Trusty-Close — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$198

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

87.9%

Resolved (7d)

154

Trades (7d)

927

65,818 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$328

$22.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-03 18:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 306 days

Categories

Other

66% 31% +$3,362

Crypto

22% 46% +$181

Sports

6% 27% +$569

Politics

4% 61% +$197

Tech

1% 53% +$38

Pop-Culture

0% 30% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 130 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+24	$0	2¢	$1	+$0	11-01 18:47
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-1	-$1	5¢	$-0	+$0	09-16 04:29
France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	-$1	3¢	$0	+$1	10-18 18:59
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	+0	-$1	4¢	$0	+$1	06-12 17:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
wta semenis osuigwe 2026 03 01 set handicap away 1pt5	4	$141	250	140	+110	Semenistaja	+$122	03-02 00:54
fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 goals cristiano ronaldo gte1	25	$128	341	283	+58	No	+$149	06-17 18:01
O/U 0.5 Rounds	3	$101	177	100	+77	Over	+$92	05-02 08:35
nba mil hou 2026 04 01 rebounds jabari smith jr 6pt5	3	$99	100	100	+0	Yes	+$97	04-02 02:16
powerslap 21 hager singh 2026 07 10 amanpreet singh win by ko tko	7	$94	150	94	+56	Yes	+$91	07-11 02:56
Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?	26	$92	479	479	+0	No	+$91	11-02 15:51
cs2 ast lavked 2026 04 10 game2 odd even total rounds	12	$87	100	100	+0	Even	+$85	04-10 10:51
Bitcoin above 78,200 on May 8, 3AM ET?	6	$85	603	143	+460	Yes	+$82	05-08 06:56
dota2 nem glyph 2026 04 03 game3 ends in daytime	5	$81	152	82	+70	Yes	+$95	04-03 07:31
will bitcoin reach 106k january 19 25	7	$75	66	101	-35	No	-$1	01-24 01:26
ethereum above 2010 on march 28 2026 6pm et	2	$75	51	76	-24	No	+$49	03-28 22:00
Will Syria win on 2026-06-09?	133	$75	1,405	1,405	+0	No	+$62	06-08 08:19
val rc cgz 2026 03 20 game2	20	$72	196	85	+111	Crest Gaming Zst	+$64	03-20 12:18
epl new eve 2026 02 28 halftime result away	5	$69	267	67	+200	Yes	+$63	02-28 15:48
dota2 dgs lvlup1 2026 03 04 total games 2pt5	7	$65	882	69	+813	Under	+$58	03-04 21:47
Carlos Forbs: 1+ assists	5	$65	71	71	+0	No	+$63	10-21 22:17
atp gill busta 2026 03 19 first set total 10pt5	3	$63	142	70	+73	Under	+$33	03-19 16:28
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 saves gregor kobel gte5	4	$63	63	63	+0	No	+$61	07-12 04:12
Germany to score first vs. Côte d'Ivoire?	18	$61	168	135	+34	No	+$72	06-20 21:45
Will Bahrain win on 2026-06-09?	76	$60	1,145	1,145	+0	No	+$48	06-08 09:21
will the us collect less than 100b in revenue in 2025	231	$59	5,479	5,683	-204	Yes	+$19	03-01 06:58
mlb phi wsh 2026 06 23 hr gabriel rincones jr 0pt5	5	$56	56	56	+0	Under	+$55	06-24 01:39
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 shots enzo fernandez gte1	8	$56	56	56	+0	No	+$55	07-12 04:26
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 goals giuliano simeone gte1	8	$55	56	56	-0	No	+$54	07-12 03:02
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	93	$54	4,751	3,081	+1,670	Yes	+$23	04-18 21:32
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 2?	58	$54	371	359	+12	Yes	+$33	05-02 23:55
highest temperature in nyc on march 7 2026 46 47f	105	$53	1,839	1,483	+356	No	+$15	03-09 02:41
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 shots breel embolo gte1	4	$53	56	56	+0	Yes	+$52	07-12 02:38
rl flcn red 2026 02 19 game3	10	$51	140	51	+90	REDACTED	+$60	02-26 18:58
FK Spartak Moskva vs. FK Zenit: FK Zenit O/U 2.5 Corners	2	$51	51	50	+0	Over	+$49	08-23 19:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 19:06:10	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 RI-01 House election?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xd1740c…
11-03 18:10:37	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xbd1b86…
11-03 15:40:37	Counter-Strike: BakS eSports vs KUUSAMO.gg (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #10 Group B	KUUSAMO.gg	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0xf3a633…
11-03 15:23:31	Counter-Strike: BakS eSports vs KUUSAMO.gg (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #10 Group B	KUUSAMO.gg	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x30947d…
11-03 13:35:39	UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x6f5db9…
11-03 13:00:48	Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Lilmix (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Playoffs	Lilmix	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x1616b8…
11-03 09:44:01	Charlottesville: Justin Boulais vs J.J. Wolf	Justin Boulais	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0xaf91a3…
11-03 08:06:06	Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET?	Yes	BUY	784	0¢	$1	0x217b7a…
11-03 07:22:10	Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x97a0a1…
11-03 07:21:30	Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xfd2fe9…
11-03 07:21:28	Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x2808cf…
11-03 07:21:24	Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x98f864…
11-03 07:00:27	Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x198c1b…
11-03 06:46:36	Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x370f41…
11-03 06:42:54	Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x9273b1…
11-03 06:14:22	Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 6% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	26	2¢	$0	0xf37ee1…
11-03 06:13:57	Will Bernie endorse Zach Wahls for IA-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xdfbb1c…
11-03 06:09:09	Will Bernie endorse Zach Wahls for IA-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xf176f8…
11-03 06:09:09	Will Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x977917…
11-03 06:01:52	Will Bernie endorse Zach Wahls for IA-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x51d379…
11-03 06:01:45	Will Bernie endorse Zach Wahls for IA-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xb884a8…
11-03 06:01:39	Will Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x3dfb61…
11-03 05:58:57	Will Bernie endorse Zach Wahls for IA-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x0f9622…
11-03 05:48:30	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Andy Burnham by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	3¢	$1	0xcfcdbf…
11-03 04:18:04	Will Bernie endorse Zach Wahls for IA-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x11da2e…
11-03 04:08:55	Will Bernie endorse Zach Wahls for IA-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x82a33c…
11-03 03:43:07	Charlottesville: Justin Boulais vs J.J. Wolf	Justin Boulais	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x61e94d…
11-03 03:23:16	Will the Swiss National Bank decrease the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x7a0e06…
11-03 02:08:31	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Masoud Pezeshkian by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xe611fe…
11-03 02:08:06	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x391c3a…
11-03 02:05:07	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Andy Burnham by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x5bb6c7…
11-03 02:03:22	Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.B. Pritzker by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xf99eb7…
11-03 02:02:25	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mark Carney by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x587c40…
11-03 01:27:45	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-04 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x7cf607…
11-03 01:23:16	atp boulais wolf 2026 11 03	J.J. Wolf	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x5bbe14…
11-03 01:07:58	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 43m?	Yes	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0x101496…
11-03 00:16:42	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0x6c8734…
11-02 23:31:49	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-04 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0x5aea53…
11-02 23:24:52	Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xc17adf…
11-02 23:24:12	Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x9080c0…
11-02 23:23:51	Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x3527ff…
11-02 23:23:21	Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xb9a532…
11-02 23:23:03	Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x713553…
11-02 23:22:52	Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x2ea9a7…
11-02 23:22:39	Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf5a2f0…
11-02 23:22:25	Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	14	5¢	$1	0x0b79f8…
11-02 23:22:15	Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x6008bd…
11-02 23:21:52	Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x4f4e70…
11-02 22:40:28	Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x80a34c…
11-02 22:40:00	Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x4a20fa…
11-02 21:25:30	Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Nayarit Congress election?	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0xf6d840…
11-02 21:01:28	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 43m?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x0a4832…
11-02 20:18:57	Darius Acuff Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5	Yes	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x8cbf3f…
11-02 20:01:09	Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 3.5	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x7b38f7…
11-02 19:31:22	Partizan vs. U-BT Cluj-Napoca	U-BT Cluj-Napoca	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0xebfee1…
11-02 18:50:04	Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 3.5	Yes	SELL	39	5¢	$2	0x03ef13…
11-02 18:45:21	Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 5.5	Yes	SELL	19	19¢	$4	0x68b05d…
11-02 18:45:10	Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 3.5	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xee25a5…
11-02 18:45:09	Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 3.5	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x331fcf…
11-02 18:45:07	Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 3.5	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x19c517…
11-02 18:45:06	Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 3.5	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x8ba804…
11-02 18:45:06	Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 5.5	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x28397e…
11-02 18:26:49	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-01 House election by 45%-50%?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xc600a5…
11-02 17:39:31	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	2¢	$1	0x89ce76…
11-02 17:04:03	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m?	No	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xf30917…
11-02 16:59:43	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m?	No	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xfb8d1b…
11-02 16:57:43	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m?	No	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x1a0029…
11-02 16:37:10	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m?	No	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xfdbdc3…
11-02 16:36:12	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m?	No	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x7e8493…
11-02 16:36:04	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x16a488…
11-02 16:35:58	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m?	No	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x99ae23…
11-02 16:04:18	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 3m?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x0666a0…
11-02 16:04:16	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 3m?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x5ffd9b…
11-02 16:04:03	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 3m?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xd8e0b0…
11-02 16:03:57	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 3m?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x9e5dbd…
11-02 16:03:49	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 3m?	Yes	BUY	52	0¢	$0	0x237565…
11-02 16:03:42	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 3m?	Yes	BUY	62	0¢	$0	0x79771c…
11-02 15:57:07	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 3m?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x68d7df…
11-02 15:54:25	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m?	No	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x830da5…
11-02 15:51:15	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x882233…
11-02 15:45:24	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x5698dd…
11-02 15:45:10	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?	Yes	SELL	13	2¢	$0	0x1e16ee…
11-02 15:45:09	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?	Yes	SELL	19	2¢	$0	0xe872dd…
11-02 15:42:09	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m?	No	BUY	34	1¢	$0	0xb6a7a6…
11-02 15:36:39	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xbbc238…
11-02 15:35:03	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m?	No	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0x6a1a3a…
11-02 15:34:42	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m?	No	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xe174bf…
11-02 15:34:36	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?	Yes	BUY	196	0¢	$0	0x161fa1…
11-02 15:33:34	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?	Yes	SELL	90	50¢	$45	0x050edc…
11-02 15:33:01	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?	Yes	BUY	211	0¢	$0	0xae2176…
11-02 15:32:22	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m?	No	SELL	16	44¢	$7	0xa6ac66…
11-02 15:32:18	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m?	No	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x9ab457…
11-02 15:31:55	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m?	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x2de6ca…
11-02 15:31:10	Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 9.5	No	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0xfecb8d…
11-02 15:15:22	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.35T by October 31?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x5a5afb…
11-02 15:04:46	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 3m?	Yes	BUY	42	0¢	$0	0x8c16bc…
11-02 14:43:45	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 3m?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x9d80a9…
11-02 13:57:46	Spread: Mavericks (-41.5)	Mavericks	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0x496794…
11-02 13:57:45	Spread: Mavericks (-41.5)	Mavericks	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0xfaea6c…
11-02 13:51:40	Spread: Partizan (-9.5)	U-BT Cluj-Napoca	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xb14b32…