Threadbare-Tool — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,857

lifetime

Volume

$4.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 08-01 20:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

68% — —

Politics

27% 0% $-7

Sports

3% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	22	$329	201	169	+32	open	—	07-10 05:53
israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	16	$241	148	116	+32	open	—	06-29 22:46
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	12	$180	138	46	+92	open	—	06-22 14:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	11	$166	114	66	+48	open	—	06-25 08:55
will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	4	$60	31	31	+0	open	—	06-29 11:30
Counter-Strike: 2007 vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group C	3	$60	121	0	+121	open	—	05-26 16:24
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	3	$50	50,000	0	+50,000	open	—	07-09 16:00
israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	3	$45	31	16	+15	open	—	07-10 05:54
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	3	$44	32	16	+16	open	—	07-10 05:54
iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	2	$35	21	21	+0	open	—	06-19 05:15
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	2	$34	27	27	+0	open	—	06-19 05:15
ebola case in the us by june 30	1	$31	0	33	-33	open	—	06-19 05:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	2	$30	32	0	+32	open	—	05-31 00:00
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	1	$30	0	39	-39	open	—	06-14 13:12
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by june 30	1	$20	0	20	-20	open	—	06-19 05:15
Bukayo Saka: Anytime Goalscorer	1	$20	23	0	+23	open	—	05-27 00:51
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	6	$17	20	5	+15	open	—	02-23 19:36
tur gal ala 2026 02 28 draw	4	$16	10	10	+0	open	—	02-28 17:55
mls sje atl 2026 02 28 sje	4	$16	10	10	+0	open	—	03-01 02:20
mls col por 2026 02 28 col	5	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	02-28 22:52
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	1	$15	25	0	+25	open	—	06-01 02:32
starmer out by july 31 2026	1	$15	18	0	+18	open	—	06-19 19:41
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	1	$15	20	0	+20	open	—	05-29 21:48
will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	1	$15	17	0	+17	open	—	06-11 03:18
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	1	$15	0	182	-182	open	—	06-19 05:16
will the secret agent win best casting at the 98th academy awards	4	$14	10	5	+5	open	—	02-11 18:44
lal vil val 2026 02 22 vil	4	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	02-22 21:12
fl1 hac psg 2026 02 28 psg	3	$13	5	10	-5	open	—	02-28 20:56
nhl nyi cbj 2026 02 28	3	$13	10	5	+5	open	—	03-01 01:42
hok hero jdg 2026 02 28 game handicap away 2pt5	5	$13	13	5	+8	open	—	02-23 22:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 20:41:11	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	11	90¢	$9	0xfe229c…
07-30 06:49:53	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	13	96¢	$12	0xca36b8…
07-24 19:50:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	24	30¢	$7	0x3017a4…
07-24 18:44:21	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x4cba54…
07-24 18:41:24	will trump meet with netanyahu by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xc4a346…
07-24 18:41:24	will trump meet with netanyahu by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0ccd98…
07-10 05:54:07	Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x5b2980…
07-10 05:54:01	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x878fcc…
07-10 05:53:59	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x39fcda…
07-10 05:53:19	Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	16	89¢	$14	0xd29227…
07-10 05:53:14	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	SELL	16	97¢	$15	0xb6e101…
07-10 05:53:07	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	SELL	17	90¢	$15	0x0ad767…
07-09 16:00:53	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	20,000	0¢	$20	0xf0edd0…
07-09 09:35:23	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	20,000	0¢	$20	0xc0f176…
07-09 09:20:17	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x813654…
07-05 03:24:44	Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x1b1ad7…
07-05 03:16:32	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0xaff7be…
06-29 22:46:13	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0xe1150f…
06-29 22:46:10	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xe11081…
06-29 22:45:41	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0xdab9db…
06-29 22:45:38	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	SELL	17	88¢	$15	0x36136b…
06-29 22:28:49	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xcec10f…
06-29 21:59:11	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0xc6b9d6…
06-29 21:58:38	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x125b29…
06-29 21:58:35	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	SELL	17	88¢	$15	0xa759d1…
06-29 21:05:22	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x8c8b25…
06-29 20:43:25	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0xc501da…
06-29 20:42:41	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	SELL	17	88¢	$15	0x8ad481…
06-29 12:02:28	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0xff60d4…
06-29 12:01:49	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	SELL	17	88¢	$15	0xc240ef…
06-29 11:30:41	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x8a092d…
06-29 11:30:05	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xff480d…
06-29 11:30:02	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	SELL	17	88¢	$15	0x22b940…
06-29 11:29:58	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	SELL	16	97¢	$15	0x7e5873…
06-25 08:57:01	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xabde88…
06-25 08:56:59	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x24cb65…
06-25 08:56:58	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xe60599…
06-25 08:56:29	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0xe398ea…
06-25 08:56:26	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	SELL	17	88¢	$15	0x125241…
06-25 08:56:22	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0x10f02e…
06-25 08:55:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0xb93a5a…
06-25 05:33:23	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x2d08bb…
06-22 14:28:46	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x186791…
06-22 14:28:41	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0x248154…
06-22 14:28:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xeb37b7…
06-22 14:27:34	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	SELL	17	88¢	$15	0x4c26aa…
06-22 14:27:26	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	SELL	18	89¢	$16	0xd0c73e…
06-22 14:27:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	17	93¢	$15	0xac1d57…
06-22 14:26:14	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xb01fd8…
06-19 19:41:16	starmer out by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0xe0b416…
06-19 18:17:47	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0xd0fc16…
06-19 18:17:47	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0x7932c2…
06-19 18:17:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x33efdb…
06-19 18:17:40	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x8194c5…
06-19 18:16:59	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0xea4eb6…
06-19 18:16:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	16	90¢	$15	0x9a71c0…
06-19 18:16:32	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	SELL	18	85¢	$15	0xf0f0c3…
06-19 18:15:46	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	SELL	17	89¢	$15	0x055fd6…
06-19 16:10:56	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x2e224e…
06-19 16:10:22	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xb0ac59…
06-19 16:09:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x0df045…
06-19 16:09:38	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xb5bad4…
06-19 16:09:02	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0x9a26a7…
06-19 16:08:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xafade5…
06-19 16:08:49	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x10ab6f…
06-19 16:08:22	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x26f78e…
06-19 16:08:19	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0x200eea…
06-19 16:08:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x7922cc…
06-19 16:08:02	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xd4cdc0…
06-19 16:07:17	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0xa1d18b…
06-19 16:07:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x6e01d2…
06-19 16:07:01	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xd94156…
06-19 16:06:34	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	SELL	17	89¢	$15	0xc06ff9…
06-19 16:06:31	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	SELL	17	85¢	$15	0xe7b7b7…
06-19 16:06:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	17	92¢	$16	0x54bd0e…
06-19 16:06:08	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x9426d3…
06-19 05:16:08	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x9b95c3…
06-19 05:16:01	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	SELL	182	8¢	$15	0xd2e800…
06-19 05:15:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	27	70¢	$19	0x11dfb9…
06-19 05:15:52	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0xe5d773…
06-19 05:15:50	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by june 30	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x97d2c1…
06-19 05:15:47	ebola case in the us by june 30	No	SELL	33	94¢	$31	0x52a49d…
06-19 04:36:46	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0xe8825c…
06-19 04:36:43	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0xb1fb4f…
06-19 04:36:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x0bb881…
06-18 13:47:13	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xccc4b0…
06-17 06:50:02	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xdcb600…
06-14 13:12:43	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xcbc1ff…
06-14 13:12:36	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	SELL	39	75¢	$30	0x31c231…
06-14 03:57:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0xcfb83e…
06-11 03:18:31	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	No	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x943c49…
06-01 02:32:19	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x14e401…
06-01 02:32:16	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0xb806ee…
05-31 00:00:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xc43efa…
05-29 21:48:00	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x095d20…
05-28 15:11:22	Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xe0bade…
05-28 05:57:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x53d1a3…
05-27 00:51:00	Bukayo Saka: Anytime Goalscorer	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xf9e334…
05-26 16:24:53	Counter-Strike: 2007 vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group C	ex-Zero Tenacity	BUY	41	48¢	$20	0xf471c4…
05-26 16:19:07	Counter-Strike: 2007 vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group C	2007	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xf286ad…