Fair-Tan 0x43cb4a…8b84df
whale bot hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$81.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$8.59K
Hit rate
59.8%
Resolved
41,330
Trades
427,787
lifetime
Volume
$3.17M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$69.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 19:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 251 days
Categories
Other
72% 20% +$51,537
Sports
16% 38% +$8,575
Politics
5% 26% +$2,473
Tech
5% 32% +$18,295
Crypto
2% 44% +$692
Pop-Culture
0% 17% -$42
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1942 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +10,543 $4,897 58¢ $6.2K +$1,271 10-22 09:46
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +4,945 $4,087 92¢ $4.5K +$460 10-27 16:01
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +10,639 $5,171 40¢ $4.2K -$969 10-22 09:46
Will Top Esports win Worlds 2026? No +4,008 $3,977 99¢ $4.0K -$23 10-24 12:49
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes +4,128 $3,585 94¢ $3.9K +$310 10-24 07:16
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +4,008 $3,851 95¢ $3.8K -$35 10-23 11:11
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +4,008 $3,335 88¢ $3.5K +$212 10-23 11:11
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,624 $2,670 94¢ $3.4K +$718 10-23 13:29
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? Yes +3,405 $1,842 88¢ $3.0K +$1,138 10-23 13:46
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? Yes +2,978 $1,767 98¢ $2.9K +$1,147 10-21 12:57
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +3,425 $2,330 80¢ $2.8K +$427 10-19 04:50
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,743 $2,619 96¢ $2.6K +$1 10-27 19:08
next fable model 5pt2 released by october 31 2026 No +3,318 $1,016 74¢ $2.4K +$1,427 10-27 19:14
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? Yes +3,246 $961 74¢ $2.4K +$1,444 10-27 16:59
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +3,097 $2,133 64¢ $2.0K -$135 10-23 12:50
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +3,108 $1,826 64¢ $2.0K +$148 10-20 15:20
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? Yes +1,686 $1,307 97¢ $1.6K +$328 09-24 16:32
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026? No +1,539 $1,384 92¢ $1.4K +$24 10-26 19:24
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? No +1,539 $1,355 87¢ $1.3K -$21 10-26 22:11
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? No +1,539 $1,284 84¢ $1.3K +$17 10-26 19:24
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes +1,534 $1,104 82¢ $1.3K +$154 10-21 13:11
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +1,539 $1,184 78¢ $1.2K +$25 10-26 19:24
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,388 $1,203 86¢ $1.2K -$15 10-12 14:16
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? Yes +1,909 $903 58¢ $1.1K +$203 10-26 16:15
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +1,039 $1,016 97¢ $1.0K -$7 10-20 08:58
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? Yes +1,003 $895 99¢ $988 +$93 10-12 09:38
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +2,996 $763 33¢ $984 +$221 10-23 12:50
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes +3,107 $934 31¢ $976 +$42 10-20 15:20
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +905 $901 100¢ $904 +$3 10-24 00:36
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? No +1,588 $912 56¢ $897 -$15 10-26 19:24