Sorrowful-Samovar 0x2843d5…93b3d2 Create alert
whale cold 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.02K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.22K
Hit rate
63.6%
Resolved
1,377
Trades
6,441
lifetime
Volume
$197.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$2.15K
29 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-03 00:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 229 days
Categories
Politics
51% 62% +$1,868
Other
35% 65% -$2,788
Sports
6% 49% -$548
Tech
6% 67% +$153
Crypto
2% 67% +$290
Pop-Culture
0% 50% +$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +427 $322 91¢ $389 +$67 10-15 05:40
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +553 $320 66¢ $365 +$45 08-12 14:12
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +252 $185 85¢ $214 +$29 10-04 16:47
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128 Yes +200 $152 92¢ $185 +$33 07-18 11:54
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? Yes +228 $152 76¢ $174 +$23 11-02 20:17
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +300 $137 36¢ $106 -$30 06-16 20:16
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +100 $87 96¢ $96 +$9 04-28 15:12
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? Yes +150 $120 63¢ $94 -$26 10-19 10:26
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +100 $87 88¢ $88 +$2 10-18 19:33
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -400 -$53 18¢ $-70 -$17 06-14 21:25
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +531 $123 11¢ $58 -$65 11-03 00:45
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +180 $43 30¢ $54 +$11 10-28 04:05
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $189 14¢ $43 -$146 09-17 16:48
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +200 $82 18¢ $36 -$46 06-21 22:01
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +400 $160 7¢ $28 -$132 07-12 00:21
will cmi declare a millennium prize problem solved by december 31 2026 20260723160122980 Yes +500 $70 5¢ $25 -$44 09-05 04:57
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 Yes +380 $286 6¢ $23 -$263 07-31 19:53
tyler robinson convicted of homicide Yes +181 $86 12¢ $21 -$65 08-19 18:01
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? Yes +100 $15 18¢ $18 +$2 09-12 00:50
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +102 $80 16¢ $16 -$64 04-28 17:02
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes -200 -$9 4¢ $-7 +$2 07-06 14:32
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? Yes +191 $46 4¢ $7 -$39 10-01 17:39
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? Yes +200 $20 3¢ $6 -$14 07-03 19:59
US strike on Mexico by December 31? Yes +150 $8 4¢ $6 -$2 07-05 16:32
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +100 -$4 6¢ $6 +$10 10-14 04:13
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? Yes -100 -$14 4¢ $-4 +$10 05-05 23:17
israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632 Yes +82 $57 4¢ $4 -$53 07-30 22:49
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 05-04 20:26
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes -50 $451 3¢ $-1 -$453 09-15 18:50