Realized P&L
-$125
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
1,855
lifetime
Volume
$12.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$130
15 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 06-13 08:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
49% 0% $-97
Politics
30% 0% $-23
Crypto
16% 0% $-5
Tech
3%
Sports
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 617 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No -50 $-42 86¢ $-43 $-0 06-13 08:34
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? No -30 $-29 84¢ $-25 +$4 06-13 08:53
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No -25 $-17 77¢ $-19 $-2 06-13 08:38
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? No -22 $-18 80¢ $-17 +$1 06-01 20:21
Will Solana reach $320 by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 97¢ $6 +$0 05-29 13:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +10 $2 46¢ $5 +$2 06-03 02:16
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes -15 $-2 26¢ $-4 $-2 06-13 08:50
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? No -10 $-3 29¢ $-3 +$0 06-13 08:44
Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +3 $2 93¢ $3 +$1 05-28 15:34
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026? Yes +10 $4 14¢ $1 $-3 05-28 10:05
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +2 $1 67¢ $1 +$0 06-13 08:57
Printr FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 05-31 13:20
Tuyo FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +1 $1 63¢ $1 +$0 05-30 22:51
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? Yes +5 $1 12¢ $1 $-1 06-01 20:27
Tuyo FDV above $150M one day after launch? No +1 $0 80¢ $0 +$0 06-03 06:01