Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$712
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
77
lifetime
Volume
$18.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$244
Open exposure
$4.93K
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-27
last 06-12 05:02
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
97%
Other
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +3,723 $1,464 42¢ $1.5K +$81 06-12 05:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -2,509 $-2,126 54¢ $-1342 +$784 06-08 02:41
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -6,940 $-1,351 18¢ $-1215 +$136 06-12 01:04
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +2,030 $668 22¢ $457 $-211 06-10 15:12
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? Yes +2,040 $327 12¢ $255 $-72 06-12 01:22
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December? Yes +1,269 $106 $102 $-5 06-10 09:33
AI bubble burst in 2026? Yes +75 $17 22¢ $16 $-0 06-08 13:05