Somber-Ice 0x2b670a…7fb814
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$5.17K
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
2,202
lifetime
Volume
$444.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$202
Open exposure
$16.3K
11 positions
First seen
2026-05-11
last 07-21 03:44
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
40% — —
Tech
34% — —
Other
25% — —
Sports
1% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 144 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +14,054 $3,422 45¢ $6.4K +$2,931 07-21 03:44
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? Yes +4,970 $3,233 88¢ $4.4K +$1,166 06-18 08:41
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? Yes +3,472 $1,707 71¢ $2.5K +$759 07-13 19:21
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +3,607 $1,343 42¢ $1.5K +$153 07-14 12:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -500 $-254 99¢ $-494 $-239 06-25 22:01
AI bubble burst in 2026? Yes +2,216 $334 17¢ $368 +$34 07-17 06:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +500 $280 56¢ $277 $-2 07-14 15:53
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? No +804 $185 30¢ $237 +$52 07-20 00:18
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +200 $113 55¢ $110 $-3 07-04 14:39
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +472 $-536 14¢ $64 +$599 07-17 00:49
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -29 $260 78¢ $-23 $-282 07-04 08:33