Realized P&L
-$857
Unrealized P&L
+$692
Hit rate
72.9%
Resolved
444
Trades
920
lifetime
Volume
$42.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$46
Open exposure
$2.56K
2 positions
First seen
2026-02-19
last 08-04 19:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 41 days
Categories
Crypto
59%
54%
-$1,862
Politics
26%
57%
+$780
Other
15%
71%
+$232
Sports
0%
0%
-$6
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-04).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | +1,631 | $1,501 | 98¢ | $1.6K | +$104 | 05-09 19:40 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +1,250 | $368 | 76¢ | $956 | +$588 | 05-15 20:52 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| us strikes iran by february 27 2026 | 6 | $2.4K | 2,617 | 0 | +2,617 | No | +$256 | 02-27 19:37 |
| us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553 | 2 | $2.0K | 1,037 | 1,037 | +0 | No | +$21 | 02-20 19:03 |
| will the us invade iran by march 31 | 7 | $1.6K | 1,700 | 100 | +1,600 | No | +$182 | 03-29 20:34 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | 25 | $1.5K | 1,631 | 0 | +1,631 | open | — | 05-09 19:40 |
| US strike on Cuba by March 31? | 5 | $1.4K | 1,341 | 100 | +1,241 | No | +$65 | 03-28 10:34 |
| will trump visit china by march 31 | 12 | $1.1K | 729 | 729 | +0 | No | +$308 | 03-28 13:11 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 00:30 UTC | 1 | $1.0K | 1,350 | 0 | +1,350 | Down | -$1,000 | 03-26 00:33 |
| will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31 | 4 | $861 | 1,343 | 1,343 | +0 | Yes | +$161 | 03-10 11:13 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 17:25 UTC | 24 | $838 | 444 | 443 | +1 | Down | +$38 | 03-25 17:29 |
| us strikes iran by february 24 2026 | 4 | $782 | 800 | 0 | +800 | No | +$18 | 02-24 20:22 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 10:30 UTC | 3 | $635 | 329 | 328 | +0 | Down | +$15 | 03-25 10:34 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? | 3 | $569 | 440 | 440 | +0 | Yes | -$31 | 03-29 07:08 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | 2 | $567 | 376 | 376 | +0 | Up | +$177 | 05-11 18:08 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | 1 | $500 | 556 | 0 | +556 | Yes | +$56 | 07-10 20:51 |
| will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in march | 7 | $493 | 696 | 0 | +696 | Yes | +$203 | 03-09 19:43 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 10:25 UTC | 5 | $452 | 353 | 350 | +2 | Up | -$106 | 03-25 10:29 |
| us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519 | 2 | $431 | 303 | 303 | +0 | No | +$31 | 03-10 17:49 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 09:55 UTC | 4 | $430 | 487 | 0 | +487 | Up | +$57 | 03-25 09:58 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 11:55 UTC | 2 | $404 | 206 | 206 | +0 | Down | +$4 | 03-26 11:58 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | 4 | $401 | 347 | 347 | +0 | Yes | -$99 | 03-05 19:53 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$8,000 in December? | 2 | $399 | 570 | 0 | +570 | open | — | 08-04 19:12 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | 1 | $384 | 400 | 0 | +400 | No | +$16 | 05-06 11:46 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 15 | 3 | $373 | 1,818 | 1,818 | +0 | No | -$27 | 03-08 09:20 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | 2 | $368 | 1,250 | 0 | +1,250 | open | — | 05-15 20:52 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET | 2 | $361 | 385 | 385 | +0 | Down | -$39 | 05-11 13:31 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 00:20 UTC | 17 | $360 | 273 | 273 | +0 | Up | +$87 | 03-26 00:23 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 20:40 UTC | 4 | $355 | 460 | 0 | +460 | Up | -$355 | 03-10 20:44 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 00:15 UTC | 2 | $350 | 455 | 0 | +455 | Down | -$350 | 03-26 00:18 |
| sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026 | 2 | $328 | 200 | 200 | +0 | No | +$60 | 03-19 19:48 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 12:10 UTC | 2 | $320 | 349 | 0 | +349 | Down | +$29 | 03-23 12:14 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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