Realized P&L (7d)
+$1.78K
Unrealized P&L
+$714
Hit rate
74.9%
Resolved (7d)
79
Trades (7d)
621
7,895 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$14.6K
$217.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$28
Open exposure
$9.77K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-24
last 11-11 14:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 68 days
Categories
Other
68% 54% +$3,671
Politics
32% 48% -$1,653
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 611 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,010 $933 39¢ $781 -$152 11-08 10:15
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $192 Week of November 9 2026? No +717 $541 95¢ $681 +$140 11-11 10:03
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in November? No +603 $500 82¢ $491 -$9 11-11 13:56
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +488 $390 98¢ $478 +$88 11-07 08:41
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $48 in November? Yes +967 $277 44¢ $430 +$154 10-29 11:44
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of November 9 2026? No +416 $310 96¢ $401 +$90 11-09 11:52
Will Ra'am be in the next Israeli government? No +500 $373 75¢ $375 +$2 11-08 10:18
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? Yes +2,000 $471 18¢ $350 -$121 11-04 21:05
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,502 $86 23¢ $349 +$263 10-28 08:23
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in November? No +475 $263 73¢ $347 +$84 11-09 20:23
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $42 in November? No +357 $294 97¢ $345 +$50 11-02 13:26
Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 0-5%? Yes +347 $226 96¢ $333 +$108 11-07 08:33
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 in November? No +333 $238 98¢ $325 +$87 10-27 13:54
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +369 $248 82¢ $301 +$52 11-01 15:43
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,200 (LOW) in December? Yes +588 $268 48¢ $282 +$15 11-05 15:50
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in November? No +319 $281 88¢ $282 +$1 11-06 15:51
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (LOW) in December? Yes +585 $180 46¢ $269 +$89 11-05 15:52
Will RZP-Zehut be in the next Israeli government? Yes +1,000 $498 26¢ $265 -$233 10-18 09:08
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in November? No +346 $216 76¢ $261 +$45 11-06 14:52
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in November? Yes +1,324 $317 18¢ $245 -$72 11-11 10:38
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in December? No +307 $166 76¢ $235 +$69 11-06 02:12
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +500 $410 46¢ $232 -$178 11-01 13:47
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $172 in November? No +255 $229 88¢ $224 -$5 11-09 15:23
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in November? No +236 $206 95¢ $224 +$18 10-30 04:30
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $170 in November? No +261 $235 84¢ $221 -$14 11-09 14:34
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in November? Yes +530 $164 40¢ $215 +$50 11-09 08:26
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $147.50 Week of November 9 2026? No +250 $160 85¢ $213 +$53 11-09 19:38
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in November? No +247 $202 86¢ $211 +$9 11-05 00:44
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $58 in November? No +260 $208 78¢ $203 -$5 11-10 19:56
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $184 Week of November 9 2026? No +250 $160 78¢ $196 +$36 11-11 14:33