Ultimate-Sprat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$325

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.8%

Resolved

110

Trades

882

lifetime

Volume

$38.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$44

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-19

last 06-30 18:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 43% $-326

Politics

28% — —

Other

8% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	6	$2.4K	2,617	0	+2,617	open	—	02-27 19:37
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	2	$2.0K	1,037	1,037	+0	open	—	02-20 19:03
will the us invade iran by march 31	7	$1.6K	1,700	100	+1,600	open	—	03-29 20:34
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	5	$1.4K	1,341	100	+1,241	open	—	03-28 10:34
will trump visit china by march 31	12	$1.1K	729	729	+0	open	—	03-28 13:11
btc updown 5m 1774485000	1	$1.0K	1,350	0	+1,350	open	—	03-26 00:33
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	4	$861	1,343	1,343	+0	open	—	03-10 11:13
btc updown 5m 1774459500	24	$838	444	443	+1	open	—	03-25 17:29
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	4	$782	800	0	+800	open	—	02-24 20:22
btc updown 5m 1774434600	3	$635	329	328	+0	open	—	03-25 10:34
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	3	$569	440	440	+0	open	—	03-29 07:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	2	$567	376	376	+0	Up	+$177	05-11 18:08
will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in march	7	$493	696	0	+696	open	—	03-09 19:43
btc updown 5m 1774434300	5	$452	353	350	+2	open	—	03-25 10:29
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$431	303	303	+0	open	—	03-10 17:49
btc updown 5m 1774432500	4	$430	487	0	+487	open	—	03-25 09:58
btc updown 5m 1774526100	2	$404	206	206	+0	open	—	03-26 11:58
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	4	$401	347	347	+0	open	—	03-05 19:53
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	3	$373	1,818	1,818	+0	open	—	03-08 09:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$361	385	385	+0	Down	$-39	05-11 13:31
btc updown 5m 1774484400	17	$360	273	273	+0	open	—	03-26 00:23
btc updown 5m 1773175200	4	$355	460	0	+460	open	—	03-10 20:44
btc updown 5m 1774484100	2	$350	455	0	+455	open	—	03-26 00:18
sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	2	$328	200	200	+0	open	—	03-19 19:48
btc updown 5m 1774267800	2	$320	349	0	+349	open	—	03-23 12:14
btc updown 5m 1773176100	2	$300	439	0	+439	open	—	03-10 20:59
btc updown 5m 1774445400	2	$300	320	0	+320	open	—	03-25 13:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	3	$281	313	211	+102	Up	+$23	05-11 12:18
btc updown 5m 1774382400	5	$273	292	72	+221	open	—	03-24 20:04
btc updown 5m 1772699700	4	$272	144	143	+0	open	—	03-05 08:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 18:11:07	Will Pump.fun dip to $0.0010 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	20¢	$20	0x980d64…
06-30 02:43:22	Will Pump.fun dip to $0.0010 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	150	15¢	$22	0x6681a6…
06-30 02:41:19	Will Pump.fun dip to $0.0010 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	150	10¢	$15	0xe06031…
06-29 12:28:46	Will Pump.fun dip to $0.0010 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0xa12643…
05-13 08:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	238	52¢	$124	0x3197f9…
05-13 08:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	270	11¢	$30	0x7fd5f3…
05-13 08:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	13	50¢	$7	0x6eb0a1…
05-13 08:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	13	50¢	$7	0x302df5…
05-13 08:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x1dbd6f…
05-13 08:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0xbf975b…
05-13 08:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x923024…
05-13 08:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1ef7e7…
05-13 08:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	41	50¢	$20	0x69193d…
05-13 08:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x051511…
05-13 08:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	203	49¢	$100	0x08d4e3…
05-13 08:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0xeadc51…
05-12 15:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x4e2ebf…
05-12 15:37:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x28bfe8…
05-12 15:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	36	40¢	$15	0x7effb7…
05-12 15:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xc9879b…
05-11 18:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	376	99¢	$372	0xc3b14e…
05-11 18:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	376	52¢	$195	0xe75be7…
05-11 17:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	202	53¢	$108	0x9c2823…
05-11 17:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x060b20…
05-11 13:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	385	42¢	$161	0xd3dfc3…
05-11 13:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	385	52¢	$200	0x208617…
05-11 13:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	547	37¢	$200	0x8085b8…
05-11 13:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x86ccce…
05-11 13:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	168	60¢	$100	0x3f5e30…
05-11 12:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0xd7fac3…
05-11 12:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xf500e5…
05-11 12:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xbb5ad2…
05-11 12:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	75	53¢	$40	0xefeb69…
05-11 12:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xce0dfd…
05-11 12:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xe971e8…
05-11 12:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x997a78…
05-11 12:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xbb7619…
05-11 12:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x1558ed…
05-11 12:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x09cda7…
05-11 12:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	211	48¢	$101	0x8f705d…
05-11 12:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	211	38¢	$80	0x645369…
05-11 12:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	87	46¢	$40	0x3a95a5…
05-11 12:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x911d8d…
05-11 12:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x90ec8a…
05-11 12:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0d0b46…
05-11 12:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x01ca52…
05-11 12:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x4ba074…
05-11 11:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xf4f0b3…
05-11 11:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x8c1776…
05-11 11:46:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x482617…
05-11 11:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x057450…
05-11 11:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x234a54…
05-11 11:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x078592…
05-11 11:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x07733b…
05-11 11:22:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xdf66f6…
05-11 11:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0xe5b738…
05-11 11:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6e18a3…
05-11 11:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x308eac…
05-11 11:21:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x310a5f…
05-11 11:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0xc564f5…
05-11 11:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5e46b3…
05-11 11:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2664c5…
05-11 11:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xde3b88…
05-11 11:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x16f194…
05-11 11:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xddbd50…
05-11 11:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x7c9856…
05-11 11:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x1540e0…
05-11 11:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe36749…
05-11 11:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1376d0…
05-11 10:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	60	2¢	$1	0xb90f1d…
05-11 10:55:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	60	31¢	$19	0xc75470…
05-11 10:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	35	50¢	$17	0xc3081e…
05-11 10:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	45	50¢	$23	0x45890d…
05-11 10:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0xb20eec…
05-11 10:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0x1daa90…
05-11 10:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xe74f53…
05-11 10:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x067b6a…
05-11 10:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xb7a5dc…
05-11 10:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x3d29e9…
05-11 10:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x7bc9a4…
05-11 08:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x72665d…
05-11 08:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xcb2aa7…
05-11 08:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0xb95d6f…
05-11 08:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x71b4bf…
05-11 08:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x22518b…
05-11 08:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0x4596ea…
05-11 08:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x21f394…
05-11 07:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x81d98d…
05-11 07:49:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x12f1a8…
05-11 07:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x8a7d49…
05-11 07:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x0fd9a9…
05-11 07:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0ba90a…
05-11 07:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x719443…
05-11 07:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xef1d1f…
05-11 07:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	29	50¢	$15	0xd0cf58…
05-11 07:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6eae6b…
05-11 07:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xd94df0…
05-11 07:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x8d8a7a…
05-11 07:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xc1422b…
05-11 07:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x88b219…