Realized P&L (7d)
-$3.58K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.99K
Hit rate
67.9%
Resolved (7d)
500
Trades (7d)
755
38,232 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$29.3K
$2.61M lifetime
Avg / trade
$68
Open exposure
$2.80K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-17
last 11-06 07:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 188 days
Categories
Other
67% 33% -$69,135
Crypto
25% 47% -$35,564
Sports
7% 36% +$4,508
Politics
1% 22% -$3,076
Tech
0% 23% -$1,137
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 578 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +1,258 $793 88¢ $1.1K +$321 10-23 15:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,554 $465 8¢ $342 -$124 09-22 13:15
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +6,390 $411 5¢ $300 -$111 10-05 19:05
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +622 $231 45¢ $281 +$49 11-02 20:31
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +11,222 $2,154 2¢ $219 -$1,935 10-03 15:23
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +110 $100 92¢ $102 +$2 10-03 22:51
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +402 $100 20¢ $81 -$19 09-28 09:50
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +500 $70 15¢ $73 +$2 09-06 00:24
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 19, 2026? No +71 $20 48¢ $34 +$14 11-02 10:20
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +279 $55 12¢ $32 -$23 09-21 17:21
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +48 $22 66¢ $32 +$10 11-02 20:30
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +1,145 $134 2¢ $29 -$105 09-21 17:18
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026? No +603 $31 4¢ $24 -$6 11-03 12:53
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? Yes +41 $15 54¢ $22 +$7 11-03 08:28
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +87 $21 19¢ $16 -$5 08-03 12:25
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +89 $16 18¢ $16 +$0 11-02 17:18
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +54 $36 24¢ $13 -$24 10-16 08:12
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +494 $20 2¢ $11 -$9 09-21 17:19
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +42 $10 24¢ $10 -$1 11-05 15:16
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? Yes +53 $11 16¢ $9 -$2 11-05 05:23
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +10 $8 90¢ $9 +$1 10-11 19:35
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? Yes +12 $10 70¢ $9 -$1 10-18 06:21
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +68 $10 9¢ $6 -$4 05-10 18:51
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? No +13 $9 42¢ $6 -$4 06-09 10:13
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +11 $6 38¢ $4 -$2 10-25 15:57
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $10 2¢ $3 -$7 09-21 22:45
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +208 $5 1¢ $3 -$2 09-21 22:48
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $2 54¢ $3 +$1 10-16 08:11
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? Yes +7 $4 38¢ $3 -$1 10-18 06:22
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +136 $19 2¢ $3 -$16 06-29 17:47