Realized P&L (90d)
-$41.2K
Unrealized P&L
-$2.60K
Hit rate
61.8%
Resolved (90d)
8,136
Trades (90d)
15,187
38,274 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$600.3K
$2.62M lifetime
Avg / trade
$68
Open exposure
$2.61K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-17
last 11-10 20:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 192 days
Categories
Other
67% 33% -$69,482
Crypto
25% 47% -$35,783
Sports
7% 36% +$4,508
Politics
1% 23% -$3,069
Tech
0% 23% -$1,137
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 578 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +1,258 $793 90¢ $1.1K +$333 10-23 15:59
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +622 $231 45¢ $283 +$51 11-02 20:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,554 $465 6¢ $262 -$204 09-22 13:15
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +6,390 $411 4¢ $246 -$165 10-05 19:05
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +11,222 $2,154 2¢ $213 -$1,941 10-03 15:23
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +110 $100 92¢ $102 +$2 10-03 22:51
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +500 $70 15¢ $73 +$2 09-06 00:24
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +402 $100 17¢ $70 -$30 09-28 09:50
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on November 10? Yes +225 $30 15¢ $33 +$3 11-10 20:23
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +48 $22 61¢ $29 +$7 11-02 20:30
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +1,145 $134 2¢ $25 -$109 09-21 17:18
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +279 $55 8¢ $21 -$34 09-21 17:21
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +89 $16 20¢ $17 +$1 11-02 17:18
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +87 $21 18¢ $16 -$5 08-03 12:25
UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card) Josh Hokit +43 $15 36¢ $15 +$0 11-10 16:06
Dota 2: Froglings vs Power Rangers (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A Froglings +714 $476 2¢ $11 -$465 11-10 20:29
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? Yes +12 $10 79¢ $10 $0 10-18 06:21
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +10 $8 93¢ $9 +$1 10-11 19:35
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +54 $36 16¢ $9 -$28 10-16 08:12
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +494 $20 2¢ $8 -$12 09-21 17:19
Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League? Yes +20 $8 36¢ $7 $0 10-07 16:56
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +68 $10 9¢ $6 -$4 05-10 18:51
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? No +13 $9 38¢ $5 -$4 06-09 10:13
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $2 68¢ $4 +$2 10-16 08:11
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +11 $6 31¢ $3 -$2 10-25 15:57
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? Yes +7 $4 49¢ $3 -$1 10-18 06:22
Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026? Yes +22 $2 13¢ $3 +$1 10-15 00:17
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.0T and $1.25T? Yes +17 $2 15¢ $2 +$0 09-09 09:30
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +5 $2 49¢ $2 +$0 10-27 07:03
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +3 $2 68¢ $2 +$0 09-26 13:17