Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in December?
open
Total volume
$1,843
$338 in 24h
Trades
91
Unique wallets
33
Liquidity
$8,596
Latest YES mid
19¢
Latest NO mid
81¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-08-15
last 11-06 02:12
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-43.3¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $167
vs crowd: 44% YES on $1.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $29 | $216 | $187 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 8 | $59 | $376 | $317 |
| 🐟 Fish | 11 | $466 | $172 | +$294 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 11 | $40 | $8 | +$32 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $0 | $167 | $166 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $372 | $372 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| Median | 4 | $13 | — | +$13 |
| Below median | 8 | $60 | $8 | +$52 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $427 | $3 | +$424 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $88 | $57 | +$32 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $1 | $166 | $165 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sympathetic-Count 0x43a0…0d5c | Yes | +470 | $420 | $420 | 4 | 08-15 17:52 |
| Worthless-Bank 0x70f8…7fb5 | No | +307 | $166 | $495 | 16 | 11-06 02:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xef13…63d9 | No | +200 | $122 | $122 | 1 | 11-06 02:12 |
| Perfumed-Appointment 0x3f3b…1d77 | No | +163 | -$119 | $220 | 5 | 10-17 16:38 |
| Plastic-Fantasy 0xcca0…3738 | Yes | +120 | $32 | $32 | 2 | 11-05 18:38 |
| Perfumed-Appointment 0x3f3b…1d77 | Yes | +70 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 09-03 11:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x8b69…d36f | No | +70 | $41 | $41 | 1 | 09-03 11:23 |
| Impressionable-Term 0x7994…c512 | No | +63 | $43 | $43 | 2 | 11-04 15:01 |
| Tan-Reduction 0x5669…0f13 | Yes | +61 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 10-30 21:44 |
| Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | +31 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 10-30 04:03 |
| High-Abrogation 0x8a47…0ff7 | Yes | +16 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 11-02 15:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x2213…e5de | Yes | +15 | $3 | $14 | 5 | 11-05 18:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x0258…d6bb | Yes | +11 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-25 15:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x8e55…cb49 | Yes | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 10-28 06:23 |
| Chubby-Trust 0xa0e9…1f00 | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 11-02 10:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x6054…a179 | Yes | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 08-16 05:36 |
| Greedy-Neighbourhood 0x6ffd…a637 | No | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-24 08:47 |
| Thin-Smolt 0x2d33…e6c7 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 09-16 19:38 |
| Thin-Smolt 0x2d33…e6c7 | No | +5 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 09-17 00:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | +5 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 09-12 11:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | No | +4 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 09-17 00:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 09-12 11:15 |
| Glum-Leverage 0x3682…63b7 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-05 19:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x138b…0467 | Yes | +3 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 09-12 08:33 |
| Deficient-Artichoke 0xc8b2…d673 | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 09-16 02:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x6aa2…6724 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 09-26 21:42 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-06 02:12:39 | Worthless-Bank 0x70f8…7fb5 | No | SELL | 200 | 61¢ | $122 | 0x9e8b66… |
| 11-06 02:12:39 | (anonymous) 0xef13…63d9 | No | BUY | 200 | 61¢ | $122 | 0x9e8b66… |
| 11-05 19:04:54 | Worthless-Bank 0x70f8…7fb5 | No | BUY | 3 | 69¢ | $2 | 0xa4ed8f… |
| 11-05 19:04:54 | Glum-Leverage 0x3682…63b7 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 31¢ | $1 | 0xa4ed8f… |
| 11-05 18:38:04 | Plastic-Fantasy 0xcca0…3738 | Yes | BUY | 48 | 27¢ | $13 | 0x7c0745… |
| 11-05 18:38:04 | Worthless-Bank 0x70f8…7fb5 | No | BUY | 48 | 73¢ | $35 | 0x7c0745… |
| 11-05 18:33:52 | Worthless-Bank 0x70f8…7fb5 | No | BUY | 72 | 73¢ | $53 | 0xc43646… |
| 11-05 18:33:52 | Plastic-Fantasy 0xcca0…3738 | Yes | BUY | 72 | 27¢ | $19 | 0xc43646… |
| 11-05 18:24:43 | (anonymous) 0x2213…e5de | Yes | BUY | 15 | 28¢ | $4 | 0x2d554f… |
| 11-05 18:24:43 | Worthless-Bank 0x70f8…7fb5 | No | BUY | 15 | 72¢ | $11 | 0x2d554f… |
| 11-04 15:01:39 | Impressionable-Term 0x7994…c512 | No | BUY | 12 | 63¢ | $8 | 0x5294bc… |
| 11-04 15:01:39 | Worthless-Bank 0x70f8…7fb5 | No | SELL | 12 | 63¢ | $8 | 0x5294bc… |
| 11-04 14:31:51 | Worthless-Bank 0x70f8…7fb5 | No | SELL | 51 | 69¢ | $35 | 0xec0381… |
| 11-04 14:31:51 | Impressionable-Term 0x7994…c512 | No | BUY | 51 | 69¢ | $35 | 0xec0381… |
| 11-02 15:09:10 | (anonymous) 0x2213…e5de | Yes | SELL | 6 | 39¢ | $2 | 0xdb9ef2… |
| 11-02 15:09:10 | Worthless-Bank 0x70f8…7fb5 | No | BUY | 10 | 60¢ | $6 | 0xdb9ef2… |
| 11-02 15:09:10 | High-Abrogation 0x8a47…0ff7 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 40¢ | $6 | 0xdb9ef2… |
| 11-02 10:19:36 | (anonymous) 0x2213…e5de | Yes | BUY | 6 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x4d63c6… |
| 11-02 10:19:36 | Chubby-Trust 0xa0e9…1f00 | No | BUY | 6 | 68¢ | $4 | 0x4d63c6… |
| 10-30 21:44:46 | (anonymous) 0x28a6…d399 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 33¢ | $4 | 0xb04b63… |
| 10-30 21:44:46 | Tan-Reduction 0x5669…0f13 | Yes | BUY | 61 | 33¢ | $20 | 0xb04b63… |
| 10-30 21:44:46 | (anonymous) 0xa5e0…6ead | Yes | SELL | 49 | 33¢ | $16 | 0xb04b63… |
| 10-30 15:18:12 | (anonymous) 0xa5e0…6ead | Yes | BUY | 50 | 46¢ | $23 | 0x2eb603… |
| 10-30 15:18:12 | Worthless-Bank 0x70f8…7fb5 | No | BUY | 53 | 54¢ | $29 | 0x2eb603… |
| 10-30 15:18:12 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | SELL | 4 | 54¢ | $2 | 0x2eb603… |
| 10-30 14:22:31 | Worthless-Bank 0x70f8…7fb5 | No | BUY | 12 | 53¢ | $6 | 0xc0e3e7… |
| 10-30 14:22:31 | (anonymous) 0x28a6…d399 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 47¢ | $6 | 0xc0e3e7… |
| 10-30 13:30:39 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | SELL | 121 | 54¢ | $65 | 0x229578… |
| 10-30 13:30:39 | Worthless-Bank 0x70f8…7fb5 | No | BUY | 121 | 54¢ | $65 | 0x229578… |
| 10-30 13:30:36 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | SELL | 182 | 54¢ | $98 | 0xc6c275… |
| 10-30 13:30:36 | Worthless-Bank 0x70f8…7fb5 | No | BUY | 182 | 54¢ | $98 | 0xc6c275… |
| 10-30 13:30:07 | (anonymous) 0xd6e3…ea6a | No | SELL | 7 | 53¢ | $4 | 0x8bd9ee… |
| 10-30 13:30:07 | Worthless-Bank 0x70f8…7fb5 | No | BUY | 7 | 53¢ | $4 | 0x8bd9ee… |
| 10-30 04:03:57 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 50¢ | $16 | 0x9fdd58… |
| 10-30 04:03:57 | Worthless-Bank 0x70f8…7fb5 | No | BUY | 31 | 50¢ | $16 | 0x9fdd58… |
| 10-28 06:23:29 | (anonymous) 0x8e55…cb49 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 71¢ | $7 | 0xa0cb27… |
| 10-28 06:23:29 | Worthless-Bank 0x70f8…7fb5 | No | BUY | 10 | 29¢ | $3 | 0xa0cb27… |
| 10-26 11:18:06 | Equatorial-Grandpa 0xb22c…4efd | No | SELL | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x67ef0e… |
| 10-26 11:18:06 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x67ef0e… |
| 10-25 15:15:18 | Equatorial-Grandpa 0xb22c…4efd | No | BUY | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0xfb1822… |
| 10-25 15:15:18 | Worthless-Bank 0x70f8…7fb5 | No | BUY | 6 | 54¢ | $3 | 0xfb1822… |
| 10-25 15:15:18 | (anonymous) 0x0258…d6bb | Yes | BUY | 11 | 46¢ | $5 | 0xfb1822… |
| 10-18 04:54:05 | Envious-Version 0x0ad7…0971 | No | SELL | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0x20909f… |
| 10-18 04:54:05 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0x20909f… |
| 10-17 16:38:24 | (anonymous) 0x2213…e5de | Yes | SELL | 7 | 45¢ | $3 | 0x23b55f… |
| 10-17 16:38:24 | Perfumed-Appointment 0x3f3b…1d77 | No | SELL | 314 | 54¢ | $170 | 0x23b55f… |
| 10-17 16:38:24 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 300 | 54¢ | $162 | 0x23b55f… |
| 10-17 16:38:24 | (anonymous) 0xd6e3…ea6a | No | BUY | 7 | 55¢ | $4 | 0x23b55f… |
| 10-07 20:53:40 | (anonymous) 0x2213…e5de | Yes | BUY | 7 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x89f09b… |
| 10-07 20:53:40 | Clumsy-Bowler 0xd52c…4e00 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x89f09b… |
| 09-26 21:42:33 | (anonymous) 0x6aa2…6724 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xee3f7c… |
| 09-26 21:42:33 | Envious-Version 0x0ad7…0971 | No | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xee3f7c… |
| 09-17 00:04:39 | Thin-Smolt 0x2d33…e6c7 | No | BUY | 2 | 20¢ | $0 | 0xa7e6e8… |
| 09-17 00:04:39 | (anonymous) 0xc001…5c36 | No | SELL | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xa7e6e8… |
| 09-17 00:04:39 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | No | BUY | 2 | 17¢ | $0 | 0xa7e6e8… |
| 09-16 19:38:15 | (anonymous) 0xc001…5c36 | No | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x3d7713… |
| 09-16 19:38:15 | Thin-Smolt 0x2d33…e6c7 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 20¢ | $0 | 0x3d7713… |
| 09-16 19:15:15 | Thin-Smolt 0x2d33…e6c7 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x7c2712… |
| 09-16 19:15:15 | (anonymous) 0xc001…5c36 | No | BUY | 4 | 80¢ | $3 | 0x7c2712… |
| 09-16 02:22:30 | Deficient-Artichoke 0xc8b2…d673 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 80¢ | $2 | 0x67c257… |
| 09-16 02:22:30 | Thin-Smolt 0x2d33…e6c7 | No | BUY | 2 | 20¢ | $0 | 0x67c257… |
| 09-12 11:15:16 | (anonymous) 0xa010…72e1 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 20¢ | $0 | 0x5287a6… |
| 09-12 11:15:16 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 20¢ | $0 | 0x5287a6… |
| 09-12 11:13:43 | (anonymous) 0xa010…72e1 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 82¢ | $2 | 0x98479a… |
| 09-12 11:13:43 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 2 | 18¢ | $0 | 0x98479a… |
| 09-12 08:33:52 | (anonymous) 0xa010…72e1 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x9045ad… |
| 09-12 08:33:52 | (anonymous) 0x138b…0467 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x9045ad… |
| 09-12 08:33:37 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | No | BUY | 1 | 17¢ | $0 | 0xfa2e02… |
| 09-12 08:33:37 | (anonymous) 0xa010…72e1 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0xfa2e02… |
| 09-12 07:37:27 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 18¢ | $0 | 0xd72f97… |
| 09-12 07:37:27 | (anonymous) 0xa010…72e1 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 18¢ | $0 | 0xd72f97… |
| 09-12 07:35:18 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 1 | 18¢ | $0 | 0x1c9f11… |
| 09-12 07:35:18 | (anonymous) 0xa010…72e1 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x1c9f11… |
| 09-12 07:34:46 | (anonymous) 0x138b…0467 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0xe28444… |
| 09-12 07:34:46 | (anonymous) 0xa010…72e1 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0xe28444… |
| 09-12 07:33:15 | (anonymous) 0xa010…72e1 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0xf458e7… |
| 09-12 07:33:15 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 1 | 18¢ | $0 | 0xf458e7… |
| 09-03 11:23:06 | Perfumed-Appointment 0x3f3b…1d77 | Yes | BUY | 70 | 41¢ | $29 | 0x79c858… |
| 09-03 11:23:06 | (anonymous) 0x8b69…d36f | No | BUY | 70 | 59¢ | $41 | 0x79c858… |
| 08-24 08:47:42 | Greedy-Neighbourhood 0x6ffd…a637 | No | BUY | 6 | 29¢ | $2 | 0xfc8ce5… |
| 08-24 08:47:42 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | No | SELL | 6 | 29¢ | $2 | 0xfc8ce5… |
| 08-16 05:36:58 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | No | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xba80fa… |
| 08-16 05:36:58 | (anonymous) 0x6054…a179 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0xba80fa… |
| 08-15 17:52:48 | Perfumed-Appointment 0x3f3b…1d77 | No | BUY | 170 | 12¢ | $20 | 0x775cb9… |
| 08-15 17:52:48 | Sympathetic-Count 0x43a0…0d5c | Yes | BUY | 100 | 88¢ | $88 | 0x775cb9… |
| 08-15 14:20:22 | Sympathetic-Count 0x43a0…0d5c | Yes | BUY | 100 | 90¢ | $90 | 0x3cefd2… |
| 08-15 14:20:22 | Perfumed-Appointment 0x3f3b…1d77 | No | BUY | 100 | 10¢ | $10 | 0x3cefd2… |
| 08-15 11:07:58 | Clumsy-Bowler 0xd52c…4e00 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 90¢ | $6 | 0x4966fa… |
| 08-15 11:07:58 | Perfumed-Appointment 0x3f3b…1d77 | No | BUY | 7 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x4966fa… |
| 08-15 07:42:42 | Sympathetic-Count 0x43a0…0d5c | Yes | BUY | 200 | 90¢ | $180 | 0x5d4180… |
| 08-15 07:42:42 | Perfumed-Appointment 0x3f3b…1d77 | No | BUY | 200 | 10¢ | $20 | 0x5d4180… |