Realized P&L
-$101.8K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.61K
Hit rate
62.0%
Resolved
15,795
Trades
37,045
lifetime
Volume
$2.57M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$69
Open exposure
$3.70K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-17
last 10-28 06:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 179 days
Categories
Other
67% 33% -$67,892
Crypto
24% 47% -$33,913
Sports
7% 35% +$3,773
Politics
1% 23% -$2,656
Tech
0% 21% -$1,117
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 578 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +1,258 $793 84¢ $1.1K +$270 10-23 15:59
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +11,222 $2,154 6¢ $729 -$1,425 10-03 15:23
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,111 $400 32¢ $361 -$39 10-10 23:00
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,554 $465 6¢ $296 -$169 09-22 13:15
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +650 $243 43¢ $280 +$37 10-17 21:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +6,390 $411 4¢ $252 -$159 10-05 19:05
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +110 $100 90¢ $99 -$1 10-03 22:51
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +97 $29 93¢ $89 +$61 10-11 03:57
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +402 $100 18¢ $73 -$26 09-28 09:50
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +500 $70 12¢ $63 -$8 09-06 00:24
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +279 $55 18¢ $52 -$3 09-21 17:21
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +1,145 $134 4¢ $48 -$86 09-21 17:18
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +110 $50 34¢ $38 -$12 10-17 06:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? Yes +430 $56 6¢ $28 -$28 10-28 04:16
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +28 $20 94¢ $26 +$6 10-22 19:06
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +94 $30 28¢ $26 -$4 10-17 16:42
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +38 $25 66¢ $25 +$0 10-27 23:12
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +54 $36 44¢ $23 -$13 10-16 08:12
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +494 $20 4¢ $20 -$1 09-21 17:19
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +50 $20 38¢ $19 -$1 10-27 19:58
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? Yes +20 $13 88¢ $17 +$4 10-16 22:56
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +87 $21 18¢ $16 -$5 08-03 12:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? Yes +49 $10 18¢ $9 -$1 10-28 04:17
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +9 $4 100¢ $9 +$4 07-17 14:06
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +10 $8 89¢ $9 +$1 10-11 19:35
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? Yes +12 $10 68¢ $8 -$2 10-18 06:21
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +6,800 $8 0¢ $7 -$1 10-26 22:59
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +68 $10 10¢ $7 -$3 05-10 18:51
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +67 $12 10¢ $6 -$6 05-05 12:47
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? No +13 $9 44¢ $6 -$4 06-09 10:13