Thin-Smolt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$57

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.2%

Resolved

358

Trades

20,562

lifetime

Volume

$28.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 06-14 14:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 29% $-56

Other

0% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 1688 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	17	$446	261	211	+50	Up	+$3	05-08 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	83	$426	539	405	+134	open	—	05-25 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	42	$373	331	339	-9	open	—	05-24 19:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	11	$294	200	150	+50	open	—	05-23 21:55
btc updown 5m 1776150000	22	$253	448	403	+44	open	—	04-14 07:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	20	$233	275	150	+125	open	—	05-25 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	53	$232	469	404	+65	Up	+$8	05-08 21:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	23	$225	100	143	-43	open	—	05-24 19:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	18	$218	145	114	+32	open	—	05-24 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	41	$218	800	493	+308	open	—	05-25 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	8	$200	200	200	+0	open	—	05-25 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	56	$200	520	429	+91	open	—	05-23 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	16	$198	250	250	+0	open	—	05-24 18:34
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	17	$197	100	125	-25	Up	$-6	05-08 21:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	42	$189	437	49	+388	open	—	05-25 23:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	26	$183	261	178	+82	Up	$-46	05-08 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	28	$175	314	247	+67	open	—	05-25 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	114	$169	876	1,340	-464	open	—	05-23 20:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	87	$158	1,319	1,721	-402	open	—	05-25 22:34
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	45	$158	217	83	+134	Up	+$12	05-08 21:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	22	$153	110	75	+35	open	—	05-25 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	15	$152	110	135	-25	open	—	05-24 21:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	9	$152	83	75	+8	Down	$-0	05-08 20:41
btc updown 5m 1776122400	10	$149	119	87	+32	open	—	04-13 23:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	14	$149	231	5	+225	open	—	05-24 20:14
btc updown 5m 1776430800	30	$148	253	235	+18	open	—	04-17 13:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	6	$147	75	75	+0	Down	+$0	05-08 21:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	14	$144	161	55	+106	open	—	05-24 17:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	13	$141	110	60	+50	open	—	05-23 22:01
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	14	$139	81	64	+17	open	—	05-25 20:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 14:53:00	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 8 14 2026	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x70ee77…
06-14 14:34:12	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 8 14 2026	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0x4fb862…
06-14 14:34:06	btc updown 5m 1781447400	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x72391c…
06-14 14:33:07	btc updown 5m 1781447400	Up	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x9f2f7c…
06-14 14:31:58	btc updown 5m 1781447400	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x78999d…
06-14 14:19:15	will bitcoin dip to 58k june 8 14 2026	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0xb57837…
06-14 14:13:45	btc updown 5m 1781446200	Down	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xac1fc9…
06-14 14:13:39	btc updown 5m 1781446200	Down	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x8cefd6…
06-14 14:13:39	btc updown 5m 1781446200	Down	BUY	3	14¢	$0	0x476179…
06-14 14:03:46	will bitcoin reach 66k june 8 14 2026	Yes	SELL	4	9¢	$0	0x1df773…
06-14 13:50:51	will bitcoin dip to 58k june 8 14 2026	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x1867cc…
06-13 09:54:52	xrp updown 5m 1781344200	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3d5110…
06-13 09:54:06	xrp updown 5m 1781344200	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x46b919…
06-13 09:54:04	xrp updown 5m 1781344200	Down	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0xe8f463…
06-13 02:43:34	btc updown 15m 1781317800	Up	BUY	25	2¢	$1	0x8057bc…
06-13 02:43:28	btc updown 15m 1781317800	Up	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0xefae18…
06-13 02:43:18	btc updown 15m 1781317800	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xbc260b…
06-13 02:43:10	btc updown 15m 1781317800	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xd630e9…
06-13 02:43:10	btc updown 15m 1781317800	Up	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0xa9c9a9…
06-13 02:43:07	btc updown 15m 1781317800	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x6e3a40…
06-13 02:43:06	btc updown 15m 1781317800	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x35d93e…
06-13 02:42:51	btc updown 15m 1781317800	Up	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x0d9f9e…
06-13 02:41:51	btc updown 15m 1781317800	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xf2c8b8…
06-13 02:39:54	btc updown 5m 1781318100	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xabd3bd…
06-13 02:39:40	btc updown 5m 1781318100	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xa9d1ac…
06-13 02:38:45	btc updown 5m 1781318100	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x913610…
06-13 02:38:34	btc updown 5m 1781318100	Up	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x4e66fb…
06-13 02:38:19	btc updown 5m 1781318100	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x039429…
06-13 02:37:24	btc updown 5m 1781318100	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x6153af…
06-13 02:29:45	xrp updown 5m 1781317500	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x7232c5…
06-13 02:28:36	eth updown 15m 1781316900	Up	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xae0da2…
06-13 02:28:36	eth updown 15m 1781316900	Up	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xaa1a79…
06-13 02:28:34	eth updown 15m 1781316900	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x2e06d5…
06-13 02:28:27	eth updown 15m 1781316900	Up	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xffd8e3…
06-13 02:28:25	eth updown 15m 1781316900	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x019e29…
06-13 02:28:24	eth updown 15m 1781316900	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4dfcf8…
06-13 02:28:22	eth updown 15m 1781316900	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x2f8f73…
06-13 02:27:37	eth updown 15m 1781316900	Up	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xcb82b9…
06-13 02:19:57	xrp updown 5m 1781316900	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x984ccd…
06-13 02:15:00	btc updown 5m 1781316600	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x934985…
06-13 02:14:33	xrp updown 5m 1781316600	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x10cb26…
06-13 02:10:00	xrp updown 5m 1781316300	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x29c3fc…
06-13 02:00:01	btc updown 5m 1781315700	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x46c470…
06-13 01:59:58	btc updown 5m 1781315700	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x5b42e7…
06-13 01:55:01	eth updown 5m 1781315400	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$7	0x9c3d03…
06-13 01:35:01	eth updown 5m 1781314200	Up	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0x776257…
06-13 01:34:58	btc updown 5m 1781314200	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xcfa22f…
06-13 01:15:00	btc updown 5m 1781313000	Up	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x22ef60…
06-13 01:14:57	btc updown 5m 1781313000	Down	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xf20a25…
06-13 00:58:10	will bitcoin dip to 52k june 8 14 2026	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xb5844f…
06-13 00:57:48	will bitcoin dip to 54k june 8 14 2026	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x59e596…
06-13 00:57:37	will bitcoin dip to 56k june 8 14 2026	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xedeeac…
06-13 00:57:25	will bitcoin dip to 58k june 8 14 2026	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x8e3663…
06-13 00:57:12	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 8 14 2026	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xcc7b0e…
06-13 00:56:52	will bitcoin reach 66k june 8 14 2026	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x13305a…
06-13 00:55:01	btc updown 5m 1781311800	Down	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xfea6d8…
06-13 00:54:57	btc updown 5m 1781311800	Up	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x17ad9b…
06-13 00:50:04	btc updown 5m 1781311500	Up	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xaedcb5…
06-13 00:49:57	btc updown 5m 1781311500	Down	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xa4a1f5…
06-13 00:25:00	btc updown 5m 1781310000	Down	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x3eb767…
06-13 00:24:58	btc updown 5m 1781310000	Up	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x0e3d59…
06-13 00:14:57	btc updown 5m 1781309400	Down	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xc893e1…
06-13 00:05:00	btc updown 5m 1781308800	Down	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0xc2e6cd…
06-13 00:05:00	btc updown 5m 1781308800	Up	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x64c0d6…
06-13 00:04:58	btc updown 5m 1781308800	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$2	0x2812a6…
06-12 23:44:58	btc updown 5m 1781307600	Down	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xe510cf…
06-12 23:44:58	btc updown 5m 1781307600	Down	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xcb520e…
06-12 23:44:57	btc updown 5m 1781307600	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x30db11…
06-12 23:35:00	btc updown 5m 1781307000	Up	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xfaaa5a…
06-12 23:35:00	btc updown 5m 1781307000	Up	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x0983ee…
06-12 23:34:57	btc updown 5m 1781307000	Down	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0x7e75d8…
06-12 23:30:03	btc updown 5m 1781306700	Up	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xcfa292…
06-12 23:29:58	btc updown 5m 1781306700	Down	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x3f5a52…
06-12 23:15:01	btc updown 5m 1781305800	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$7	0x7dfcd5…
06-12 23:14:57	btc updown 5m 1781305800	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x41defa…
06-12 23:10:01	btc updown 5m 1781305500	Up	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xb0e848…
06-12 23:09:57	btc updown 5m 1781305500	Down	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x0f8f2d…
06-12 23:05:00	btc updown 5m 1781305200	Up	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x4dc110…
06-12 23:04:58	btc updown 5m 1781305200	Down	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x4bc417…
06-12 23:00:04	btc updown 5m 1781304900	Down	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x1ba57c…
06-12 22:59:57	btc updown 5m 1781304900	Up	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x452d05…
06-12 22:55:00	btc updown 5m 1781304600	Down	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xc4e18a…
06-12 22:55:00	btc updown 5m 1781304600	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$7	0x1dc041…
06-12 22:54:57	btc updown 5m 1781304600	Up	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0x0943e8…
06-12 22:50:01	btc updown 5m 1781304300	Down	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xdce602…
06-12 22:50:01	btc updown 5m 1781304300	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$7	0x1065a0…
06-12 22:40:00	btc updown 5m 1781303700	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$7	0xcb8573…
06-12 22:39:58	btc updown 5m 1781303700	Down	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x580a06…
06-12 22:39:58	btc updown 5m 1781303700	Up	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x035d1b…
06-12 22:20:01	btc updown 5m 1781302500	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$7	0x998e4d…
06-12 22:19:58	btc updown 5m 1781302500	Down	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x9135c6…
06-12 22:19:58	btc updown 5m 1781302500	Down	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x0dc9bf…
06-12 22:19:57	btc updown 5m 1781302500	Up	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x9cdbcf…
06-12 22:09:58	btc updown 5m 1781301900	Down	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x8e440c…
06-12 22:09:57	btc updown 5m 1781301900	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xd7f6e8…
06-12 21:40:13	eth updown 5m 1781300100	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x752a2e…
06-12 21:40:03	eth updown 5m 1781300100	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xdfd9aa…
06-12 21:35:01	eth updown 5m 1781299800	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$7	0x536c62…
06-12 20:45:01	eth updown 5m 1781296800	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$7	0xc74069…
06-12 20:45:00	btc updown 5m 1781296800	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$7	0x88968b…