Somber-Ice 0x2b670a…7fb814 Create alert
whale hot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$32.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$13.7K
Hit rate
68.1%
Resolved
313
Trades
6,615
lifetime
Volume
$974.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$147
Open exposure
$41.4K
28 positions
First seen
2026-05-11
last 11-03 22:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 104 days
Categories
Other
46% 49% +$26,169
Tech
29% 46% -$19,500
Politics
23% 47% +$33,451
Sports
2% 24% -$7,378
Crypto
1% 11% -$777
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 263 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +14,297 $3,493 76¢ $10.9K +$7,365 10-08 09:39
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +12,000 $5,266 64¢ $7.6K +$2,354 10-28 14:25
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +10,000 $5,150 70¢ $7.0K +$1,810 09-13 15:37
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +21,455 $2,404 25¢ $5.3K +$2,916 11-03 14:59
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +22,182 $1,409 11¢ $2.4K +$943 11-03 21:48
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +18,308 $1,151 10¢ $1.9K +$707 11-03 23:09
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? Yes +2,661 $725 64¢ $1.7K +$964 10-30 18:30
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? OpenAI +15,605 $1,564 8¢ $1.2K -$316 10-31 09:36
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +1,786 -$1,052 30¢ $527 +$1,579 11-03 02:46
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? Yes +629 $355 67¢ $422 +$67 10-14 20:30
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? No +509 -$85 82¢ $420 +$505 10-12 01:33
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes +451 $329 76¢ $343 +$14 10-06 22:37
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +500 $285 67¢ $335 +$50 08-13 21:19
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? No +397 $110 84¢ $335 +$225 09-30 21:58
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,000 $1,149 8¢ $300 -$849 07-17 00:49
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? No +870 $204 28¢ $243 +$39 09-24 18:35
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? No +262 $105 85¢ $224 +$119 10-08 14:36
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? No +3,824 $141 6¢ $220 +$79 11-02 22:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +500 $280 11¢ $52 -$227 07-14 15:53
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +200 $113 24¢ $48 -$65 07-04 14:39
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? Yes +80 $44 34¢ $28 -$16 09-24 07:38
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? Yes +200 $44 8¢ $16 -$28 09-11 18:56
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +4,014 $90 0¢ $6 -$84 09-12 19:56
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT? No +123 $1,774 3¢ $3 -$1,771 10-23 15:05
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? No +0 -$10 30¢ $0 +$10 09-11 12:14
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +0 $963 18¢ $0 -$963 10-16 04:35
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 Yes +0 $1,570 11¢ $0 -$1,570 10-30 13:53
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +0 $193 8¢ $0 -$193 10-04 09:08