Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 ME-01 House election by 0%-5%?
open
Total volume
$300
Trades
62
Unique wallets
27
Liquidity
$89
End date
2026-11-04
First seen
2026-08-27
last 11-04 14:46
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-2.6¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $211
vs crowd: 3% YES on $299)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 13 | $5 | $210 | $205 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $3 | $40 | $37 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $0 | $41 | $40 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $0 | — | +$0 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 12 | $0 | $210 | $210 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $0 | $50 | $49 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $0 | $31 | $31 |
| Median | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| Below median | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $7 | — | +$7 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +228 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 10-29 10:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +59 | $59 | $59 | 4 | 10-06 02:10 |
| Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | +46 | $43 | $43 | 4 | 09-06 23:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x08b0…3f7c | No | +41 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 11-02 16:02 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +31 | $2 | $2 | 5 | 11-04 14:46 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 09-17 17:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x6608…a502 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-02 16:02 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 10-22 10:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x3365…2a54 | No | +19 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 09-06 23:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 09-22 07:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x08ff…db60 | Yes | +14 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 09-17 17:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x2490…4ecf | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 09-20 16:20 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 09-17 17:37 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 09-22 07:28 |
| Dismal-Moustache 0xa99c…08b4 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 11-04 14:46 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 08-27 02:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-06 02:10 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-06 02:10 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 09-03 06:58 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 09-17 17:37 |
| Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | +5 | -$1 | $1 | 8 | 10-29 10:57 |
| Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 09-22 07:53 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-04 14:46:30 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0b9986… |
| 11-04 14:46:30 | Dismal-Moustache 0xa99c…08b4 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x0b9986… |
| 11-02 16:02:06 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 21 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xe8aed0… |
| 11-02 16:02:06 | (anonymous) 0x6608…a502 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xe8aed0… |
| 11-02 16:02:06 | (anonymous) 0x08b0…3f7c | No | BUY | 41 | 97¢ | $40 | 0xe8aed0… |
| 10-29 10:57:23 | Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8412ad… |
| 10-29 10:57:23 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 61 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x8412ad… |
| 10-29 10:57:23 | (anonymous) 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | SELL | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8412ad… |
| 10-29 07:50:05 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xec8292… |
| 10-29 07:50:05 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xec8292… |
| 10-29 07:50:05 | (anonymous) 0x843c…0734 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xec8292… |
| 10-29 07:50:05 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 21 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xec8292… |
| 10-29 07:50:05 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 137 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xec8292… |
| 10-22 10:20:45 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x108369… |
| 10-22 10:20:45 | (anonymous) 0x843c…0734 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x108369… |
| 10-22 10:20:44 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x835628… |
| 10-22 10:20:44 | (anonymous) 0x843c…0734 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x835628… |
| 10-06 02:10:20 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xd272a1… |
| 10-06 02:10:20 | (anonymous) 0x843c…0734 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0e63a5… |
| 10-06 02:10:20 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x0e63a5… |
| 10-06 02:10:20 | (anonymous) 0x843c…0734 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd272a1… |
| 10-06 02:10:19 | (anonymous) 0x843c…0734 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf1638b… |
| 10-06 02:10:19 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xf1638b… |
| 09-22 07:53:52 | Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5fd713… |
| 09-22 07:53:52 | Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x5fd713… |
| 09-22 07:28:43 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x494fc9… |
| 09-22 07:28:43 | (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xcedb99… |
| 09-22 07:28:43 | Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x494fc9… |
| 09-22 07:28:43 | Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcedb99… |
| 09-20 16:20:33 | (anonymous) 0x2490…4ecf | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x1d9394… |
| 09-20 16:20:33 | Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x76b7a9… |
| 09-20 16:20:33 | Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1d9394… |
| 09-20 16:20:33 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x76b7a9… |
| 09-20 11:51:37 | (anonymous) 0x843c…0734 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xad34a4… |
| 09-20 11:51:37 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xad34a4… |
| 09-18 08:55:40 | Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4376b1… |
| 09-18 08:55:40 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | SELL | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4376b1… |
| 09-18 08:55:40 | (anonymous) 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4376b1… |
| 09-17 17:44:07 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb5321a… |
| 09-17 17:44:07 | (anonymous) 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | BUY | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb5321a… |
| 09-17 17:37:19 | (anonymous) 0x08ff…db60 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x08c08e… |
| 09-17 17:37:19 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x08c08e… |
| 09-17 17:37:19 | (anonymous) 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x08c08e… |
| 09-17 17:37:19 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x08c08e… |
| 09-17 17:37:19 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x08c08e… |
| 09-15 17:27:13 | (anonymous) 0x843c…0734 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf8f23c… |
| 09-15 17:27:13 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xf8f23c… |
| 09-07 06:00:55 | (anonymous) 0xee96…86b4 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc1ad11… |
| 09-07 06:00:55 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc1ad11… |
| 09-06 23:07:25 | (anonymous) 0xee96…86b4 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa31681… |
| 09-06 23:07:25 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xa31681… |
| 09-06 23:07:25 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 19 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x77c575… |
| 09-06 23:07:25 | (anonymous) 0x3365…2a54 | No | BUY | 19 | 95¢ | $18 | 0x77c575… |
| 09-06 23:07:25 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xa31681… |
| 09-03 06:58:39 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 6 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x8727eb… |
| 09-03 06:58:39 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x8727eb… |
| 09-03 06:50:34 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0xc4aae3… |
| 09-03 06:50:34 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xc4aae3… |
| 08-27 03:00:13 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xde33e0… |
| 08-27 03:00:13 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0xde33e0… |
| 08-27 02:57:51 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x92b168… |
| 08-27 02:57:51 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x92b168… |