Realized P&L
+$4.51K
Unrealized P&L
+$35
Hit rate
71.7%
Resolved
14,268
Trades
66,970
lifetime
Volume
$23.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$15
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-14 11:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 317 days
Categories
Other
67% 31% +$3,511
Crypto
22% 46% +$180
Sports
6% 27% +$563
Politics
5% 60% +$214
Tech
1% 53% +$38
Pop-Culture
0% 30% +$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 148 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Werner Graf be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? Yes +245 -$3 2¢ $4 +$7 11-13 23:37
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 ME-01 House election by 30%-35%? No +35 $1 6¢ $2 +$1 11-11 15:29
Will Kathy Hochul win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026? No +30 -$3 6¢ $2 +$5 11-13 14:00
Anthropic acquired before 2027? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 05-08 20:05
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027? Yes -14 -$10 5¢ $-1 +$9 07-25 08:39
Will the Arizona Cardinals have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season? Yes +2 $0 30¢ $1 +$1 09-03 21:47
Rahul Gandhi arrested by December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $0 10¢ $1 +$1 11-14 02:16
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-04 House election by 5%-10%? Yes +65 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 11-07 21:26
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Nayarit Congress election? No +6 $1 7¢ $0 $0 11-08 22:52
Will MC win the most seats in the 2027 Nayarit Congress election? Yes +29 -$1 1¢ $0 +$1 11-08 22:52
Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Nayarit Congress election? Yes -6 $0 6¢ $-0 $0 11-12 16:30
Will 210 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between November 9-November 15? Yes +5 $0 6¢ $0 +$1 11-13 20:13
Will PRI win the most seats in the 2027 Nayarit Congress election? Yes +16 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 11-08 22:52
Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Nayarit Congress election? Yes +33 -$1 1¢ $0 +$1 11-08 22:52
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-04 House election by 25%-30%? No +8 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 11-07 21:26
Will the Swiss National Bank decrease the SNB policy rate by 50+ bps at the March meeting? Yes +16 -$1 1¢ $0 +$1 11-08 11:20
Will PT win the most seats in the 2027 Nayarit Congress election? Yes -17 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 11-01 14:22
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-04 House election by 20%-25%? Yes -8 $0 2¢ $-0 +$0 11-09 06:01
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-04 House election? Yes +28 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 11-07 21:53
Will ground beef hit $9 per pound in 2026? Yes -3 -$2 4¢ $-0 +$2 06-13 04:34
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-04 House election by 30%-35%? Yes +29 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 11-07 21:26
Will Melania Trump visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 -$1 4¢ $0 +$1 11-13 07:22
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-04 House election by 15%-20%? Yes — +18 $0 0¢ $0 $0 11-07 21:53
Will Sudan join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 -$1 1¢ $0 +$1 09-18 02:27
Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 50+ bps at the March meeting? Yes +35 -$1 0¢ $0 +$1 11-08 11:20
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-04 House election by 10%-15%? Yes +5 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 11-08 18:15
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? Yes -1 -$1 4¢ $-0 +$0 09-16 04:29
Anthropic acquired before 2027? Yes -2 -$3 2¢ $-0 +$3 05-21 05:34
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 ME-01 House election by 20%-25%? Yes +13 -$1 0¢ $0 +$1 11-11 15:31
Will Aleksandar Vučić win the next Serbia presidential election? Yes +25 $0 0¢ $0 $0 07-19 05:41