Realized P&L
-$125
Unrealized P&L
+$8
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
1,658
lifetime
Volume
$11.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$360
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 06-09 17:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
49% 0% $-97
Politics
28% 0% $-23
Crypto
18% 0% $-5
Tech
4%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 617 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -107 $-101 90¢ $-97 +$4 06-05 12:19
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +56 $41 78¢ $44 +$3 06-04 11:10
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No +40 $39 99¢ $40 +$0 06-03 05:48
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30? No +56 $36 68¢ $38 +$2 06-01 18:21
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? No -22 $-18 79¢ $-17 +$1 06-01 20:21
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 2m barrels per day in 2026? No +15 $14 96¢ $14 $-0 05-28 07:17
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026? Yes +13 $13 100¢ $13 +$1 05-29 17:38
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No -10 $3 96¢ $-10 $-12 05-31 17:53
Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026? No +11 $9 88¢ $10 +$1 05-31 14:33
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +35 $7 23¢ $8 +$1 06-02 23:05
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes +7 $6 98¢ $7 +$1 06-03 15:05
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? No +8 $2 76¢ $6 +$4 06-05 12:13
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +51 $4 12¢ $6 +$2 06-03 04:38
Reppo FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +6 $5 96¢ $6 +$1 05-31 14:42
Will Solana reach $320 by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 96¢ $6 +$0 05-29 13:42
Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +7 $4 61¢ $4 $-0 05-31 20:08
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? No +10 $6 44¢ $4 $-1 05-30 22:43
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026? Yes +10 $4 38¢ $4 $-0 05-28 10:05
Arc FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +5 $4 82¢ $4 $-0 05-28 05:32
Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election? Yes +5 $2 72¢ $3 +$1 06-03 04:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +10 $2 24¢ $2 $-0 06-03 02:16
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027? No -13 $-5 18¢ $-2 +$3 06-05 12:13
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026? No +22 $3 10¢ $2 $-1 06-01 13:05
SlingshotDAO FDV above $8M one day after launch? Yes +4 $4 50¢ $2 $-1 05-31 14:42
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +3 $2 68¢ $2 +$0 06-02 09:55
Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +3 $2 74¢ $2 +$0 05-28 15:34
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +7 $2 29¢ $2 +$0 05-27 23:17
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by June 30, 2026? Yes +20 $2 $2 $-0 06-01 18:30
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30? Yes +50 $2 $1 $-1 06-02 23:41
Printr FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 05-31 13:20