Realized P&L
-$675
Unrealized P&L
-$24
Hit rate
50.9%
Resolved
102
Trades
2,384
lifetime
Volume
$219.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$92
Open exposure
$429
20 positions
First seen
2026-04-17
last 06-19 18:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Other
47% 33% +$15
Sports
29% 36% +$1,664
Crypto
12% 18% $-2,339
Politics
11% 20% $-15
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 109 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +644 $102 16¢ $103 +$1 06-19 03:46
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +652 $104 15¢ $95 $-10 06-13 09:08
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? Yes -87 $-28 34¢ $-30 $-2 06-06 11:42
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027? No -29 $-27 95¢ $-27 $-0 06-08 18:01
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? No +27 $27 100¢ $27 +$0 05-28 17:36
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026? Yes -109 $-17 21¢ $-23 $-6 06-13 19:40
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +132 $25 14¢ $18 $-8 06-16 01:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +41 $16 43¢ $18 +$1 06-05 06:16
Will Zcash reach $800 by December 31, 2026? No +20 $11 78¢ $16 +$4 06-01 19:24
Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026? No -213 $-14 $-15 $-1 06-13 19:40
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No -11 $-10 96¢ $-10 $-0 06-09 20:05
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -12 $-10 88¢ $-10 $-0 06-09 20:05
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +43 $10 24¢ $10 +$0 06-12 09:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +12 $6 74¢ $9 +$2 06-01 19:48
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30? Yes +834 $3 $7 +$4 06-02 13:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +6 $5 90¢ $6 +$1 06-12 07:59
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -2 $-2 100¢ $-2 $-0 06-01 08:55
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +80 $2 $2 $-0 06-03 00:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +19 $9 10¢ $2 $-8 06-18 02:06
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +103 $3 $0 $-3 06-03 00:00