Realized P&L (90d)
-$42.9K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.78K
Hit rate
62.1%
Resolved (90d)
8,203
Trades (90d)
15,304
38,391 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$621.1K
$2.64M lifetime
Avg / trade
$69
Open exposure
$2.94K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-17
last 11-13 16:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 195 days
Categories
Other
66% 33% -$71,459
Crypto
25% 47% -$34,796
Sports
7% 36% +$3,783
Politics
1% 23% -$3,069
Tech
0% 23% -$1,137
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 578 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +1,258 $793 90¢ $1.1K +$333 10-23 15:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,554 $465 10¢ $455 -$10 09-22 13:15
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +6,390 $411 6¢ $393 -$18 10-05 19:05
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +622 $231 46¢ $287 +$56 11-02 20:31
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +11,222 $2,154 2¢ $253 -$1,902 10-03 15:23
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +110 $100 92¢ $102 +$2 10-03 22:51
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +500 $70 15¢ $73 +$2 09-06 00:24
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +402 $100 13¢ $52 -$48 09-28 09:50
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +48 $22 63¢ $30 +$8 11-02 20:30
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +1,134 $134 2¢ $24 -$109 11-13 05:13
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +279 $55 8¢ $24 -$31 09-21 17:21
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +89 $16 18¢ $16 +$0 11-02 17:18
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +87 $21 18¢ $16 -$5 08-03 12:25
Will Solana dip to $50 in November? Yes +351 $12 3¢ $11 -$1 11-10 23:09
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? Yes +12 $10 70¢ $9 -$1 10-18 06:21
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +10 $8 89¢ $9 +$1 10-11 19:35
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +494 $20 2¢ $8 -$12 09-21 17:19
Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League? Yes +20 $8 40¢ $8 +$0 10-07 16:56
UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card) Josh Hokit +22 $8 34¢ $8 -$1 11-13 04:21
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +68 $10 9¢ $6 -$4 05-10 18:51
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? No +13 $9 41¢ $5 -$4 06-09 10:13
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +54 $36 8¢ $4 -$32 10-16 08:12
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +4 $4 84¢ $4 $0 11-11 05:46
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +11 $6 32¢ $3 -$2 10-25 15:57
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +31 $3 10¢ $3 +$0 11-13 16:28
Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026? Yes +22 $2 12¢ $3 +$1 10-15 00:17
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +3 $2 78¢ $3 +$1 09-26 13:17
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +5 $2 54¢ $3 +$1 10-27 07:03
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.0T and $1.25T? Yes +17 $2 15¢ $3 +$1 09-09 09:30
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +27 $10 9¢ $3 -$7 05-16 10:05