Realized P&L (30d)
-$16.8K
Unrealized P&L
-$2.24K
Hit rate
67.1%
Resolved (30d)
2,347
Trades (30d)
3,897
38,334 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$192.8K
$2.63M lifetime
Avg / trade
$69
Open exposure
$2.48K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-17
last 11-11 20:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 193 days
Categories
Other
66% 33% -$70,734
Crypto
25% 47% -$34,258
Sports
7% 36% +$3,785
Politics
1% 23% -$3,069
Tech
0% 23% -$1,137
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 578 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +1,258 $793 90¢ $1.1K +$333 10-23 15:59
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +622 $231 46¢ $288 +$57 11-02 20:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,554 $465 5¢ $230 -$235 09-22 13:15
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +11,222 $2,154 2¢ $213 -$1,941 10-03 15:23
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +6,390 $411 3¢ $169 -$242 10-05 19:05
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +110 $100 92¢ $102 +$2 10-03 22:51
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +500 $70 15¢ $73 +$2 09-06 00:24
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +402 $100 17¢ $70 -$30 09-28 09:50
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +48 $22 65¢ $31 +$9 11-02 20:30
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +1,145 $134 2¢ $25 -$109 09-21 17:18
UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card) Josh Hokit +51 $18 36¢ $19 +$1 11-11 18:46
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +279 $55 6¢ $18 -$37 09-21 17:21
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +89 $16 20¢ $17 +$1 11-02 17:18
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +87 $21 18¢ $16 -$5 08-03 12:25
Will Solana dip to $50 in November? Yes +351 $12 3¢ $10 -$2 11-10 23:09
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +54 $36 18¢ $9 -$27 10-16 08:12
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? Yes +12 $10 74¢ $9 -$1 10-18 06:21
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +494 $20 2¢ $9 -$12 09-21 17:19
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +10 $8 88¢ $8 +$0 10-11 19:35
Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League? Yes +20 $8 36¢ $7 $0 10-07 16:56
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +68 $10 9¢ $6 -$4 05-10 18:51
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? No +13 $9 38¢ $5 -$4 06-09 10:13
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +4 $4 86¢ $4 $0 11-11 05:46
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +11 $6 31¢ $3 -$2 10-25 15:57
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $2 62¢ $3 +$1 10-16 08:11
Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026? Yes +22 $2 14¢ $3 +$1 10-15 00:17
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? Yes +7 $4 38¢ $3 -$1 10-18 06:22
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +3 $2 74¢ $2 +$1 09-26 13:17
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +5 $2 50¢ $2 +$0 10-27 07:03
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +400 $2 1¢ $2 +$0 08-07 14:10