Worthless-Bank — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7.72K

Unrealized P&L

+$5.65K

Hit rate

51.8%

Resolved

577

Trades

6,349

lifetime

Volume

$164.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

$9.94K

10 positions

First seen

2026-05-24

last 10-27 22:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Other

65% 51% -$470

Politics

35% 50% -$7,247

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 611 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	+8,139	$2,292	97¢	$7.9K	+$5,602	10-27 19:10
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+3,005	$852	42¢	$1.3K	+$425	10-24 07:58
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?	Yes	+1,000	$221	26¢	$255	+$34	10-23 12:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October?	No	+166	$135	96¢	$159	+$24	10-23 14:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	+490	$203	28¢	$137	-$66	10-23 07:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	Yes	+440	$268	23¢	$101	-$167	10-23 02:07
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	Yes	+400	$81	14¢	$56	-$25	10-25 09:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	Yes	+808	$225	4¢	$28	-$196	10-23 20:05
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	No	+30	-$33	80¢	$24	+$57	10-16 19:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October?	Yes	+177	$49	4¢	$7	-$42	10-23 13:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	36	$17.8K	19,343	8,281	+11,063	Yes	-$7,984	06-13 07:37
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	17	$9.3K	5,220	5,220	+0	No	+$719	06-07 19:45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	29	$7.9K	5,556	4,536	+1,019	No	+$525	05-30 11:09
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	8	$3.4K	3,475	3,475	+0	open	—	10-21 13:44
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $59 Week of September 28 2026?	112	$2.5K	4,156	479	+3,677	No	-$126	10-02 16:23
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of September 28 2026?	137	$2.4K	3,532	682	+2,850	No	+$17	10-02 14:05
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	4	$2.4K	1,249	1,249	+0	No	-$10	06-11 19:15
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	11	$2.3K	8,139	0	+8,139	open	—	10-27 19:10
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 in November?	5	$2.0K	1,622	510	+1,112	open	—	10-27 16:39
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of September 28 2026?	133	$2.0K	3,737	514	+3,223	No	-$199	10-02 17:24
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of September 28 2026?	77	$1.7K	3,045	235	+2,810	Yes	+$90	10-02 09:02
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $62 Week of September 28 2026?	85	$1.7K	2,885	480	+2,405	Yes	+$131	10-02 11:16
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?	5	$1.7K	4,000	3,000	+1,000	open	—	10-23 12:16
israel closes its airspace by june 9	5	$1.4K	931	931	+0	No	+$48	06-09 19:55
Meta (META) Up or Down on October 26?	44	$1.4K	1,441	857	+584	Down	-$292	10-26 17:57
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	6	$1.4K	707	678	+29	Yes	-$8	06-03 18:50
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $58 Week of October 5 2026?	67	$1.3K	2,664	133	+2,531	No	-$131	10-09 01:01
Will Meta (META) close above $650 on October 26?	24	$1.3K	1,458	297	+1,161	No	-$198	10-26 14:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of September 28 2026?	53	$1.3K	1,822	287	+1,535	No	-$71	10-02 06:00
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	2	$1.2K	700	700	+0	Yes	+$21	06-05 20:38
Will Meta (META) close above $640 on October 26?	31	$1.2K	1,504	332	+1,172	No	-$222	10-26 18:04
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 Week of September 28 2026?	50	$1.2K	2,041	148	+1,893	No	+$18	10-01 03:18
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?	3	$1.1K	705	605	+100	No	+$21	06-09 04:41
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	4	$1.1K	563	563	+0	No	-$22	05-28 18:32
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of September 28 2026?	55	$1.0K	1,657	275	+1,382	No	-$147	10-02 14:37
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$1.0K	525	525	+0	No	+$19	05-30 06:25
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of September 21 2026?	6	$1.0K	1,519	0	+1,519	Yes	-$1,015	09-21 09:58
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on October 5?	33	$947	1,327	301	+1,026	Yes	-$44	10-05 20:57
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $58 Week of September 28 2026?	52	$940	1,774	349	+1,425	No	-$48	10-02 15:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	3	$928	960	0	+960	No	+$32	05-26 16:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 23:45:57	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in October?	Yes	BUY	37	20¢	$7	0xb5b01d…
10-27 23:01:05	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $810 in November?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x5c744a…
10-27 22:52:50	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in November?	No	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x12bf09…
10-27 22:52:47	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $820 in November?	Yes	BUY	11	24¢	$3	0xd12168…
10-27 22:52:44	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in November?	No	BUY	14	52¢	$7	0xd95b07…
10-27 22:52:44	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $810 in November?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xbc1d0c…
10-27 22:52:44	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $810 in November?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xacd04d…
10-27 22:52:44	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $810 in November?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x42c662…
10-27 22:52:42	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $810 in November?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xfe79f3…
10-27 22:52:42	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $810 in November?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x2ecb0e…
10-27 22:44:02	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in October?	Yes	BUY	3	22¢	$1	0xbcebdb…
10-27 22:44:00	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in October?	Yes	BUY	35	22¢	$8	0xd938b8…
10-27 22:43:59	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in October?	Yes	BUY	35	22¢	$8	0xa424b5…
10-27 22:43:57	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in October?	Yes	BUY	35	21¢	$7	0xcb3945…
10-27 22:43:50	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in October?	Yes	BUY	110	23¢	$25	0x6b4fdb…
10-27 20:50:39	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in November?	Yes	BUY	9	17¢	$2	0x624eca…
10-27 20:40:15	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?	Yes	BUY	16	35¢	$6	0xe583a6…
10-27 20:39:12	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?	Yes	BUY	30	26¢	$8	0xf84ed1…
10-27 20:39:03	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in November?	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xb222ea…
10-27 20:22:27	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in November?	Yes	BUY	69	12¢	$8	0xc30a46…
10-27 20:06:51	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $46 in November?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xaa8e54…
10-27 19:56:08	Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	SELL	200	66¢	$132	0x52d5e9…
10-27 19:51:27	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $146 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0x899807…
10-27 19:45:09	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $147 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	22¢	$44	0x5f9cf2…
10-27 19:31:03	Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	21	83¢	$18	0xabcb77…
10-27 19:30:30	Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	21	82¢	$17	0x1b9a60…
10-27 19:30:20	Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	21	78¢	$16	0xdc7689…
10-27 19:30:11	Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	SELL	31	11¢	$3	0x40d635…
10-27 19:30:11	Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	168	89¢	$150	0x40d635…
10-27 19:16:14	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x556bd9…
10-27 19:10:11	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,050	33¢	$346	0x85563a…
10-27 19:09:09	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in October?	Yes	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0x963f3e…
10-27 19:07:05	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	600	34¢	$204	0xfcae13…
10-27 18:53:00	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	850	31¢	$264	0x7864cb…
10-27 18:49:53	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	600	29¢	$174	0xdc5bfe…
10-27 18:27:18	Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	32	25¢	$8	0x1293c8…
10-27 18:21:17	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in October?	Yes	BUY	3	17¢	$0	0x4c5dc4…
10-27 18:21:15	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in October?	Yes	BUY	37	17¢	$6	0xf213d7…
10-27 18:21:15	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in October?	Yes	BUY	19	17¢	$3	0x7dd52e…
10-27 17:23:59	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x24e197…
10-27 17:23:35	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in October?	Yes	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0xe5882f…
10-27 17:23:33	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in October?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x9085e0…
10-27 17:23:33	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in October?	Yes	BUY	38	16¢	$6	0x0547f3…
10-27 16:39:12	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 in November?	Yes	SELL	510	90¢	$460	0xb3309b…
10-27 16:26:53	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,050	27¢	$284	0xba4882…
10-27 16:06:20	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $158 in November?	Yes	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0xaf1dc2…
10-27 16:05:08	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	14¢	$8	0xdc8821…
10-27 15:59:26	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $158 in November?	Yes	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0x222d49…
10-27 15:57:05	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $65 in November?	Yes	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0xdd8456…
10-27 15:57:03	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $65 in November?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x70ca04…
10-27 15:53:12	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in October?	Yes	BUY	14	13¢	$2	0xcca46a…
10-27 15:53:11	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in October?	Yes	BUY	62	13¢	$8	0x7109fd…
10-27 15:53:11	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in October?	Yes	BUY	17	13¢	$2	0x6c4539…
10-27 15:43:39	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in November?	Yes	BUY	121	95¢	$115	0x4a7fd5…
10-27 15:38:24	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	SELL	41	10¢	$4	0x968f19…
10-27 15:25:11	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 in November?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa9bef3…
10-27 15:25:05	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 in November?	Yes	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x81bca6…
10-27 15:25:00	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 in November?	Yes	BUY	983	96¢	$943	0x90b858…
10-27 15:20:39	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 in November?	Yes	BUY	600	94¢	$563	0xcccd58…
10-27 14:44:08	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	600	23¢	$138	0x713fc1…
10-27 14:21:50	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in October?	No	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0x0da062…
10-27 14:03:53	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	0	92¢	$0	0xf6111f…
10-27 13:54:36	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 in November?	No	BUY	133	71¢	$94	0x0052b5…
10-27 13:50:08	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	580	23¢	$133	0xa858ae…
10-27 13:45:21	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	250	23¢	$58	0xec6950…
10-27 13:39:38	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $156 in November?	Yes	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x216ae4…
10-27 13:39:36	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $156 in November?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x5fb5c8…
10-27 13:32:05	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x5a0613…
10-27 13:30:38	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0x287814…
10-27 13:30:35	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x2b21d8…
10-27 13:30:17	Will Meta (META) close above $640 on October 27?	No	BUY	18	89¢	$16	0x873723…
10-27 13:24:00	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,292	23¢	$300	0xc048e7…
10-27 13:22:48	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	71	30¢	$21	0x8740e8…
10-27 13:20:21	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 in November?	No	BUY	200	72¢	$144	0x011af7…
10-27 12:53:38	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x749ff2…
10-27 10:47:00	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0xbd6461…
10-27 10:45:32	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in October?	Yes	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0x44415d…
10-27 10:29:21	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in November?	Yes	BUY	37	20¢	$7	0xaf4b2b…
10-27 09:25:23	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,500 in November?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xed2010…
10-27 09:25:20	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,500 in November?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x1bf9ea…
10-27 09:07:24	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	Yes	BUY	18	24¢	$4	0x4b05ec…
10-27 09:07:14	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	Yes	BUY	27	24¢	$6	0xaf58e1…
10-27 08:49:45	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	23¢	$8	0xcf9f82…
10-27 08:49:21	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0xf3a799…
10-27 08:48:12	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	23¢	$46	0x702bcf…
10-27 08:25:51	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $820 in November?	No	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0x7ea011…
10-27 08:12:03	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $55 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	34¢	$16	0x02d17c…
10-27 08:00:17	Will Meta (META) close above $630 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0xeede1f…
10-27 08:00:17	Meta (META) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x02638e…
10-27 07:48:41	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,000 in November?	Yes	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0xb56575…
10-27 07:28:05	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,000 in November?	Yes	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x74968a…
10-27 07:28:02	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,000 in November?	Yes	BUY	56	97¢	$54	0xb9c374…
10-27 07:26:51	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $54 in November?	Yes	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x203444…
10-27 07:26:48	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $54 in November?	Yes	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0x3b785d…
10-27 07:25:02	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 in November?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb4a60e…
10-27 07:24:59	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 in November?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xdaca61…
10-27 07:24:57	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 in November?	Yes	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x5be159…
10-27 07:24:56	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 in November?	Yes	BUY	121	91¢	$110	0x047b36…
10-27 07:20:09	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $154 in November?	Yes	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0xe08ff1…
10-27 07:20:08	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $152 in November?	Yes	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0xb12b1c…