Somber-Ice 0x2b670a…7fb814
whale hot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$31.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$9.53K
Hit rate
68.0%
Resolved
306
Trades
6,303
lifetime
Volume
$964.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$153
Open exposure
$36.7K
28 positions
First seen
2026-05-11
last 10-30 18:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 101 days
Categories
Other
45% 49% +$26,067
Tech
29% 45% -$20,038
Politics
23% 47% +$33,451
Sports
2% 24% -$7,378
Crypto
1% 11% -$777
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 263 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +14,297 $3,493 85¢ $12.1K +$8,602 10-08 09:39
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +12,000 $5,266 50¢ $6.1K +$794 10-28 14:25
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +10,000 $5,150 52¢ $5.2K +$75 09-13 15:37
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +19,079 $2,046 23¢ $4.3K +$2,266 10-27 13:31
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +9,050 $1,241 30¢ $2.7K +$1,429 10-29 19:53
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? No +12,563 $881 14¢ $1.8K +$934 10-30 14:33
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? OpenAI +14,649 $1,497 8¢ $1.2K -$252 09-17 15:32
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +6,575 -$61 9¢ $621 +$682 10-30 13:18
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? Yes +629 $355 70¢ $441 +$86 10-14 20:30
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? No +509 -$85 82¢ $420 +$505 10-12 01:33
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes +451 $329 76¢ $343 +$14 10-06 22:37
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? No +397 $110 82¢ $327 +$216 09-30 21:58
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +500 $285 64¢ $322 +$38 08-13 21:19
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? No +870 $204 28¢ $243 +$39 09-24 18:35
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,000 $1,149 6¢ $220 -$929 07-17 00:49
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? No +262 $105 72¢ $190 +$84 10-08 14:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +500 $280 11¢ $52 -$227 07-14 15:53
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +200 $113 15¢ $31 -$82 07-04 14:39
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +1,646 $74 2¢ $26 -$48 10-17 02:42
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? Yes +80 $44 30¢ $24 -$20 09-24 07:38
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? Yes +200 $44 9¢ $18 -$26 09-11 18:56
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Yes +700 $105 2¢ $17 -$87 10-20 15:00
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +4,014 $90 0¢ $10 -$80 09-12 19:56
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT? No +123 $1,774 3¢ $4 -$1,770 10-23 15:05
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? No +0 -$10 28¢ $0 +$10 09-11 12:14
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +0 $963 20¢ $0 -$963 10-16 04:35
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $1,570 14¢ $0 -$1,570 10-30 13:53
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +0 $193 10¢ $0 -$193 10-04 09:08