Sorrowful-Samovar 0x2843d5…93b3d2
whale 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$130
Unrealized P&L
+$154
Hit rate
80.8%
Resolved
26
Trades
3,490
lifetime
Volume
$109.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$1.92K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 21:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
65% 71% +$200
Other
27% 33% $-39
Tech
3% — —
Sports
2% 40% $-32
Crypto
2% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 189 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No +570 $258 64¢ $368 +$110 06-04 00:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +400 $294 84¢ $338 +$44 06-04 00:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +200 $160 90¢ $181 +$21 06-01 17:33
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? No +202 $94 80¢ $160 +$66 06-05 15:06
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +400 $173 38¢ $154 $-19 06-09 18:46
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Yes +200 $144 72¢ $145 +$1 06-05 06:21
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam? Yes -160 $-112 80¢ $-127 $-15 06-09 17:26
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes +175 $96 64¢ $111 +$15 06-09 17:23
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes +249 $122 36¢ $89 $-33 06-09 17:23
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +300 $64 29¢ $86 +$22 06-01 18:36
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? Yes +300 $121 26¢ $77 $-44 06-04 09:49
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes -40 $-39 97¢ $-39 $-0 06-08 10:36
Kash Patel out by June 30? Yes -402 $-24 10¢ $-38 $-14 06-09 14:51
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -29 $-9 18¢ $-5 +$4 06-09 18:08
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +10 $6 24¢ $2 $-4 06-08 03:02