Realized P&L
+$10.2K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.11K
Hit rate
88.8%
Resolved
6,190
Trades
20,289
lifetime
Volume
$911.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$45
Open exposure
$63.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-31
last 10-26 20:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 197 days
Categories
Other
56% 85% +$8,546
Politics
23% 82% +$2,627
Sports
18% 91% +$19
Tech
2% 66% -$1,231
Pop-Culture
1% 78% +$165
Crypto
0% 76% +$96
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 249 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +9,655 $8,328 95¢ $9.2K +$849 10-26 19:37
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +9,658 $7,628 77¢ $7.4K -$192 10-26 19:37
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +3,868 $2,104 84¢ $3.2K +$1,145 09-23 15:20
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +2,710 $2,691 100¢ $2.7K +$17 10-02 12:30
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +2,710 $2,694 100¢ $2.7K +$7 10-02 12:30
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +9,658 $3,306 27¢ $2.6K -$665 10-26 19:37
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +2,713 $1,741 94¢ $2.5K +$795 10-02 12:30
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +1,901 $1,802 100¢ $1.9K +$96 10-25 11:09
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? No +1,743 $1,732 100¢ $1.7K +$2 09-23 15:20
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +1,736 $1,734 100¢ $1.7K -$1 09-23 15:20
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +1,691 $1,689 100¢ $1.7K -$1 09-23 15:20
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +1,691 $1,689 100¢ $1.7K -$1 09-23 15:20
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +1,691 $1,686 100¢ $1.7K +$1 09-23 15:20
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +1,518 $1,516 100¢ $1.5K -$3 09-21 13:02
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? No +1,753 $1,475 84¢ $1.5K +$6 10-14 15:47
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +1,599 $679 91¢ $1.5K +$773 10-03 12:40
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,439 $1,376 100¢ $1.4K +$57 09-27 00:15
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,436 $1,345 95¢ $1.4K +$22 09-27 00:15
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,436 $1,359 95¢ $1.4K +$8 09-27 00:15
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,436 $1,246 94¢ $1.3K +$104 09-27 00:14
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,438 $1,263 94¢ $1.3K +$81 09-27 00:15
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,439 $1,318 92¢ $1.3K +$13 09-27 00:15
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,436 $1,330 90¢ $1.3K -$42 09-27 00:15
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,286 $1,266 100¢ $1.3K +$18 09-27 00:14
Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,286 $1,273 100¢ $1.3K +$10 09-27 00:14
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,286 $1,277 100¢ $1.3K +$5 09-27 00:14
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,286 $1,277 100¢ $1.3K +$4 09-27 00:14
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,286 $1,276 99¢ $1.3K -$2 09-27 00:14
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,286 $1,277 99¢ $1.3K -$4 09-27 00:14
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,438 $1,273 88¢ $1.3K $0 09-27 00:15