Immaculate-President 0x30829e…569446
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Realized P&L
-$109
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
58.9%
Resolved
35
Trades
1,986
lifetime
Volume
$21.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$457
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-12
last 06-10 05:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Other
57% 33% $-37
Politics
37% 27% $-71
Tech
5% — —
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 101 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will ForecastEx self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026? No +25 $22 88¢ $22 +$0 06-05 15:54
Les Wexner charged by June 30? No +22 $20 95¢ $21 +$0 06-09 11:47
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No +23 $21 91¢ $21 $-0 06-09 08:40
Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31? No +23 $19 87¢ $20 +$1 05-28 16:39
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No +23 $19 86¢ $19 +$0 06-09 00:16
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026? No +21 $18 90¢ $19 +$1 06-08 08:34
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +24 $20 76¢ $18 $-2 06-07 13:04
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +25 $20 75¢ $18 $-2 06-07 19:05
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June? No +20 $19 91¢ $18 $-1 06-09 16:59
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No +21 $17 84¢ $18 +$1 06-09 04:35
Sudan civil war ceasefire by June 30, 2026? No +22 $12 79¢ $18 +$5 06-09 07:24
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30? No +22 $17 82¢ $18 +$0 06-08 07:01
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30? No +19 $17 89¢ $17 $-0 06-09 22:40
Will "Phoebe Bridgers" be featured on Olivia Rodrigo's new album? No +23 $20 72¢ $16 $-3 06-08 13:52
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +18 $16 89¢ $16 $-0 06-09 19:51
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No +22 $13 72¢ $16 +$3 06-08 05:59
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark? No +22 $13 72¢ $16 +$3 06-09 19:45
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? No -15 $-14 98¢ $-14 $-0 06-05 16:13
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +22 $15 64¢ $14 $-1 06-10 00:38
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam? No +22 $12 60¢ $13 +$2 06-09 06:15
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? No +22 $12 60¢ $13 +$1 06-09 16:31
Will "Addison Rae" be featured on Olivia Rodrigo's new album? No +20 $18 58¢ $12 $-6 06-09 16:32
Will Santander fail by June 30, 2026? No +12 $11 97¢ $11 +$0 06-09 23:22
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by June 30? No +13 $10 88¢ $11 +$1 06-01 11:25
VEO 4 released by June 30, 2026? No +22 $15 50¢ $11 $-4 06-08 05:07
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by June 5? No +11 $10 96¢ $10 +$0 06-01 07:26
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30? No +11 $10 87¢ $10 $-0 06-09 09:22
Kash Patel out by June 30? No +10 $9 91¢ $9 +$0 06-09 15:27
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30? No +10 $8 89¢ $9 +$1 06-09 00:37
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +9 $7 90¢ $8 +$1 06-10 01:04