Upset-Government — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.0%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

149

9,982 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$218

$23.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-06

last 11-01 08:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 178 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 63% -$264

Other

3% 57% -$16

Politics

0% 33% +$0

Sports

0% 50% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 314 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 06:00 UTC	6	$180	185	185	+0	Down	+$76	06-22 06:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 02:25 UTC	5	$145	154	154	+0	Down	+$21	06-23 02:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 01:25 UTC	9	$134	169	85	+84	Up	-$26	06-24 01:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 01:35 UTC	6	$115	97	97	+0	Down	+$11	06-24 01:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 14:25 UTC	8	$113	122	122	+0	Down	-$27	06-22 14:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 00:50 UTC	7	$110	122	58	+63	Down	+$6	06-24 00:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 14:30 UTC	9	$109	133	133	+0	Up	-$11	06-22 14:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 07:20 UTC	3	$104	86	71	+15	Down	+$24	06-23 07:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 08:40 UTC	7	$103	115	115	+0	Up	+$12	06-23 08:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 03:00 UTC	8	$103	102	92	+10	Up	+$29	06-24 03:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 07:15 UTC	3	$90	111	40	+71	Up	-$10	06-23 07:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 03:45 UTC	5	$86	61	61	+0	Up	+$12	06-22 03:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 02:20 UTC	5	$81	87	80	+7	Up	+$1	06-23 02:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 00:40 UTC	7	$78	75	43	+32	Down	+$8	06-24 00:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 01:05 UTC	8	$75	85	42	+44	Up	+$7	06-24 01:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 03:35 UTC	4	$70	52	52	+0	Down	+$8	06-22 03:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 10:05 UTC	6	$69	73	73	+0	Down	+$7	06-23 10:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 00:55 UTC	8	$69	79	35	+44	Up	+$1	06-24 00:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 09:55 UTC	6	$69	56	56	+0	Up	+$15	06-22 09:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 10:10 UTC	5	$69	72	34	+38	Up	-$1	06-23 10:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 14:40 UTC	4	$68	61	61	+0	Down	+$8	06-22 14:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 02:35 UTC	7	$68	55	37	+18	Down	+$6	06-24 02:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 01:10 UTC	7	$66	62	62	+0	Up	-$4	06-24 01:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 01:00 UTC	7	$64	74	34	+40	Down	+$2	06-24 01:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 01:40 UTC	5	$64	50	50	+0	Down	+$4	06-24 01:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 06:55 UTC	3	$63	41	41	+0	Down	+$17	06-24 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	4	$61	56	36	+20	Down	+$9	10-26 01:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 09:05 UTC	6	$61	62	62	+0	Down	+$3	06-23 09:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 14:35 UTC	3	$56	63	28	+35	Down	-$4	06-22 14:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 03:40 UTC	2	$55	38	38	+0	Down	+$15	06-24 03:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 08:06:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	16¢	$0	0xc150ef…
11-01 08:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb549e3…
10-31 15:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x8f5a9c…
10-31 15:25:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xa967f5…
10-31 15:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x58a8c5…
10-31 15:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xfefb48…
10-31 12:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x4b5adb…
10-31 12:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x75a451…
10-31 11:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x7ed608…
10-31 11:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xc0ca92…
10-31 10:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0x1ef104…
10-31 10:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x32aa99…
10-31 10:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xf8bfa3…
10-31 10:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x8ea71e…
10-31 06:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0x28d0a0…
10-31 06:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	51¢	$2	0xb2503a…
10-31 06:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0xdabc22…
10-31 06:34:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xf70cac…
10-31 06:34:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x291cee…
10-31 06:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xcb0425…
10-31 06:17:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x4f0995…
10-31 06:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	38¢	$2	0x1d6d49…
10-31 06:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x7cb41b…
10-31 06:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x703d7c…
10-31 06:09:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x419fb6…
10-31 06:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	46¢	$3	0x53f509…
10-31 06:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x4afb8b…
10-31 02:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	57¢	$4	0xecbec1…
10-31 02:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x0718e9…
10-31 02:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0x793d68…
10-31 02:21:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x7af9a8…
10-30 07:07:28	Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x6bd4d3…
10-30 07:06:21	Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x375d03…
10-30 07:06:13	Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xa962ae…
10-30 07:01:55	Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 5°C on October 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x296012…
10-30 00:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x3071de…
10-30 00:52:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x1c45e1…
10-30 00:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xdd2a5c…
10-30 00:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x98d14f…
10-30 00:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xa3c4b2…
10-30 00:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x8d9f3f…
10-30 00:46:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x3d551c…
10-30 00:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x354ac7…
10-29 12:41:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	15	35¢	$5	0x707ab6…
10-29 12:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x47e457…
10-29 12:38:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x69c6f3…
10-29 12:37:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x38ea9e…
10-29 12:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x380d3d…
10-29 12:36:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x962bae…
10-29 09:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	81¢	$1	0x30ef78…
10-29 09:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x31cc5b…
10-29 07:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0xd23ee0…
10-29 07:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x4cf453…
10-29 07:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x02d80a…
10-29 06:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xb121ed…
10-28 06:45:29	Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,000-$6,500 in December?	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0xfd5c85…
10-28 06:45:22	Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,500-$7,000 in December?	Yes	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0xa7c211…
10-28 06:45:16	Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,000-$7,500 in December?	Yes	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0xe278c2…
10-28 06:45:08	Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,500-$8,000 in December?	Yes	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0xd72b62…
10-28 06:44:58	Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$8,000 in December?	Yes	SELL	1	28¢	$0	0x755472…
10-28 06:42:35	Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x281689…
10-28 05:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0xd7c235…
10-28 05:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	89¢	$3	0x064373…
10-28 05:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x020c7e…
10-28 05:27:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x0ed0e0…
10-28 05:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x270e5a…
10-28 05:22:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xc5eb1c…
10-28 05:20:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xa2d4c6…
10-28 05:20:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0x62467d…
10-28 05:15:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x82ee2e…
10-28 05:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xfef90a…
10-28 05:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xf12a2a…
10-28 05:11:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	73¢	$2	0x5d12e2…
10-28 05:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x9b6aa4…
10-28 05:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xdcbdf2…
10-28 05:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x92ad7f…
10-28 05:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x5c92ad…
10-28 04:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x4d3d4e…
10-28 04:56:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x926ee1…
10-28 04:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x709358…
10-28 04:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0xa7ca19…
10-28 04:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x093490…
10-28 04:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xd234ca…
10-28 04:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x751ab3…
10-28 04:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x499125…
10-28 04:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x01a98e…
10-28 04:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x03f0dc…
10-28 04:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x40ffc6…
10-28 04:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x091ce8…
10-28 04:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xadd452…
10-28 04:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x44d6a6…
10-28 04:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xa8389e…
10-28 04:27:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0xf2b09a…
10-28 04:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x7c4ec8…
10-28 04:27:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	73¢	$2	0x826c46…
10-28 04:21:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x8dad03…
10-28 04:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0xbb4682…
10-28 04:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xf7fde0…
10-28 04:17:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0x940f30…
10-28 04:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xc5b630…