Sorrowful-Samovar 0x2843d5…93b3d2
whale 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$130
Unrealized P&L
-$493
Hit rate
80.8%
Resolved
26
Trades
4,866
lifetime
Volume
$154.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$861
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 17:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
56% 71% +$200
Other
33% 33% $-39
Tech
5% — —
Sports
4% 40% $-32
Crypto
2% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 114 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +550 $401 40¢ $217 $-184 07-16 06:48
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +400 $159 32¢ $130 $-29 07-12 00:21
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? Yes +100 $63 70¢ $69 +$6 07-16 03:18
Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI? Yes +250 $145 27¢ $67 $-78 07-02 21:51
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +200 $82 34¢ $67 $-15 06-21 22:01
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? Yes +100 $80 52¢ $52 $-28 07-15 14:09
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +200 $80 22¢ $44 $-36 07-17 18:49
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes -200 $-62 18¢ $-36 +$26 06-25 20:53
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +100 $43 30¢ $30 $-12 07-16 22:30
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -100 $-46 26¢ $-26 +$20 06-11 17:35
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes -500 $-20 4¢ $-22 $-2 06-19 00:15
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +100 $28 20¢ $20 $-8 06-16 20:16
US strike on Mexico by December 31? Yes +150 $8 12¢ $18 +$10 07-05 16:32
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes -100 $-34 18¢ $-18 +$16 06-25 20:54
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes -227 $-14 6¢ $-15 $-1 07-06 14:32
Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027? Yes +200 $50 7¢ $14 $-36 07-03 19:59
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? Yes +200 $20 5¢ $10 $-10 07-03 19:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +300 $137 2¢ $5 $-132 06-24 16:35