Realized P&L
+$2.69K
Unrealized P&L
+$138
Hit rate
66.0%
Resolved
6,158
Trades
45,847
lifetime
Volume
$242.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$786
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-12
last 10-30 16:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 183 days
Categories
Other
63% 51% +$350
Sports
25% 55% +$2,208
Crypto
10% 51% +$204
Politics
1% 46% -$71
Tech
0% 67% +$0
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 1075 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? Yes +207 $92 80¢ $166 +$74 10-30 16:44
Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? Yes +169 $53 97¢ $164 +$111 10-29 16:31
Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +88 $39 99¢ $86 +$47 10-29 15:00
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +55 $27 95¢ $53 +$25 10-30 14:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? No +216 $116 20¢ $43 -$73 10-30 16:49
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M? Yes +35 $21 100¢ $35 +$14 10-30 14:40
Israeli Knesset election annulled? No +35 $27 95¢ $33 +$7 10-29 12:07
Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +30 $19 99¢ $30 +$11 10-28 12:34
Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +30 $24 98¢ $30 +$6 10-29 10:53
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes +30 $16 88¢ $26 +$10 10-30 00:16
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? No +20 $14 74¢ $15 +$1 10-30 00:21
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? No +16 $11 84¢ $14 +$3 10-29 20:08
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? Yes +10 $7 93¢ $9 +$2 10-28 15:26
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +15 $7 55¢ $8 +$1 10-29 22:09
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +10 $8 78¢ $8 +$0 10-29 19:40
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? No +10 $3 73¢ $7 +$4 10-07 19:28
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? Yes +10 $3 66¢ $7 +$3 10-30 11:09
Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +170 $112 3¢ $5 -$106 10-29 16:12
Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +5 $4 100¢ $5 +$1 10-28 13:23
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +10 $5 48¢ $5 $0 10-28 16:40
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? No +5 $4 92¢ $5 +$0 10-29 06:00
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? No +5 $4 92¢ $5 +$1 09-22 14:06
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes +5 $4 89¢ $4 +$1 09-22 17:16
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027? Yes +10 $4 40¢ $4 +$0 10-30 02:15
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? No +5 $4 70¢ $4 $0 10-10 14:57
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.65% before 2027? No +10 $4 34¢ $3 $0 10-29 15:28
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +7 $3 52¢ $3 +$1 10-28 15:44
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? No +5 $3 67¢ $3 +$0 10-29 17:31
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? Yes +20 $5 16¢ $3 -$2 10-29 20:31
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? No +24 $7 12¢ $3 -$4 10-30 00:27