Realized P&L (30d)
-$18.1K
Unrealized P&L
-$2.10K
Hit rate
65.2%
Resolved (30d)
2,493
Trades (30d)
4,186
38,232 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$180.2K
$2.61M lifetime
Avg / trade
$68
Open exposure
$2.64K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-17
last 11-06 07:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 191 days
Categories
Other
67% 33% -$69,148
Crypto
25% 47% -$35,564
Sports
7% 36% +$4,508
Politics
1% 23% -$3,069
Tech
0% 23% -$1,137
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 578 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +1,258 $793 88¢ $1.1K +$314 10-23 15:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,554 $465 6¢ $296 -$169 09-22 13:15
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +622 $231 45¢ $281 +$50 11-02 20:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +6,390 $411 4¢ $252 -$159 10-05 19:05
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +11,222 $2,154 2¢ $230 -$1,924 10-03 15:23
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +110 $100 92¢ $102 +$2 10-03 22:51
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +500 $70 15¢ $73 +$2 09-06 00:24
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +402 $100 18¢ $70 -$29 09-28 09:50
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +48 $22 64¢ $31 +$9 11-02 20:30
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? Yes +41 $15 68¢ $28 +$13 11-03 08:28
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +1,145 $134 2¢ $26 -$107 09-21 17:18
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +279 $55 8¢ $24 -$31 09-21 17:21
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +87 $21 20¢ $17 -$4 08-03 12:25
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +89 $16 18¢ $16 +$0 11-02 17:18
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +54 $36 22¢ $12 -$25 10-16 08:12
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +42 $10 24¢ $10 -$1 11-05 15:16
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? Yes +12 $10 72¢ $9 -$1 10-18 06:21
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +10 $8 93¢ $9 +$1 10-11 19:35
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +494 $20 2¢ $8 -$12 09-21 17:19
Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League? Yes +20 $8 35¢ $7 -$1 10-07 16:56
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +68 $10 9¢ $6 -$4 05-10 18:51
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? No +13 $9 38¢ $5 -$4 06-09 10:13
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +11 $6 32¢ $3 -$2 10-25 15:57
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $2 57¢ $3 +$1 10-16 08:11
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? Yes +7 $4 36¢ $2 -$2 10-18 06:22
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +3 $2 70¢ $2 +$0 09-26 13:17
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +136 $19 2¢ $2 -$17 06-29 17:47
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +400 $2 1¢ $2 +$0 08-07 14:10
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +5 $2 46¢ $2 +$0 10-27 07:03
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 +$0 05-10 02:02