Golden-Unemployment 0x736539…8964da
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$626
Unrealized P&L
+$3.31K
Hit rate
89.8%
Resolved
9
Trades
5,691
lifetime
Volume
$591.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$104
Open exposure
$7.81K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-22 00:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Tech
56% 100% +$593
Other
28% 50% $-152
Politics
17% 33% +$185
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 128 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +8,124 $2,006 22¢ $1.7K $-259 07-07 20:47
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? Yes +2,027 $1,258 75¢ $1.5K +$262 07-21 17:16
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +2,196 $1,042 62¢ $1.4K +$320 07-15 21:04
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes -1,416 $-1,038 64¢ $-913 +$124 07-07 17:43
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No +770 $566 88¢ $674 +$108 07-09 02:00
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No -538 $-2,540 80¢ $-433 +$2,107 07-09 23:00
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +2,068 $459 18¢ $362 $-98 07-11 09:51
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? Yes +406 $284 70¢ $286 +$2 07-20 00:18
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? No -196 $-137 74¢ $-146 $-9 06-20 04:41
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? Yes -1,746 $-666 8¢ $-140 +$526 07-08 12:47
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? Yes -314 $-328 38¢ $-118 +$211 07-07 11:08
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? Yes +100 $62 40¢ $40 $-22 06-03 08:56
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? Yes +68 $4 38¢ $25 +$22 07-15 21:26
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026? Yes -563 $-79 4¢ $-20 +$59 06-20 04:53
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +418 $63 4¢ $19 $-45 06-14 16:11
Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI? Yes +19 $5 27¢ $5 $-0 06-10 15:55
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No +2 $1 62¢ $1 +$0 07-09 15:42