Ornery-Hello — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$969

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.4%

Resolved

111

Trades

8,713

lifetime

Volume

$295.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-31

last 04-28 09:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

63% 91% +$2

Politics

26% 77% $-1,011

Sports

7% 100% +$40

Tech

3% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 770 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	22	$4.1K	4,058	0	+4,058	open	—	04-24 22:24
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	22	$4.1K	4,058	0	+4,058	open	—	04-24 22:24
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	22	$4.0K	4,058	0	+4,058	open	—	04-24 22:24
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	21	$4.0K	4,038	0	+4,038	open	—	04-23 17:54
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	21	$4.0K	4,038	0	+4,038	open	—	04-23 17:54
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	22	$4.0K	4,058	0	+4,058	open	—	04-24 22:24
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	19	$3.2K	3,218	0	+3,218	open	—	04-22 14:42
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	17	$3.2K	3,178	0	+3,178	open	—	04-22 10:52
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	17	$3.0K	3,938	0	+3,938	open	—	04-24 22:24
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	4	$2.4K	1,630	800	+830	open	—	04-12 16:48
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	10	$2.2K	2,241	0	+2,241	open	—	04-18 19:20
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	10	$2.2K	2,241	0	+2,241	open	—	04-18 19:20
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	8	$1.7K	1,662	0	+1,662	open	—	04-10 19:02
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	7	$1.5K	1,459	0	+1,459	open	—	04-24 22:24
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	11	$1.4K	1,169	1,019	+150	open	—	04-22 19:05
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy?	14	$1.4K	1,366	0	+1,366	open	—	04-09 02:25
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?	14	$1.4K	1,366	0	+1,366	open	—	04-09 02:25
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan?	14	$1.4K	1,366	0	+1,366	open	—	04-09 02:25
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?	19	$1.4K	1,366	0	+1,366	open	—	04-09 02:25
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?	14	$1.4K	1,366	0	+1,366	open	—	04-09 02:25
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?	16	$1.4K	1,366	0	+1,366	open	—	04-09 02:25
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?	18	$1.3K	1,336	0	+1,336	open	—	04-09 02:25
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE?	12	$1.3K	1,313	0	+1,313	open	—	04-09 07:14
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?	12	$1.3K	1,313	0	+1,313	open	—	04-09 01:30
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	16	$1.3K	1,366	0	+1,366	open	—	04-09 02:25
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	12	$1.3K	1,306	0	+1,306	open	—	04-09 02:25
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?	10	$1.2K	1,253	0	+1,253	open	—	04-09 01:30
will tamilaga vettri kazhagam tvk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	19	$1.2K	1,297	0	+1,297	open	—	04-24 20:04
will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be between 160m and 170m	2	$1.1K	1,141	0	+1,141	open	—	04-05 14:46
will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be less than 160m	2	$1.1K	1,141	0	+1,141	open	—	04-05 14:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-28 09:21:42	Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x25a83f…
04-28 05:56:44	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 30?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xe39db2…
04-28 05:56:44	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 4?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x3c5b71…
04-28 05:56:44	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 2?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x21e182…
04-28 05:56:42	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 6?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xf180ca…
04-28 05:56:42	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 3?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xece26b…
04-28 05:56:42	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 9?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xdceee1…
04-28 05:56:42	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 28?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd75f16…
04-28 05:56:42	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 10?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xb2695e…
04-28 05:56:42	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 1?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x647151…
04-28 05:56:42	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 5?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x4f3f2e…
04-28 05:56:42	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	No	BUY	30	24¢	$7	0x3a17d8…
04-28 05:56:42	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 8?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x39152c…
04-28 05:56:42	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 29?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x31e5d2…
04-28 05:56:42	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x2cd65e…
04-28 02:55:36	Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?	No	BUY	25	91¢	$23	0x5ca23e…
04-28 02:55:34	Will Mitch Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x442b5c…
04-28 02:55:34	Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?	No	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0x053130…
04-27 23:16:00	Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	No	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x997636…
04-27 23:16:00	Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	No	BUY	30	85¢	$25	0x15ddd5…
04-27 18:48:00	Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xed13bb…
04-27 18:48:00	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?	No	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xbaaa0e…
04-27 18:48:00	Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in April 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb7e094…
04-27 18:48:00	Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in April 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x940ae0…
04-27 18:48:00	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?	No	BUY	9	63¢	$6	0x6202e5…
04-27 18:48:00	Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?	No	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x4c4036…
04-27 18:48:00	Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?	No	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0x091722…
04-27 17:59:50	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on April 28?	No	BUY	30	91¢	$28	0xf5ab62…
04-27 17:59:50	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 92°F or higher on April 28?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xf3133e…
04-27 17:59:50	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on April 28?	No	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0xf0d3ab…
04-27 17:59:50	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on April 28?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xcb45c9…
04-27 17:59:50	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on April 28?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0xbc9fa8…
04-27 17:59:48	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on April 28?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xc334ae…
04-27 17:59:48	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on April 28?	No	BUY	31	76¢	$24	0xbd1352…
04-27 17:59:48	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on April 28?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xb79afe…
04-27 17:59:48	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on April 28?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xb40689…
04-27 17:59:48	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 73°F or below on April 28?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xa57f85…
04-27 17:59:48	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on April 28?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x9829c9…
04-27 17:40:34	Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x7ef69b…
04-27 17:27:46	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	25	42¢	$10	0xf27c3e…
04-27 17:27:46	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	25	57¢	$14	0xc77223…
04-27 17:27:46	Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x919f48…
04-27 17:23:46	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	160	100¢	$160	0xe78ac9…
04-27 17:15:16	Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?	No	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xf0bb1f…
04-27 17:15:06	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$11	0xf5d148…
04-27 17:15:06	Will Ted Cruz post 20-39 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xe9cf3e…
04-27 17:15:06	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$11	0xc6579b…
04-27 17:15:06	Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$11	0xa9ba85…
04-27 17:15:06	Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	12	90¢	$10	0xa538fb…
04-27 17:15:06	Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	25	27¢	$7	0x8dc7cd…
04-27 17:15:06	Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x605a9d…
04-27 17:15:06	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x209529…
04-27 17:15:06	Will Ted Cruz post 40-59 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$11	0x1a1ffc…
04-27 17:10:02	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?	No	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x63f8b1…
04-27 17:09:56	Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$14	0xf3ed71…
04-27 17:09:56	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?	No	BUY	15	58¢	$9	0x606634…
04-27 17:09:56	Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in April 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x03b404…
04-27 17:09:54	Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?	No	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x983179…
04-27 17:09:54	Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in April 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x2a2903…
04-27 16:38:16	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	25	43¢	$11	0x0bdc41…
04-27 16:38:14	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	25	50¢	$13	0x725761…
04-27 16:38:14	Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x66579b…
04-27 16:32:20	Will Robert Lewandowski be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xdf8794…
04-27 16:32:20	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	No	BUY	25	28¢	$7	0xbed6d7…
04-27 16:32:20	Will Ferran Torres be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x9ea627…
04-27 16:32:20	Will Alex Baena be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x6b678d…
04-27 16:32:20	Will Lamine Yamal be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x32ff63…
04-27 16:32:20	Will Vedat Muriqi be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	No	BUY	25	68¢	$17	0x29f3f7…
04-27 16:12:00	Will Robert Lewandowski be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xa44aca…
04-27 15:58:48	Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	9	7¢	$1	0x85d12d…
04-27 15:58:48	Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x5b8a59…
04-27 15:58:48	Will xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x47f573…
04-27 15:58:48	Will Meta have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x065e42…
04-27 15:58:06	Will Mitch Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xbce8f3…
04-27 15:58:06	Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?	No	BUY	25	90¢	$23	0x7e94a7…
04-27 15:58:06	Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?	No	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0x041734…
04-27 15:57:40	Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in April 2026?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xe1df4e…
04-27 15:57:40	Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xa8e962…
04-27 15:57:40	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?	No	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0x0147ad…
04-27 15:57:38	Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in April 2026?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xc232ed…
04-27 15:57:38	Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?	No	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0xb8f414…
04-27 15:57:38	Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in April 2026?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x674ff0…
04-27 15:57:38	Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?	No	BUY	15	86¢	$13	0x0151ef…
04-27 15:49:46	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x2e4802…
04-27 15:49:44	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xed8038…
04-27 15:49:44	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	31	35¢	$11	0xb1f72e…
04-27 15:49:44	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	160	55¢	$88	0x6ed08b…
04-27 15:49:44	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x22fcbd…
04-27 15:49:42	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	25	55¢	$14	0xb73b8f…
04-27 15:33:20	Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xf725ed…
04-27 15:33:10	Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xa1891a…
04-27 15:10:18	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	SELL	110	49¢	$54	0xd2fa87…
04-27 15:06:16	Will White House post 160-179 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	30	72¢	$22	0xfd90d2…
04-27 15:06:16	Will White House post 200+ posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xca7835…
04-27 15:06:16	Will White House post 120-139 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x5fd562…
04-27 15:06:16	Will White House post 180-199 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x482d52…
04-27 15:06:16	Will White House post 140-159 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	30	22¢	$7	0x1f4717…
04-27 14:51:06	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	662	48¢	$318	0xbda072…
04-27 14:51:06	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x60c653…
04-27 14:51:06	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	25	52¢	$13	0x1f27c5…