	Nikola Bartunkova	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xc02431…
10-26 09:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xc0b16a…
10-26 09:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xe59629…
10-26 09:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	90¢	$2	0xfd45d7…
10-26 09:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x367c8a…
10-26 09:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	12	61¢	$7	0x09575a…
10-26 09:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x868b98…
10-26 09:42:06	Pan Pacific Open: Alexandra Eala vs Mika Stojsavljevic	Alexandra Eala	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf3a85f…
10-26 08:16:38	Pan Pacific Open: Alexandra Eala vs Mika Stojsavljevic	Alexandra Eala	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa1c5b0…
10-26 05:42:36	Pan Pacific Open: Moyuka Uchijima vs Elise Mertens	Elise Mertens	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x1ccc66…
10-26 04:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0xf4b778…
10-26 04:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xeb6c9b…
10-26 04:13:44	Erste Bank Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Grigor Dimitrov	Flavio Cobolli	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xebef96…
10-26 04:13:26	Swiss Indoors Basel: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Casper Ruud	Casper Ruud	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0xf10d8a…
10-26 04:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	16	1¢	$0	0x6e698b…
10-26 04:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x350ca0…
10-26 04:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x95ae9a…
10-26 04:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x041fbd…
10-26 04:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x878af9…
10-26 04:07:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x8a0b69…
10-26 03:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x278a6c…
10-26 03:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xb11969…
10-26 03:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0xa54832…
10-26 03:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xd5b2c5…
10-26 03:45:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	18	74¢	$14	0xe183f4…
10-26 03:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x918459…
10-26 02:51:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x32bdf1…
10-26 02:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x1ce050…
10-26 01:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0x608fc3…
10-26 01:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x3a02ba…
10-26 01:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xabf462…
10-26 01:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x519479…
10-26 01:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x2df65f…
10-26 01:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	SELL	27	85¢	$23	0xca8ba4…
10-26 01:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x732f57…
10-26 01:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	36	98¢	$35	0x939ef3…
10-26 01:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x5b4924…
10-26 01:16:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xd211bf…
10-26 01:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xa973cc…
10-26 01:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x8bfbb5…
10-26 00:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x188b5a…
10-26 00:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2b05cf…
10-26 00:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x734359…
10-26 00:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa8fa18…
10-26 00:51:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x91b7ec…
10-26 00:51:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	90¢	$2	0xce441f…
10-26 00:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xec8165…
10-26 00:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	84¢	$2	0x841784…
10-26 00:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x4fbd6c…
10-26 00:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0x7ac8cb…
10-26 00:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x9125b8…
10-25 21:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0x0d3f37…
10-25 21:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x6acb37…
10-25 21:22:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xf4569b…
10-25 21:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x058366…
10-25 14:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	84¢	$2	0xfec6b8…
10-25 14:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x2665f1…
10-25 14:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x44c693…
10-25 14:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xfbfa9f…
10-25 14:09:45	Swiss Indoors Basel: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Casper Ruud	Casper Ruud	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xf5bd37…