Realized P&L
-$125
Unrealized P&L
-$31
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
1,855
lifetime
Volume
$12.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$298
28 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 06-13 08:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
49% 0% $-97
Politics
30% 0% $-23
Crypto
16% 0% $-5
Tech
3%
Sports
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 617 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -107 $-101 100¢ $-107 $-6 06-05 12:19
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No -50 $-42 86¢ $-43 $-0 06-13 08:34
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? No -30 $-29 87¢ $-26 +$3 06-13 08:53
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026? No +22 $3 95¢ $21 +$17 06-01 13:05
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No -25 $-17 72¢ $-18 $-1 06-13 08:38
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? No -22 $-18 80¢ $-17 +$1 06-01 20:21
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? No -13 $-1 99¢ $-13 $-12 06-13 08:54
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No -10 $3 100¢ $-10 $-13 05-31 17:53
Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026? Yes -10 $-9 98¢ $-10 $-1 06-13 08:51
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? No -10 $-3 86¢ $-9 $-5 06-13 08:44
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes +7 $6 90¢ $6 +$0 06-03 15:05
Will Solana reach $320 by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 96¢ $6 +$0 05-29 13:42
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026? Yes +10 $4 30¢ $3 $-1 05-28 10:05
Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +3 $2 77¢ $2 +$0 05-28 15:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +10 $2 18¢ $2 $-1 06-03 02:16
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes -15 $-2 11¢ $-2 +$1 06-13 08:50
Printr FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 05-31 13:20
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +2 $1 55¢ $1 $-0 06-13 08:57
Tuyo FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +1 $1 78¢ $1 +$0 05-30 22:51
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? Yes +5 $1 15¢ $1 $-1 06-01 20:27
Tuyo FDV above $150M one day after launch? No +1 $0 81¢ $0 +$0 06-03 06:01
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +72 $5 $0 $-4 06-12 01:50
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by June 30, 2026? Yes +20 $2 $0 $-2 06-01 18:30
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? Yes +100 $2 $0 $-2 05-30 02:40
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30? Yes +50 $2 $0 $-2 06-02 23:41
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? Yes +44 $1 $0 $-1 05-29 03:14
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +7 $2 $0 $-2 05-27 23:17
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? Yes +17 $1 $0 $-1 06-03 05:22