Threadbare-Tool — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,771

lifetime

Volume

$3.02K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$34

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 06-17 06:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

86% — —

Politics

9% 0% $-7

Sports

3% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	+25	$15	74¢	$18	+$4	06-01 02:32
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	+15	$15	97¢	$15	$-0	06-17 06:50
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	-5	$-0	10¢	$-0	+$0	06-14 13:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Counter-Strike: 2007 vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group C	3	$60	121	0	+121	open	—	05-26 16:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	2	$30	32	0	+32	open	—	05-31 00:00
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	1	$30	0	39	-39	open	—	06-14 13:12
Bukayo Saka: Anytime Goalscorer	1	$20	23	0	+23	open	—	05-27 00:51
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	6	$17	20	5	+15	open	—	02-23 19:36
tur gal ala 2026 02 28 draw	4	$16	10	10	+0	open	—	02-28 17:55
mls sje atl 2026 02 28 sje	4	$16	10	10	+0	open	—	03-01 02:20
mls col por 2026 02 28 col	5	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	02-28 22:52
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	1	$15	25	0	+25	open	—	06-01 02:32
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	1	$15	27	0	+27	open	—	06-14 03:57
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	1	$15	20	0	+20	open	—	05-29 21:48
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?	1	$15	21	0	+21	open	—	06-01 02:32
will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	1	$15	17	0	+17	open	—	06-11 03:18
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	06-17 06:50
will the secret agent win best casting at the 98th academy awards	4	$14	10	5	+5	open	—	02-11 18:44
lal vil val 2026 02 22 vil	4	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	02-22 21:12
fl1 hac psg 2026 02 28 psg	3	$13	5	10	-5	open	—	02-28 20:56
nhl nyi cbj 2026 02 28	3	$13	10	5	+5	open	—	03-01 01:42
hok hero jdg 2026 02 28 game handicap away 2pt5	5	$13	13	5	+8	open	—	02-23 22:39
will microstrategy announce holding 740k btc by february 28	4	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	02-22 08:36
highest temperature in chicago on january 25 28forhigher	4	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	01-24 08:35
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	01-29 04:45
fl1 nan hac 2026 02 22 draw	3	$12	10	5	+5	open	—	02-22 16:24
mls por clb 2026 02 21 por	4	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	02-22 05:07
fr2 lmf gui 2026 02 23 gui	4	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	02-23 21:01
Named storm forms before hurricane season?	4	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	05-26 05:09
hok hero jdg 2026 02 28 game handicap away 1pt5	5	$11	13	5	+8	open	—	02-23 22:39
val ox shi 2026 02 16 map handicap home 1pt5	4	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	02-13 13:04
highest temperature in london on february 12 2026 11c	4	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	02-12 13:52
aus bri per 2026 02 28 spread away 1pt5	3	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	02-28 03:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 06:50:02	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xdcb600…
06-14 13:12:43	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xcbc1ff…
06-14 13:12:36	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	SELL	39	75¢	$30	0x31c231…
06-14 03:57:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0xcfb83e…
06-11 03:18:31	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	No	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x943c49…
06-01 02:32:19	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x14e401…
06-01 02:32:16	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0xb806ee…
05-31 00:00:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xc43efa…
05-29 21:48:00	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x095d20…
05-28 15:11:22	Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xe0bade…
05-28 05:57:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x53d1a3…
05-27 00:51:00	Bukayo Saka: Anytime Goalscorer	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xf9e334…
05-26 16:24:53	Counter-Strike: 2007 vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group C	ex-Zero Tenacity	BUY	41	48¢	$20	0xf471c4…
05-26 16:19:07	Counter-Strike: 2007 vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group C	2007	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xf286ad…
05-26 16:19:05	Counter-Strike: 2007 vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group C	ex-Zero Tenacity	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x776159…
05-26 05:10:07	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xfa8325…
05-26 05:09:53	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0x2d26c5…
05-26 05:09:35	Named storm forms before hurricane season?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0x2a17b1…
04-02 20:25:17	mar1 asf old 2026 02 02 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x671a5f…
03-03 00:13:51	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3396bf…
03-02 03:11:47	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 560 579	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x424716…
03-01 07:11:31	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 140 159	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb9d7c9…
03-01 06:13:53	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 140 159	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x061609…
03-01 05:18:31	kor jeo bch 2026 03 01 draw	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x2ceda4…
03-01 05:16:55	kor jeo bch 2026 03 01 draw	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x9b8784…
03-01 03:50:19	mls lag clt 2026 02 28 lag	Yes	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0xd12f3a…
03-01 03:50:19	mls lag clt 2026 02 28 clt	No	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x6c519a…
03-01 03:49:13	mls lag clt 2026 02 28 clt	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xf008c0…
03-01 03:48:55	mls lag clt 2026 02 28 lag	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x367d3f…
03-01 03:23:01	mls skc clb 2026 02 28 skc	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xb0418a…
03-01 03:20:15	mls skc clb 2026 02 28 skc	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x9f289a…
03-01 03:08:41	mls hou laf 2026 02 28 hou	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2f0264…
03-01 03:08:27	hok agsp tesa 2026 03 01 game1	TOP Esports Armor	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xdc85d6…
03-01 03:04:41	mls hou laf 2026 02 28 hou	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x6fc539…
03-01 03:04:33	mls vwh tor 2026 02 28 draw	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x91d254…
03-01 03:04:19	mls vwh tor 2026 02 28 tor	No	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0xe2f4f7…
03-01 03:03:55	mls vwh tor 2026 02 28 vwh	Yes	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x75401c…
03-01 03:02:05	mls hou laf 2026 02 28 laf	Yes	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x365e35…
03-01 03:02:01	mls vwh tor 2026 02 28 draw	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xea8be8…
03-01 02:58:49	mls hou laf 2026 02 28 laf	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x97862f…
03-01 02:56:25	mls vwh tor 2026 02 28 tor	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x36ac88…
03-01 02:55:49	mls vwh tor 2026 02 28 vwh	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x61c982…
03-01 02:48:59	mls skc clb 2026 02 28 skc	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf7e4fb…
03-01 02:48:41	mls skc clb 2026 02 28 clb	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x5f7c96…
03-01 02:44:35	mls skc clb 2026 02 28 clb	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x48bc44…
03-01 02:26:59	mls rsl sea 2026 02 28 rsl	No	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x64f678…
03-01 02:21:43	mls rsl sea 2026 02 28 rsl	No	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x88aad6…
03-01 02:20:45	mls sje atl 2026 02 28 sje	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x02eb58…
03-01 02:20:27	mls rsl sea 2026 02 28 sea	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x50befc…
03-01 02:19:27	mls rsl sea 2026 02 28 rsl	No	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xff19f4…
03-01 02:10:43	mls sje atl 2026 02 28 sje	Yes	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xe4edf1…
03-01 01:50:21	mls rsl sea 2026 02 28 sea	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xcb5f3c…
03-01 01:43:59	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 540 559	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x76d205…
03-01 01:42:09	nhl nyi cbj 2026 02 28	Islanders	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x82f807…
03-01 01:36:21	nhl nsh dal 2026 02 28	Predators	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0xcd44b8…
03-01 01:35:57	mex mon1 caz 2026 02 28 caz	Yes	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0xb12266…
03-01 01:34:57	nhl nsh dal 2026 02 28	Predators	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x695248…
03-01 01:32:39	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 580plus	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xfe0483…
03-01 01:30:03	mex mon1 caz 2026 02 28 mon1	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x8a6704…
03-01 01:28:27	mex mon1 caz 2026 02 28 caz	Yes	BUY	1	61¢	$0	0x7a845e…
03-01 01:27:57	mex mon1 caz 2026 02 28 caz	Yes	BUY	4	61¢	$3	0x88c617…
03-01 01:26:35	mex mon1 caz 2026 02 28 mon1	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xe74998…
03-01 01:17:35	mls sje atl 2026 02 28 atl	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x3011be…
03-01 01:13:19	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 160 179	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x8a9a23…
03-01 01:09:21	mls sje atl 2026 02 28 sje	Yes	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0xb9e173…
03-01 01:07:27	mls rsl sea 2026 02 28 sea	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x4a5a78…
03-01 01:05:25	mls sje atl 2026 02 28 sje	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x6b5de9…
03-01 00:45:51	nhl chi col 2026 02 28	Avalanche	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x54feef…
03-01 00:22:19	nhl ott tor 2026 02 28	Maple Leafs	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x038d62…
03-01 00:20:43	nhl ott tor 2026 02 28	Maple Leafs	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x81b58c…
03-01 00:12:49	nhl nyi cbj 2026 02 28	Blue Jackets	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xd11382…
03-01 00:09:33	nhl nyi cbj 2026 02 28	Blue Jackets	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x63ea0e…
02-28 23:31:21	nothing ever happens jerome powell edition 394	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5fdb4d…
02-28 23:14:33	highest temperature in seattle on february 28 2026 52 53f	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xc416b6…
02-28 23:11:31	nhl chi col 2026 02 28	Blackhawks	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x1ecd0c…
02-28 23:10:05	nhl chi col 2026 02 28	Blackhawks	BUY	0	25¢	$0	0xf4deb9…
02-28 23:10:05	nhl chi col 2026 02 28	Blackhawks	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x148192…
02-28 23:09:59	nhl chi col 2026 02 28	Blackhawks	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xf5bdbc…
02-28 23:09:35	nhl nj stl 2026 02 28	Devils	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x7a08b8…
02-28 23:09:23	nhl nj stl 2026 02 28	Devils	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xff9bcb…
02-28 22:52:17	mls col por 2026 02 28 col	Yes	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x73b3df…
02-28 22:50:37	mls col por 2026 02 28 col	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x663084…
02-28 22:20:09	nhl bos phi 2026 02 28	Bruins	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x154680…
02-28 22:17:09	nhl bos phi 2026 02 28	Bruins	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x6e411f…
02-28 21:55:11	arg boc gye 2026 02 28 draw	No	SELL	4	64¢	$3	0x4726ca…
02-28 21:49:59	mls col por 2026 02 28 col	Yes	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x9f2793…
02-28 21:49:35	mls col por 2026 02 28 por	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x6ec15f…
02-28 21:47:51	mls col por 2026 02 28 col	Yes	BUY	4	61¢	$3	0xc8d9a6…
02-28 21:47:51	mls col por 2026 02 28 col	Yes	BUY	1	61¢	$0	0xc8d0e3…
02-28 21:47:23	arg boc gye 2026 02 28 draw	No	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0x65dec2…
02-28 21:44:55	lal ovi mad 2026 02 28 ovi	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x5acf51…
02-28 21:43:15	codmw mh c9ny 2026 03 01 game handicap away 2pt5	Cloud9 New York	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x9d4c8a…
02-28 21:35:37	arg boc gye 2026 02 28 draw	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xd79b14…
02-28 21:31:53	ere nec sit 2026 02 28 nec	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xfa4d87…
02-28 21:12:53	rou1 ffc fcc 2026 02 28 ffc	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6d84e3…
02-28 21:09:45	fl1 hac psg 2026 02 28 draw	No	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x02a960…
02-28 21:08:23	mls nyr ner 2026 02 28 draw	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xb5920a…
02-28 21:06:19	bl2 fur s04 2026 02 28 fur	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x7290ae…
02-28 21:04:57	bl2 fur s04 2026 02 28 s04	No	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0xefb45f…
02-28 21:02:01	fl1 hac psg 2026 02 28 hac	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x0c8808…