Realized P&L
+$1.62K
Unrealized P&L
+$60
Hit rate
95.1%
Resolved
110
Trades
258
lifetime
Volume
$28.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$108
Open exposure
$2.37K
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 10-23 17:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 21 days
Categories
Other
61% 79% +$1,407
Crypto
38% 96% +$214
Politics
1% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -400 -$364 96¢ $-384 -$20 06-16 11:47
US recession by end of 2026? No +350 $308 92¢ $324 +$16 09-17 06:47
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +370 $281 84¢ $309 +$28 10-23 17:32
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No +200 $176 88¢ $177 +$1 10-23 17:33
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No +110 $108 99¢ $109 +$1 10-19 17:32
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +104 $101 98¢ $101 +$1 09-17 06:48
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $99 100¢ $100 +$1 07-07 18:07
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $97 99¢ $99 +$2 06-17 00:24
Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $97 99¢ $99 +$2 06-16 18:39
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? Yes +100 $97 98¢ $98 +$1 10-20 18:39
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $94 98¢ $97 +$4 06-16 18:40
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $93 96¢ $96 +$3 06-18 15:56
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $91 94¢ $94 +$4 06-16 19:12
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? No +50 $46 98¢ $49 +$4 05-01 11:44
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? No +50 $46 97¢ $48 +$2 06-16 18:39
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +50 $46 97¢ $48 +$3 10-23 17:31
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? No +50 $46 94¢ $47 +$1 06-16 18:39
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +40 $36 96¢ $38 +$3 10-23 17:30
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No +30 $24 97¢ $29 +$5 10-23 17:32
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 10-19 17:31
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$1 10-20 18:39