Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$395

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.3%

Resolved

Trades

190

lifetime

Volume

$14.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$74

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-15

last 10-28 10:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Crypto

45% 81% +$122

Other

42% 53% +$492

Tech

7% 67% -$1

Politics

3% 50% -$221

Sports

2% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	51	$1.6K	2,597	2,596	+1	Yes	+$539	05-28 15:26
Surf FDV above $100M one day after launch?	32	$1.2K	1,447	1,446	+1	open	—	10-28 10:42
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	2	$627	335	335	+0	No	+$27	03-25 17:30
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	3	$619	370	370	+0	No	-$81	03-12 16:00
bitcoin above 62k on march 6	2	$601	302	302	+0	Yes	+$1	03-05 14:41
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by march 20	2	$600	305	305	+0	No	$0	03-17 13:20
will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	2	$600	302	302	+0	No	$0	03-07 22:07
bitcoin above 56k on march 3	2	$599	306	306	+0	Yes	-$1	02-25 16:35
will ethereum dip to 1200 in march 2026	4	$497	265	265	+0	No	-$3	03-08 22:25
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	2	$477	255	255	+0	Yes	-$3	03-08 22:25
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$439	222	222	+0	Yes	-$1	03-07 16:26
GTA VI released before June 2026?	2	$380	196	196	+0	No	$0	03-16 21:02
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by march 20	1	$300	312	0	+312	No	+$12	03-17 13:20
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$300	301	0	+301	Yes	+$1	02-28 09:56
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	1	$300	313	0	+313	No	+$13	03-25 17:30
bitcoin above 68k on march 16	3	$299	207	104	+103	Yes	+$2	03-15 10:24
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$286	144	144	+0	Yes	+$0	04-13 20:25
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by march 13 158 957	1	$260	263	0	+263	No	+$3	03-12 16:03
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	2	$240	125	125	+0	No	+$0	03-02 15:36
bitcoin above 64k on march 3	2	$240	122	122	+0	Yes	$0	03-02 22:05
Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026?	5	$231	140	140	+0	open	—	09-04 16:19
bitcoin above 74k on march 3	2	$221	112	112	+0	No	+$1	03-02 11:33
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$221	227	0	+227	Yes	-$221	04-05 20:01
Will Manel Kape become UFC champion in 2026?	7	$206	232	232	+0	open	—	05-13 18:53
bitcoin above 64k on march 8	2	$201	102	102	+0	Yes	+$1	03-08 12:14
solana above 90 on february 25	1	$200	202	0	+202	No	+$2	02-25 16:37
will gta 6 cost 100	1	$199	200	0	+200	No	+$1	02-19 14:00
ethereum above 1900 on march 3	1	$190	191	0	+191	Yes	+$1	03-03 16:38
bitcoin above 68k on february 15	2	$190	200	0	+200	Yes	+$10	02-15 14:34
bitcoin above 60k on march 8	2	$180	91	91	+0	Yes	+$0	03-07 16:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 10:42:04	Surf FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	96	47¢	$45	0xb5adbb…
10-25 11:45:08	Surf FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	96	19¢	$18	0x66d76f…
10-25 11:44:24	Surf FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	96	47¢	$45	0x9df758…
10-23 09:52:17	Surf FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	96	20¢	$19	0x8d3423…
10-23 09:50:54	Surf FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	89	46¢	$41	0xd266a6…
10-23 07:30:47	Surf FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	90	19¢	$17	0x099e35…
10-23 07:16:32	Surf FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	90	40¢	$36	0x437935…
10-22 20:44:09	Surf FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	90	18¢	$16	0x2c5dcd…
10-22 20:43:21	Surf FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	90	40¢	$36	0x4cb176…
10-22 17:23:09	Surf FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	88	21¢	$18	0x1c96ce…
10-22 17:21:54	Surf FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	88	41¢	$36	0xab3909…
10-22 16:08:41	Surf FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	89	25¢	$22	0xdf5ea9…
10-22 16:07:44	Surf FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	89	45¢	$40	0x1d4341…
10-22 16:06:27	Surf FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	89	25¢	$22	0xb0248c…
10-22 16:03:59	Surf FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	89	45¢	$40	0x2c4dc8…
09-04 17:38:10	Surf FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	90	38¢	$34	0x9968d1…
09-04 17:36:36	Surf FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	90	59¢	$53	0x0828da…
09-04 16:47:57	Surf FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	90	39¢	$35	0x3cf1eb…
09-04 16:44:51	Surf FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	90	59¢	$53	0x6fa4ab…
09-04 16:41:04	Surf FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	90	37¢	$33	0xc66771…
09-04 16:38:22	Surf FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	90	58¢	$52	0x61988f…
09-04 16:32:36	Surf FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	90	36¢	$32	0x561385…
09-04 16:23:16	Surf FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	90	58¢	$52	0xb09c47…
09-04 16:20:39	Surf FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	90	36¢	$32	0x0e2048…
09-04 16:19:40	Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026?	No	SELL	70	84¢	$59	0x817dfd…
09-04 10:32:27	Gemini 4.0 released by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0x569ce7…
09-03 12:58:48	Surf FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	90	58¢	$52	0xb13ff1…
09-03 12:53:36	Surf FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	90	36¢	$32	0x8ee5bd…
09-03 12:48:13	Surf FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	90	58¢	$52	0xa8240f…
09-03 12:26:28	Surf FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	90	33¢	$30	0x3305a2…
09-03 12:25:03	Surf FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	90	58¢	$52	0xf84cc2…
09-03 12:14:39	Surf FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	90	33¢	$30	0x3a392f…
09-03 11:49:37	Surf FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	90	58¢	$52	0x37eaa6…
09-03 11:48:54	Surf FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	90	59¢	$53	0xeadc28…
09-03 11:23:06	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in December?	No	BUY	70	59¢	$41	0x79c858…
09-03 11:10:48	Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026?	No	BUY	70	76¢	$53	0x75f9ce…
09-03 11:08:46	Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026?	No	SELL	70	82¢	$57	0x376efb…
09-03 10:34:21	Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	60	86¢	$52	0xcfe183…
05-28 15:26:15	Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x25c5f3…
05-28 15:10:42	Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	Yes	SELL	143	30¢	$43	0x22870e…
05-21 00:05:21	Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	Yes	BUY	120	8¢	$10	0xef819a…
05-21 00:04:48	Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	Yes	SELL	120	30¢	$36	0x042b1e…
05-21 00:02:21	Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	Yes	BUY	143	8¢	$11	0x36f053…
05-21 00:01:43	Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	Yes	SELL	143	30¢	$43	0x963e78…
05-20 23:40:36	Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	Yes	BUY	137	30¢	$41	0xc94e28…
05-20 23:38:19	Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	Yes	SELL	137	8¢	$11	0x5b0609…
05-20 23:12:53	Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	Yes	BUY	137	30¢	$41	0xbca8aa…
05-20 23:12:18	Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	Yes	SELL	137	8¢	$11	0xa2c6df…
05-17 15:54:07	Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	Yes	BUY	142	17¢	$24	0x8866bc…
05-17 15:51:01	Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	Yes	SELL	142	52¢	$74	0x84bdd7…
05-17 15:29:44	Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	Yes	BUY	142	17¢	$24	0xc39e77…
05-17 15:29:19	Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	Yes	SELL	142	52¢	$74	0xf14a6b…
05-17 15:18:32	Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	Yes	BUY	143	17¢	$24	0x4bbdae…
05-17 15:17:27	Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	Yes	SELL	143	53¢	$76	0x2a8224…
05-13 18:53:30	Will Manel Kape become UFC champion in 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	20¢	$18	0xfc9222…
05-13 18:53:04	Will Manel Kape become UFC champion in 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	60¢	$54	0xd25d63…
05-13 18:35:04	Will Manel Kape become UFC champion in 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	20¢	$18	0x08abea…
05-13 18:33:11	Will Manel Kape become UFC champion in 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	50¢	$21	0xddb408…
05-13 18:32:41	Will Manel Kape become UFC champion in 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	20¢	$8	0x443c1b…
05-13 18:04:18	Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	Yes	BUY	144	60¢	$86	0xad0a62…
05-13 17:49:50	Will Manel Kape become UFC champion in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x2a87f9…
05-13 17:48:26	Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	Yes	SELL	144	19¢	$27	0xa084be…
05-13 17:44:02	Will Manel Kape become UFC champion in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0xd59c8c…
05-13 17:16:40	Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xe5551e…
05-13 17:15:32	Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0xff280b…
05-11 23:30:56	Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	Yes	BUY	142	13¢	$18	0x8ad0fa…
05-11 23:30:30	Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	Yes	SELL	142	74¢	$105	0xca4cbc…
05-11 23:27:31	Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	Yes	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0xd1e497…
05-11 00:29:45	Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	Yes	SELL	143	72¢	$103	0x2441a3…
05-10 23:50:54	Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	Yes	BUY	143	15¢	$21	0xc219c0…
05-10 23:50:33	Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	Yes	SELL	143	70¢	$100	0xd45def…
05-10 23:01:43	Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	Yes	BUY	143	15¢	$21	0x18d498…
05-10 23:01:26	Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	Yes	SELL	143	70¢	$100	0xfb1d14…
05-10 23:00:53	Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	Yes	BUY	143	15¢	$21	0x946ab8…
05-10 23:00:26	Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	Yes	SELL	143	70¢	$100	0x0dfd11…
05-10 11:12:27	Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	Yes	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0x340e9d…
05-10 11:12:02	Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	Yes	SELL	13	15¢	$2	0xa0f0fd…
05-10 11:10:33	Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xd8f4c1…
05-10 11:10:02	Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x14c91e…
05-10 00:11:35	Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	Yes	BUY	138	10¢	$14	0x7ab2c9…
05-10 00:11:20	Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	Yes	SELL	138	48¢	$66	0x3ed560…
05-10 00:10:22	Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	Yes	BUY	135	10¢	$14	0x2188d7…
05-10 00:09:57	Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	Yes	SELL	135	48¢	$65	0xc67c0b…
05-10 00:07:22	Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	Yes	BUY	54	20¢	$11	0xd99a79…
05-09 17:49:27	Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	Yes	BUY	87	20¢	$17	0x8f6937…
05-06 23:31:51	Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	Yes	SELL	56	5¢	$3	0x6ea7c0…
05-06 22:47:35	Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	Yes	SELL	90	10¢	$9	0xe64d00…
05-06 22:28:25	Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	Yes	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x02f6ad…
05-06 22:25:58	Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x59f269…
05-06 22:24:53	Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	Yes	BUY	29	55¢	$16	0x455f63…
05-06 22:04:32	Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	Yes	SELL	30	20¢	$6	0x9de8f9…
05-06 20:13:44	Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	Yes	BUY	19	60¢	$12	0x52f24a…
05-06 19:55:56	Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0xb5cc96…
05-06 18:15:57	Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	Yes	SELL	38	20¢	$8	0x6fdc6e…
05-06 18:15:34	Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	Yes	BUY	190	20¢	$38	0x53e275…
04-29 22:20:28	Will Freddie Mac’s market cap be between $150B and $200B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	23	9¢	$2	0xf022a4…
04-29 22:18:40	Will Freddie Mac’s market cap be between $150B and $200B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	23	56¢	$13	0x181f6d…
04-29 18:31:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0x2179b5…
04-29 18:07:40	Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x0c457f…
04-29 18:05:20	Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x7d148e…