Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
open
Total volume
$596
$387 in 24h
Trades
43
Unique wallets
25
Liquidity
$370
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-02-28
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-12 20:13
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-58.9¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $57
vs crowd: 59% YES on $495)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $1 | $57 | $56 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $105 | $11 | +$95 |
| 🐟 Fish | 10 | $58 | $129 | $71 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7 | $128 | $7 | +$121 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $57 | $57 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $113 | $62 | +$51 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $7 | $7 |
| Median | 1 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| Below median | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $18 | $18 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $45 | — | +$45 |
| unranked | 9 | $128 | $59 | +$69 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| True-Highlight 0x8030…7b74 | No | +181 | $56 | $56 | 2 | 06-12 20:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xcadc…54ca | Yes | +159 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-12 20:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x00c8…9ccd | Yes | +143 | $44 | $46 | 5 | 05-28 15:26 |
| Powerless-Kilt 0x844a…5f53 | No | +78 | $50 | $50 | 2 | 06-12 17:45 |
| Impolite-Mode 0x09e2…29de | Yes | +71 | $57 | $57 | 2 | 06-12 20:13 |
| Purple-Fruit 0x97ea…3363 | No | +59 | $57 | $57 | 2 | 06-06 12:40 |
| Sorrowful-Samovar 0x2843…b3d2 | Yes | +50 | $34 | $34 | 1 | 06-12 18:36 |
| Golden-Unemployment 0x7365…64da | Yes | +48 | $21 | $21 | 2 | 06-12 17:52 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +23 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-06 12:38 |
| Immaculate-President 0x3082…9446 | No | +21 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-12 20:11 |
| Somber-Ice 0x2b67…b814 | Yes | +16 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-12 17:45 |
| Frequent-Footrest 0x09e7…1fff | No | +13 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-12 20:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x78c5…f623 | No | +11 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-12 17:42 |
| Sorrowful-Nestmate 0x0524…9dce | Yes | +9 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-06 12:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-12 20:11 |
| Crowded-Acceptance 0xa34d…b57f | No | +7 | $1 | $10 | 3 | 06-12 17:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x60b9…a2a9 | No | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-12 20:12 |
| Sunny-Hype 0x4247…455f | No | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-12 17:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xa738…a520 | Yes | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-12 20:13 |
| That-Icy 0x6494…eb4e | Yes | +4 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-12 17:52 |
| Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | +3 | $-7 | $9 | 6 | 06-12 17:45 |
| Trusty-Close 0x04db…f0fd | No | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-12 17:52 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-12 20:13:27 | Impolite-Mode 0x09e2…29de | Yes | BUY | 51 | 85¢ | $44 | 0xe2665d… |
| 06-12 20:13:27 | (anonymous) 0xb230…e488 | Yes | SELL | 51 | 85¢ | $44 | 0xe2665d… |
| 06-12 20:13:00 | (anonymous) 0xb230…e488 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 85¢ | $5 | 0xd13b40… |
| 06-12 20:13:00 | (anonymous) 0xa738…a520 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 85¢ | $5 | 0xd13b40… |
| 06-12 20:12:58 | Impolite-Mode 0x09e2…29de | Yes | BUY | 19 | 69¢ | $13 | 0x6c2fe5… |
| 06-12 20:12:58 | (anonymous) 0x60b9…a2a9 | No | BUY | 6 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x6c2fe5… |
| 06-12 20:12:58 | Frequent-Footrest 0x09e7…1fff | No | BUY | 13 | 30¢ | $4 | 0x6c2fe5… |
| 06-12 20:11:39 | (anonymous) 0xcadc…54ca | Yes | BUY | 159 | 63¢ | $100 | 0x76afc4… |
| 06-12 20:11:39 | True-Highlight 0x8030…7b74 | No | BUY | 131 | 30¢ | $40 | 0x76afc4… |
| 06-12 20:11:39 | Immaculate-President 0x3082…9446 | No | BUY | 21 | 69¢ | $14 | 0x76afc4… |
| 06-12 20:11:39 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 7 | 69¢ | $5 | 0x76afc4… |
| 06-12 18:36:31 | True-Highlight 0x8030…7b74 | No | BUY | 50 | 32¢ | $16 | 0xf0484d… |
| 06-12 18:36:31 | Sorrowful-Samovar 0x2843…b3d2 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 68¢ | $34 | 0xf0484d… |
| 06-12 17:52:15 | That-Icy 0x6494…eb4e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x864b67… |
| 06-12 17:52:15 | Trusty-Close 0x04db…f0fd | No | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x864b67… |
| 06-12 17:52:10 | Sunny-Hype 0x4247…455f | No | BUY | 6 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x23bdaf… |
| 06-12 17:52:10 | Crowded-Acceptance 0xa34d…b57f | No | BUY | 6 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x23bdaf… |
| 06-12 17:52:10 | Golden-Unemployment 0x7365…64da | Yes | BUY | 12 | 67¢ | $8 | 0x23bdaf… |
| 06-12 17:45:57 | Somber-Ice 0x2b67…b814 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 35¢ | $6 | 0x4fe280… |
| 06-12 17:45:57 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x4fe280… |
| 06-12 17:45:06 | That-Icy 0x6494…eb4e | Yes | BUY | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x6d455c… |
| 06-12 17:45:06 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x6d455c… |
| 06-12 17:45:01 | Powerless-Kilt 0x844a…5f53 | No | BUY | 36 | 65¢ | $23 | 0xe550bf… |
| 06-12 17:45:01 | Golden-Unemployment 0x7365…64da | Yes | BUY | 36 | 35¢ | $13 | 0xe550bf… |
| 06-12 17:42:52 | Powerless-Kilt 0x844a…5f53 | No | BUY | 42 | 65¢ | $27 | 0xa88511… |
| 06-12 17:42:52 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0xa88511… |
| 06-12 17:42:52 | (anonymous) 0xb230…e488 | Yes | BUY | 57 | 35¢ | $20 | 0xa88511… |
| 06-12 17:42:52 | (anonymous) 0x78c5…f623 | No | BUY | 11 | 65¢ | $7 | 0xa88511… |
| 06-06 12:40:25 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x3d37cf… |
| 06-06 12:40:25 | Purple-Fruit 0x97ea…3363 | No | BUY | 27 | 97¢ | $26 | 0x3d37cf… |
| 06-06 12:38:42 | Sorrowful-Nestmate 0x0524…9dce | Yes | BUY | 9 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x3125bb… |
| 06-06 12:38:42 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x3125bb… |
| 06-06 12:38:42 | Purple-Fruit 0x97ea…3363 | No | BUY | 32 | 96¢ | $31 | 0x3125bb… |
| 05-28 15:26:15 | (anonymous) 0x00c8…9ccd | Yes | SELL | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x25c5f3… |
| 05-28 15:26:15 | (anonymous) 0x8b69…d36f | Yes | BUY | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x25c5f3… |
| 05-28 15:26:03 | (anonymous) 0x00c8…9ccd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xc394ba… |
| 05-28 15:26:03 | Crowded-Acceptance 0xa34d…b57f | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xc394ba… |
| 05-28 15:25:01 | Crowded-Acceptance 0xa34d…b57f | No | BUY | 6 | 65¢ | $4 | 0x8b3180… |
| 05-28 15:25:01 | (anonymous) 0x00c8…9ccd | Yes | BUY | 6 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x8b3180… |
| 05-28 15:11:22 | Threadbare-Tool 0xe007…a797 | No | SELL | 1 | 77¢ | $1 | 0xe0bade… |
| 05-28 15:11:22 | (anonymous) 0x00c8…9ccd | Yes | SELL | 1 | 23¢ | $0 | 0xe0bade… |
| 05-28 15:10:42 | (anonymous) 0x8b69…d36f | Yes | SELL | 143 | 30¢ | $43 | 0x22870e… |
| 05-28 15:10:42 | (anonymous) 0x00c8…9ccd | Yes | BUY | 143 | 30¢ | $43 | 0x22870e… |