Somber-Ice 0x2b670a…7fb814
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$6.11K
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
1,154
lifetime
Volume
$323.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$280
Open exposure
$11.5K
13 positions
First seen
2026-05-11
last 06-30 00:29
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
50% — —
Other
29% — —
Tech
21% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 127 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +4,507 $2,920 100¢ $4.5K +$1,576 06-15 21:51
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? Yes +4,970 $3,233 90¢ $4.4K +$1,216 06-18 08:41
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -1,000 $-420 72¢ $-715 $-295 05-28 18:40
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -3,190 $-1,028 20¢ $-622 +$406 06-12 05:08
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? No +498 $474 98¢ $489 +$15 06-29 17:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +59,792 $2,790 1¢ $329 $-2,461 06-26 20:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -500 $-254 62¢ $-312 $-58 06-25 22:01
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? No +451 $86 18¢ $83 $-2 06-27 08:14
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +13,783 $6,190 0¢ $34 $-6,156 06-17 06:24
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes -2,984 $140 0¢ $-12 $-151 06-11 23:45
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30? Yes +1,325 $133 0¢ $3 $-130 06-13 14:10
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30? Yes +455 $45 0¢ $1 $-44 06-10 08:43
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? Yes +0 $28 0¢ $0 $-28 06-07 16:01