Trusty-Close — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$680

Unrealized P&L

+$17

Hit rate

72.9%

Resolved (90d)

1,656

Trades (90d)

4,599

61,098 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$2.04K

$21.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

10 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-06 15:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 309 days

Categories

Other

66% 31% +$3,379

Crypto

22% 46% +$182

Sports

6% 27% +$569

Politics

5% 60% +$200

Tech

1% 53% +$38

Pop-Culture

0% 30% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 148 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Yandex vs The World (BO3) - BetBoom Rise of Legends Group A	The World	+18	$0	24¢	$4	+$4	11-06 13:04
Will the Arizona Cardinals have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	Yes	+2	$0	45¢	$1	+$1	09-03 21:47
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 37m and 40m?	Yes	+36	$0	2¢	$1	+$0	11-06 15:15
will fewer than 150 ships transit the bab el mandeb strait between november 9 november 15	Yes	+19	-$1	3¢	$1	+$1	11-06 04:36
Alaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?	Yes	+2	$0	14¢	$0	+$0	11-06 01:14
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-01 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	+3	$0	3¢	$0	+$0	11-06 10:57
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	-$7	100¢	$0	+$7	11-05 06:08
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-1	-$1	2¢	$-0	+$0	09-16 04:29
France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	-$1	2¢	$0	+$1	10-18 18:59
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	+0	-$1	4¢	$0	+$1	06-12 17:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
wta semenis osuigwe 2026 03 01 set handicap away 1pt5	4	$141	250	140	+110	Semenistaja	+$122	03-02 00:54
fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 goals cristiano ronaldo gte1	25	$128	341	283	+58	No	+$149	06-17 18:01
O/U 0.5 Rounds	3	$101	177	100	+77	Over	+$92	05-02 08:35
nba mil hou 2026 04 01 rebounds jabari smith jr 6pt5	3	$99	100	100	+0	Yes	+$97	04-02 02:16
powerslap 21 hager singh 2026 07 10 amanpreet singh win by ko tko	7	$94	150	94	+56	Yes	+$91	07-11 02:56
Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?	26	$92	479	479	+0	No	+$91	11-02 15:51
cs2 ast lavked 2026 04 10 game2 odd even total rounds	12	$87	100	100	+0	Even	+$85	04-10 10:51
Bitcoin above 78,200 on May 8, 3AM ET?	6	$85	603	143	+460	Yes	+$82	05-08 06:56
dota2 nem glyph 2026 04 03 game3 ends in daytime	5	$81	152	82	+70	Yes	+$95	04-03 07:31
will bitcoin reach 106k january 19 25	7	$75	66	101	-35	No	-$1	01-24 01:26
ethereum above 2010 on march 28 2026 6pm et	2	$75	51	76	-24	No	+$49	03-28 22:00
Will Syria win on 2026-06-09?	133	$75	1,405	1,405	+0	No	+$62	06-08 08:19
val rc cgz 2026 03 20 game2	20	$72	196	85	+111	Crest Gaming Zst	+$64	03-20 12:18
epl new eve 2026 02 28 halftime result away	5	$69	267	67	+200	Yes	+$63	02-28 15:48
dota2 dgs lvlup1 2026 03 04 total games 2pt5	7	$65	882	69	+813	Under	+$58	03-04 21:47
Carlos Forbs: 1+ assists	5	$65	71	71	+0	No	+$63	10-21 22:17
atp gill busta 2026 03 19 first set total 10pt5	3	$63	142	70	+73	Under	+$33	03-19 16:28
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 saves gregor kobel gte5	4	$63	63	63	+0	No	+$61	07-12 04:12
Germany to score first vs. Côte d'Ivoire?	18	$61	168	135	+34	No	+$72	06-20 21:45
Will Bahrain win on 2026-06-09?	76	$60	1,145	1,145	+0	No	+$48	06-08 09:21
will the us collect less than 100b in revenue in 2025	231	$59	5,479	5,683	-204	Yes	+$19	03-01 06:58
mlb phi wsh 2026 06 23 hr gabriel rincones jr 0pt5	5	$56	56	56	+0	Under	+$55	06-24 01:39
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 shots enzo fernandez gte1	8	$56	56	56	+0	No	+$55	07-12 04:26
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 goals giuliano simeone gte1	8	$55	56	56	-0	No	+$54	07-12 03:02
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	93	$54	4,751	3,081	+1,670	Yes	+$23	04-18 21:32
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 2?	58	$54	371	359	+12	Yes	+$33	05-02 23:55
highest temperature in nyc on march 7 2026 46 47f	105	$53	1,839	1,483	+356	No	+$15	03-09 02:41
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 shots breel embolo gte1	4	$53	56	56	+0	Yes	+$52	07-12 02:38
rl flcn red 2026 02 19 game3	10	$51	140	51	+90	REDACTED	+$60	02-26 18:58
FK Spartak Moskva vs. FK Zenit: FK Zenit O/U 2.5 Corners	2	$51	51	50	+0	Over	+$49	08-23 19:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 15:15:46	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 37m and 40m?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x13ad60…
11-06 14:15:00	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-01 House election by 40%-45%?	No	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0xb9a965…
11-06 13:04:21	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Yandex vs The World (BO3) - BetBoom Rise of Legends Group A	The World	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0x492f90…
11-06 12:50:09	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0x2ef683…
11-06 12:48:48	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x48c1cb…
11-06 10:57:15	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-01 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xa46879…
11-06 10:53:30	Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by December 31?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x84d891…
11-06 10:48:49	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mark Carney by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xf08d26…
11-06 08:26:57	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mark Carney by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x582a41…
11-06 08:16:04	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 43m?	Yes	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0xef1242…
11-06 08:09:24	Will Bruce Blakeman win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x2229ac…
11-06 07:13:10	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 43m?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x7c88cc…
11-06 06:32:01	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in November?	Yes	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0x9a74de…
11-06 06:32:01	Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat?	No	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x755205…
11-06 06:32:01	Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 50+ bps at the March meeting?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x00ccc8…
11-06 05:54:49	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mark Carney by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	12¢	$2	0xdd43ae…
11-06 05:42:45	Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat?	No	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x499d10…
11-06 04:36:31	Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between November 9-November 15?	Yes	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0xcab0c6…
11-06 04:31:40	Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between November 9-November 15?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xede138…
11-06 03:59:30	Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between November 9-November 15?	Yes	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0x7dd1f5…
11-06 01:14:57	Alaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x919f48…
11-06 00:22:36	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KS-04 House election?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0xcfcd74…
11-05 22:31:52	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0x8fee3e…
11-05 22:24:01	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mark Carney by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x1f2bc5…
11-05 19:59:57	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mark Carney by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0xf6e1d5…
11-05 19:54:51	Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between November 9-November 15?	Yes	SELL	9	17¢	$2	0x2ade50…
11-05 19:43:15	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xebeeff…
11-05 18:51:48	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Guerrero Congress election?	No	SELL	15	6¢	$1	0x9505a2…
11-05 18:32:16	W50 Huamantla: Ingrid Carolina Millan Acosta vs Malaika Rapolu	Ingrid Carolina Millan Acosta	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0xe38b6b…
11-05 18:08:33	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-01 House election by 40%-45%?	No	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x758f5d…
11-05 17:55:01	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Guerrero Congress election?	No	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x0bd144…
11-05 17:08:10	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-01 House election by 50% or more?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xd0b67a…
11-05 16:08:01	Will MC win the most seats in the 2027 Nayarit Congress election?	Yes	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0xf16dd6…
11-05 16:06:51	Will MC win the most seats in the 2027 Nayarit Congress election?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x9b7d26…
11-05 15:50:55	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-04 House election by 0%-5%?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x506462…
11-05 15:31:01	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KS-04 House election?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x04d649…
11-05 13:54:42	M15 Salvador: Oscar Jose Gutierrez vs Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago	Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x4e78fa…
11-05 12:34:01	Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x21fbd7…
11-05 12:27:55	Dota 2: HULIGANI vs PuckChamp - Game 1 Winner	PuckChamp	SELL	14	5¢	$1	0xbfc153…
11-05 11:48:21	Overwatch: The Gatos Guapos vs Team Benxxn (BO5) - OCS Pacific Stage 3 Group Stage	Team Benxxn	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xbb36ca…
11-05 11:36:25	Will FK Karvan Yevlakh win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x93547b…
11-05 11:34:45	Will FK Karvan Yevlakh vs. Simal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x372fb3…
11-05 11:34:43	Will FK Karvan Yevlakh win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x0e80a9…
11-05 11:33:30	Will FK Karvan Yevlakh win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	7	7¢	$0	0xcf021a…
11-05 11:26:21	Will Simal win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x2171d7…
11-05 09:40:51	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KS-04 House election?	Yes	SELL	33	1¢	$0	0xde1f7b…
11-05 08:48:30	Will Kathy Hochul win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0xcf3512…
11-05 06:54:54	ow tgg ben 2026 11 05	Team Benxxn	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x99af38…
11-05 06:08:01	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0x6fb3c8…
11-05 06:05:24	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0xee9f8b…
11-05 05:27:10	M15 Salvador: Oscar Jose Gutierrez vs Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago	Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x0ba6c1…
11-05 04:43:09	W50 Huamantla: Ingrid Carolina Millan Acosta vs Malaika Rapolu	Ingrid Carolina Millan Acosta	BUY	11	4¢	$0	0xe1c270…
11-05 04:06:13	itf acosta1 rapolu1 2026 11 05	Ingrid Carolina Millan Acosta	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x4fc559…
11-05 03:33:18	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x5bb7d2…
11-05 03:31:06	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xdeb0f6…
11-05 03:30:57	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xf77972…
11-05 02:37:51	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VT-AL House election by 45%-50%?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x609826…
11-05 02:19:22	dota2 huliga pckcp 2026 11 06 game1	PuckChamp	BUY	14	4¢	$1	0xc2a125…
11-05 02:05:57	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	73	0¢	$0	0x05b832…
11-05 01:27:22	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in November?	Yes	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0xb348d8…
11-04 23:34:45	Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	3¢	$1	0xbce901…
11-04 23:01:39	Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.B. Pritzker by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	168	0¢	$0	0x017e42…
11-04 20:05:42	Will Mo Ivory win the 2026 Fulton Commission Chair election?	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x381d32…
11-04 18:46:18	Will Kathy Hochul win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0x595577…
11-04 18:27:45	Will Kathy Hochul win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	8	30¢	$2	0x12b43a…
11-04 18:10:27	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 10%-15%?	No	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0xc1da02…
11-04 18:06:03	Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat?	No	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0x7bcd67…
11-04 17:54:48	Will Werner Graf be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x4dcd45…
11-04 17:23:18	Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat?	No	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0xc6d8ee…
11-04 16:59:03	Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?	No	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0xaa04f2…
11-04 16:59:00	Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?	No	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x4c6c73…
11-04 16:52:52	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-04 House election by 0%-5%?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x69258e…
11-04 16:52:33	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-04 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x54adb8…
11-04 16:52:24	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-04 House election by 30% or more?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x33b39b…
11-04 16:52:06	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KS-04 House election?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xb84ae2…
11-04 16:51:58	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-04 House election by 0%-5%?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x0e7ff4…
11-04 15:57:48	Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 50+ bps at the March meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x4419be…
11-04 15:40:27	Will PRI win the most seats in the 2027 Nayarit Congress election?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x97595f…
11-04 15:37:28	Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x06adbc…
11-04 15:28:45	Will Kathy Hochul win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0xa10667…
11-04 15:17:45	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KS-04 House election?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x1aeb2a…
11-04 14:31:58	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mark Carney by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xcfd825…
11-04 14:04:24	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	SELL	23	1¢	$0	0xb8cdcf…
11-04 14:01:51	Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x0a2a01…
11-04 13:58:42	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 RI-01 House election?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x6d3cc3…
11-04 13:43:42	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x4d9a83…
11-04 13:21:25	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x7669c3…
11-04 13:20:52	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	BUY	39	0¢	$0	0x2010fc…
11-04 12:46:54	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Hakeem Jeffries by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	1¢	$0	0x2f8977…
11-04 12:46:33	Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.B. Pritzker by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x7b27e2…
11-04 12:43:28	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VT-AL House election by 50%-55%?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x82ea2c…
11-04 12:42:55	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VT-AL House election by 40%-45%?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x87212f…
11-04 12:42:52	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VT-AL House election by 40%-45%?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x0a6be8…
11-04 12:42:49	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VT-AL House election by 45%-50%?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0xee0f3f…
11-04 12:42:40	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VT-AL House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xb4781e…
11-04 12:22:27	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x690e29…
11-04 11:50:46	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 40% or more?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0xf9ca1c…
11-04 11:34:54	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-01 House election by 50% or more?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x778b9f…
11-04 11:22:25	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-01 House election by 45%-50%?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x40c186…
11-04 11:06:36	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-01 House election by 10%-20%?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x9401a1…