Trusty-Close — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.16K

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

71.3%

Resolved

13,966

Trades

64,833

lifetime

Volume

$22.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 07:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 299 days

Categories

Other

66% 31% +$3,211

Crypto

23% 46% +$159

Sports

6% 27% +$567

Politics

4% 60% +$177

Tech

1% 50% +$37

Pop-Culture

0% 30% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 121 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-1	-$1	4¢	$-0	+$0	09-16 04:29
France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	-$1	4¢	$0	+$1	10-18 18:59
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	+0	-$1	4¢	$0	+$1	06-12 17:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
wta semenis osuigwe 2026 03 01 set handicap away 1pt5	4	$141	250	140	+110	Semenistaja	+$122	03-02 00:54
fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 goals cristiano ronaldo gte1	25	$128	341	283	+58	No	+$149	06-17 18:01
O/U 0.5 Rounds	3	$101	177	100	+77	Over	+$92	05-02 08:35
nba mil hou 2026 04 01 rebounds jabari smith jr 6pt5	3	$99	100	100	+0	Yes	+$97	04-02 02:16
powerslap 21 hager singh 2026 07 10 amanpreet singh win by ko tko	7	$94	150	94	+56	Yes	+$91	07-11 02:56
cs2 ast lavked 2026 04 10 game2 odd even total rounds	12	$87	100	100	+0	Even	+$85	04-10 10:51
Bitcoin above 78,200 on May 8, 3AM ET?	6	$85	603	143	+460	Yes	+$82	05-08 06:56
dota2 nem glyph 2026 04 03 game3 ends in daytime	5	$81	152	82	+70	Yes	+$95	04-03 07:31
will bitcoin reach 106k january 19 25	7	$75	66	101	-35	No	-$1	01-24 01:26
ethereum above 2010 on march 28 2026 6pm et	2	$75	51	76	-24	No	+$49	03-28 22:00
Will Syria win on 2026-06-09?	133	$75	1,405	1,405	+0	No	+$62	06-08 08:19
val rc cgz 2026 03 20 game2	20	$72	196	85	+111	Crest Gaming Zst	+$64	03-20 12:18
epl new eve 2026 02 28 halftime result away	5	$69	267	67	+200	Yes	+$63	02-28 15:48
dota2 dgs lvlup1 2026 03 04 total games 2pt5	7	$65	882	69	+813	Under	+$58	03-04 21:47
Carlos Forbs: 1+ assists	5	$65	71	71	+0	No	+$63	10-21 22:17
atp gill busta 2026 03 19 first set total 10pt5	3	$63	142	70	+73	Under	+$33	03-19 16:28
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 saves gregor kobel gte5	4	$63	63	63	+0	No	+$61	07-12 04:12
Germany to score first vs. Côte d'Ivoire?	18	$61	168	135	+34	No	+$72	06-20 21:45
Will Bahrain win on 2026-06-09?	76	$60	1,145	1,145	+0	No	+$48	06-08 09:21
will the us collect less than 100b in revenue in 2025	231	$59	5,479	5,683	-204	Yes	+$19	03-01 06:58
mlb phi wsh 2026 06 23 hr gabriel rincones jr 0pt5	5	$56	56	56	+0	Under	+$55	06-24 01:39
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 shots enzo fernandez gte1	8	$56	56	56	+0	No	+$55	07-12 04:26
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 goals giuliano simeone gte1	8	$55	56	56	-0	No	+$54	07-12 03:02
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	93	$54	4,751	3,081	+1,670	Yes	+$23	04-18 21:32
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 2?	58	$54	371	359	+12	Yes	+$33	05-02 23:55
highest temperature in nyc on march 7 2026 46 47f	105	$53	1,839	1,483	+356	No	+$15	03-09 02:41
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 shots breel embolo gte1	4	$53	56	56	+0	Yes	+$52	07-12 02:38
rl flcn red 2026 02 19 game3	10	$51	140	51	+90	REDACTED	+$60	02-26 18:58
FK Spartak Moskva vs. FK Zenit: FK Zenit O/U 2.5 Corners	2	$51	51	50	+0	Over	+$49	08-23 19:03
lol mkoi vit 2026 07 26 game2 first blood	4	$48	80	49	+31	Movistar KOI	+$46	07-26 16:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 07:28:05	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,000 in November?	No	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x74968a…
10-27 07:28:02	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,000 in November?	No	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0xb9c374…
10-27 05:40:56	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VT-AL House election?	Yes	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x4e099f…
10-27 05:36:53	Will Ukraine re-enter Zakitne by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0x73bb2e…
10-27 03:27:06	Exact Score: Liverpool FC 3 - 1 Arsenal FC?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x2acd51…
10-27 03:05:50	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 ME-01 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0xaaa2bf…
10-27 02:49:20	Will Kat Pasquach win the 2026 Windsor mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa3d258…
10-27 02:47:48	Will Kat Pasquach win the 2026 Windsor mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x73069f…
10-27 02:37:41	Will Independiente Santa Fe vs. CA Bucaramanga end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x6a3caf…
10-27 02:37:11	Will Independiente Santa Fe vs. CA Bucaramanga end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xe00278…
10-27 01:51:50	Will Kat Pasquach win the 2026 Windsor mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe98988…
10-27 01:51:15	Will Kat Pasquach win the 2026 Windsor mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x4a48b5…
10-27 01:50:59	Will Drew Dilkens win the 2026 Windsor mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	54	0¢	$0	0x507fbb…
10-27 01:50:51	Will Kat Pasquach win the 2026 Windsor mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x658dc5…
10-27 01:50:24	Will Drew Dilkens win the 2026 Windsor mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x5adbef…
10-27 01:48:12	Will Drew Dilkens win the 2026 Windsor mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	18	2¢	$0	0x93deb9…
10-27 01:47:57	Will Drew Dilkens win the 2026 Windsor mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x96d228…
10-27 01:47:57	Will Drew Dilkens win the 2026 Windsor mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x7d1568…
10-27 01:45:33	Will Kat Pasquach win the 2026 Windsor mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0xadf937…
10-27 01:45:33	Will Kat Pasquach win the 2026 Windsor mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0x693cfc…
10-27 01:38:12	Will Kat Pasquach win the 2026 Windsor mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x10dd55…
10-27 01:38:11	Will Kat Pasquach win the 2026 Windsor mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xf107e3…
10-27 01:38:06	Will Fred Francis win the 2026 Windsor mayoral election?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x6a2025…
10-27 01:38:05	Will Drew Dilkens win the 2026 Windsor mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xdeb95e…
10-27 01:38:05	Will Kat Pasquach win the 2026 Windsor mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x521973…
10-27 01:31:11	Will "Doing Life" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x2968c6…
10-27 01:31:09	Will "Sacrifice" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xc96e43…
10-27 01:25:48	Will Fred Francis win the 2026 Windsor mayoral election?	No	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x3c4f53…
10-27 01:17:39	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-01 House election by 0%-10%?	Yes	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0x84e153…
10-27 00:28:59	Will Kat Pasquach win the 2026 Windsor mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x720f6c…
10-26 23:19:23	Exact Score: Liverpool FC 2 - 3 Arsenal FC?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x609fa3…
10-26 23:16:42	Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x642b79…
10-26 21:59:11	Will Valve add sticker trade-ups before November?	Yes	BUY	28	1¢	$0	0x362b11…
10-26 21:48:20	Exact Score: Liverpool FC 3 - 2 Arsenal FC?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x1326f3…
10-26 21:48:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 26?	Yes	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0xb0f3b9…
10-26 21:47:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xf24bd1…
10-26 21:41:42	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-04 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	SELL	16	1¢	$0	0x25f1de…
10-26 21:12:30	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $825B by October 31?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xc425d9…
10-26 20:05:44	Exact Score: Liverpool FC 0 - 3 Arsenal FC?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xce6b52…
10-26 20:05:44	Exact Score: Liverpool FC 1 - 3 Arsenal FC?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x511463…
10-26 20:05:44	Exact Score: Liverpool FC 0 - 2 Arsenal FC?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x4f5d4c…
10-26 19:50:54	Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (HIGH) 105.00 in October?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x746716…
10-26 19:31:42	will mstr dip to 140 in october 2026 from october 26	No	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x1f4fbd…
10-26 19:19:39	Exact Score: Liverpool FC 2 - 0 Arsenal FC?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x6e9860…
10-26 18:37:50	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	7¢	$1	0xa7c491…
10-26 15:12:30	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $350 on October 26?	No	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x1afd4a…
10-26 14:38:32	bitcoin above 78600 on october 26 2026 11am et	No	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x171af3…
10-26 14:37:51	bitcoin above 79600 on october 26 2026 11am et	No	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0xdf31cf…
10-26 14:35:03	bitcoin above 78200 on october 26 2026 11am et	No	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xb93c88…
10-26 14:35:03	bitcoin above 78400 on october 26 2026 11am et	No	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x1abc1c…
10-26 14:17:41	bitcoin above 79000 on october 26 2026 11am et	No	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x33838e…
10-26 13:39:05	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	SELL	18	4¢	$1	0xcca3a2…
10-26 13:38:21	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xc733d8…
10-26 13:38:21	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xaa2e80…
10-26 13:38:21	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x85494f…
10-26 13:30:41	Will MicroStrategy (MSTR) hit (LOW) $140 in October?	No	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xd0c0d8…
10-26 12:38:26	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $640 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x6f3903…
10-26 12:34:32	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $640 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x33c0e4…
10-26 12:29:18	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $640 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x73d792…
10-26 12:17:48	Exact Score: Liverpool FC 3 - 0 Arsenal FC?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xf6be66…
10-26 11:47:21	Will Valorant Mobile win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xcfd6b1…
10-26 11:35:35	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0x039bcc…
10-26 11:35:30	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in November?	Yes	BUY	9	6¢	$1	0xaf1536…
10-26 11:32:53	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in November?	Yes	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0x44c8e3…
10-26 11:28:53	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $825B by October 31?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xa302b8…
10-26 11:23:35	Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 3.25-4% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x85c919…
10-26 11:10:05	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $700 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	7¢	$1	0x5343c3…
10-26 11:08:30	Will "Evil Dead Burn" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x4f18c8…
10-26 11:08:12	Will "Evil Dead Burn" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xe76b76…
10-26 11:07:20	Will "Primate" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x9dc590…
10-26 10:59:24	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $700 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0x0e25c5…
10-26 09:46:00	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 on October 26?	Yes	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0x11055b…
10-26 09:17:20	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,300 in November?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xb23060…
10-26 08:38:18	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 on October 26?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0xd29a08…
10-26 08:38:11	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 on October 26?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x357c8a…
10-26 08:37:17	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 on October 26?	Yes	SELL	16	7¢	$1	0xe96502…
10-26 08:25:32	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-01 House election by 50% or more?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0xee12b1…
10-26 07:55:54	Will Benjamin Danyluk win the 2026 Windsor mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x52467a…
10-26 07:53:42	Will "Animals" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	SELL	17	2¢	$0	0x3c88da…
10-26 02:55:06	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,400 in November?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0xb0d1b8…
10-26 02:54:59	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,300 in November?	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x69dbb9…
10-26 01:26:26	Clippers vs. Thunder: O/U 231.5	Over	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xff958a…
10-26 01:26:26	Spread: Thunder (-6.5)	Clippers	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xb6bb9a…
10-26 01:26:26	Clippers vs. Thunder: O/U 229.5	Over	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x5c40ec…
10-26 01:26:26	Clippers vs. Thunder: O/U 231.5	Over	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x2ef3e9…
10-26 01:26:23	Clippers vs. Thunder: O/U 209.5	Over	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0xc5eb80…
10-26 01:26:23	Clippers vs. Thunder: O/U 209.5	Over	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x5d5bc7…
10-26 01:26:21	Clippers vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5	Over	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0xf54c1d…
10-26 01:26:21	Clippers vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5	Over	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x0de0b4…
10-26 01:26:20	Clippers vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5	Over	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xbbb2c0…
10-26 01:26:20	Clippers vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5	Over	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x99b054…
10-26 01:26:15	Spread: Thunder (-6.5)	Clippers	BUY	12	4¢	$0	0x44b3cc…
10-26 01:26:03	Clippers vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5	Over	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x39916d…
10-26 01:25:51	Clippers vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5	Over	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x93b351…
10-26 01:22:30	Spread: Thunder (-10.5)	Thunder	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0xa9f1f2…
10-26 01:22:21	Spread: Thunder (-10.5)	Thunder	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xd330a1…
10-26 01:11:45	Spread: Thunder (-19.5)	Thunder	BUY	560	0¢	$1	0xc33aeb…
10-26 01:00:32	Spread: Clippers (-7.5)	Clippers	SELL	71	3¢	$2	0xf9e72e…
10-26 01:00:32	Spread: Clippers (-7.5)	Clippers	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0xb21459…
10-26 01:00:32	Spread: Clippers (-7.5)	Clippers	SELL	75	4¢	$3	0x649bca…