Immaculate-President — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$109

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

58.9%

Resolved

Trades

3,139

lifetime

Volume

$31.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$42

5 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 07-20 20:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

56% 33% $-37

Politics

39% 27% $-71

Tech

5% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 138 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?	No	+19	$13	79¢	$15	+$2	06-15 00:30
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	+15	$12	90¢	$13	+$1	07-01 01:37
Will Ariana Grande feature The Weeknd on Petal?	No	+10	$8	79¢	$8	+$0	07-13 22:17
Anyone charged over SPLC extremism funding?	No	+8	$5	57¢	$4	$-0	07-01 03:46
Will Ariana Grande officially release Petal by July 31, 2026?	No	+15	$2	6¢	$1	$-2	07-08 21:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will donald trump publicly insult jimmy kimmel by june 30 2026	70	$404	393	378	+15	open	—	06-30 18:00
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	22	$316	180	159	+21	open	—	06-18 11:00
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	24	$294	160	160	+0	open	—	06-12 19:46
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	19	$225	125	125	-0	open	—	06-12 13:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	14	$218	121	121	+0	open	—	05-25 22:26
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?	16	$190	114	93	+21	open	—	06-01 04:34
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	12	$186	108	108	+0	open	—	05-30 18:25
GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?	12	$177	106	87	+19	open	—	05-29 18:26
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	10	$176	82	104	-21	open	—	05-29 23:51
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	13	$172	114	95	+20	open	—	05-31 15:05
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	12	$164	86	95	-10	open	—	06-15 06:37
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	12	$161	88	88	+0	open	—	07-14 22:39
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	9	$159	106	106	+0	open	—	05-30 21:23
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	8	$158	82	82	+0	open	—	05-27 22:44
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	11	$158	67	104	-36	open	—	06-16 06:23
Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by May 31?	8	$154	83	83	+0	open	—	06-01 01:58
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?	9	$150	87	87	+0	open	—	05-30 14:30
will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	10	$149	61	99	-38	open	—	06-16 23:10
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	9	$147	76	76	+0	open	—	05-27 15:01
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	9	$140	74	74	+0	open	—	05-29 23:31
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	9	$140	82	82	+0	open	—	05-31 23:41
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	8	$135	61	81	-20	open	—	05-29 19:50
will donald trump publicly insult friedrich merz by june 30 2026	12	$134	69	88	-20	open	—	07-01 06:08
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	9	$133	84	67	+17	open	—	06-14 14:23
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	9	$132	72	72	+0	open	—	05-31 18:40
will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	8	$127	59	81	-22	open	—	06-17 19:05
will spacexs valuation hit high 4pt0t by june 30	9	$126	66	66	+0	open	—	06-18 14:33
Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in May?	6	$125	66	66	+0	open	—	05-31 12:38
israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	11	$124	72	72	+0	open	—	07-13 02:10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	8	$123	67	77	-10	open	—	06-14 21:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 20:53:13	will russia enter ternuvate again by july 31	No	SELL	15	91¢	$14	0xc1752d…
07-20 20:49:45	will bryan johnson have sex again by july 31	No	SELL	3	93¢	$2	0x451438…
07-20 16:23:28	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	SELL	14	91¢	$13	0x6da4e8…
07-20 15:36:49	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0x957d73…
07-20 13:27:43	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0x59a25f…
07-20 08:54:36	will anwar ibrahim cease to be prime minister of malaysia by july 31 2026 20260625163926546	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe32d33…
07-20 07:59:37	will anwar ibrahim cease to be prime minister of malaysia by july 31 2026 20260625163926546	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x68e23a…
07-20 07:59:36	will anwar ibrahim cease to be prime minister of malaysia by july 31 2026 20260625163926546	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xdfcc90…
07-20 07:57:03	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693	No	SELL	13	83¢	$11	0x0551ef…
07-20 02:35:34	will trump praise delcy rodriguez by july 31 20260626214328049	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xd3a32e…
07-20 02:21:48	iran charges hormuz fees by july 31	No	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0xa19842…
07-20 01:34:01	evo morales arrested by july 31 20260626153647183	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xeb017a…
07-19 23:20:21	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 20 2026 20260630182730898	No	SELL	14	26¢	$4	0x730e08…
07-19 21:19:18	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	SELL	15	92¢	$14	0x53f9f2…
07-19 20:30:28	will russia enter vasylivka by july 31 2026	No	SELL	15	75¢	$11	0xd4e405…
07-19 14:07:42	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by july 31 20260707233859433	No	SELL	14	90¢	$13	0x3197d9…
07-19 13:45:55	kash patel out by july 31 20260626155143217	No	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0x8931f3…
07-19 09:40:52	iran military action against a gulf state on july 26 20260708212322951	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xba6e38…
07-19 07:00:09	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	15	81¢	$12	0xbe1fb4…
07-19 04:11:43	iran military action against a gulf state on july 26 20260708212322951	No	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xa2e72f…
07-19 00:58:45	iran military action against a gulf state on july 25 20260708212322950	No	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x2271ae…
07-19 00:46:06	iran military action against a gulf state on july 27 20260708212322952	No	BUY	13	59¢	$8	0xa728c7…
07-18 23:34:30	another gta vi trailer released by july 31 20260629155922032	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0xf0f822…
07-18 22:39:13	will trump praise emmanuel macron by july 31 20260626214328037	No	BUY	13	69¢	$9	0x52430e…
07-18 21:05:48	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	No	SELL	15	80¢	$12	0x8c94d6…
07-18 20:49:49	another gta vi trailer released by july 31 20260629155922032	No	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x745951…
07-18 20:49:49	another gta vi trailer released by july 31 20260629155922032	No	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x04eda7…
07-18 20:49:18	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	No	BUY	13	26¢	$3	0x035fc2…
07-18 20:09:09	iran military action against a gulf state on july 28 20260708212322953	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xfeaee0…
07-18 19:26:22	iran military action against a gulf state on july 28 20260708212322953	No	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x81fbc8…
07-18 19:26:18	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	No	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x2fa3a0…
07-18 19:26:07	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	No	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0x404ad7…
07-18 19:01:01	iran military action against a gulf state on july 30 20260708212322955	No	BUY	13	64¢	$8	0x1a4412…
07-18 19:01:00	iran military action against a gulf state on july 29 20260708212322954	No	BUY	13	63¢	$8	0x280968…
07-18 18:41:58	iran military action against a gulf state on july 31 20260708212322956	No	BUY	13	63¢	$8	0x052526…
07-18 18:23:31	iran military action against a gulf state on july 19 20260708212322944	No	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0x5e4811…
07-18 18:10:48	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0x89c123…
07-18 17:27:45	will italy send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952744	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xa0fa9a…
07-18 16:56:55	will germany send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952745	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xc0bbe0…
07-18 16:13:48	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	No	BUY	13	12¢	$2	0xc651bf…
07-18 15:45:25	will mrbeast hit 510 million subscribers by july 31 20260619183536639	No	SELL	14	87¢	$12	0x5ddfbb…
07-18 13:00:58	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 18 20260708001726334	No	BUY	13	50¢	$6	0x0ebf0d…
07-18 12:37:18	will donald trump publicly insult kevin warsh by july 31 2026 20260626210612736	No	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x29352e…
07-18 12:36:55	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	No	SELL	4	93¢	$3	0x234d83…
07-18 10:20:40	another gta vi trailer released by july 31 20260629155922032	No	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0xb235cb…
07-18 09:58:24	critical discord incident by july 31	No	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0x81f6b0…
07-18 09:56:10	will bryan johnson have sex again by july 31	No	BUY	3	83¢	$2	0xd0ab76…
07-18 09:55:25	will bryan johnson have sex again by july 31	No	BUY	8	83¢	$6	0x21e218…
07-18 08:18:10	will ukraine re enter hryshyne by july 31 20260604220043035	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xa3617c…
07-18 07:03:10	james comey charges dropped by july 31	No	SELL	7	96¢	$6	0x431a09…
07-18 03:26:30	gemini 4pt0 released by july 31 2026	No	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x6b49a4…
07-18 00:45:55	iran military action against a gulf state on july 18 20260708212322943	No	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x11ef92…
07-18 00:27:03	iran military action against a gulf state on july 18 20260708212322943	No	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x093f53…
07-18 00:25:15	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 17 2026 20260708165455692	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x3efc13…
07-17 23:21:07	fda approves viatris low dose estrogen weekly patch 07 30 2026	No	BUY	9	29¢	$3	0x1cbe6d…
07-17 21:51:57	will trump praise zohran mamdani by july 31 20260626214328033	No	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xbcd0f4…
07-17 20:49:27	ruben rocha out as governor of sinaloa by july 31 20260626163151131	No	BUY	13	89¢	$11	0x6a86b5…
07-17 20:02:04	sinaloa govpt ruben rocha extradited to us by july 31 20260626164958846	No	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0xa718d4…
07-17 19:23:09	will trump speak to elon musk in july 20260626154217440	No	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x86e28a…
07-17 19:20:51	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 17 20260708001726333	No	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0xb6f758…
07-17 18:51:33	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x7fe07f…
07-17 18:31:45	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 17 20260708001726333	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x9f5dbf…
07-17 17:02:22	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	SELL	13	88¢	$12	0x9e213b…
07-17 16:43:27	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	BUY	13	81¢	$11	0xe94875…
07-17 15:39:04	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 17 20260708001726333	No	SELL	3	93¢	$2	0xb13c47…
07-17 14:36:10	untitled market 1 20260629155005352	No	SELL	14	63¢	$9	0x355f5f…
07-17 14:26:21	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260630182145718 274	No	SELL	15	91¢	$13	0x4d68b1…
07-17 13:34:27	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 24 2026 20260630182730902	No	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0xd70c3f…
07-17 12:42:58	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 24 2026 20260630182730902	No	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xdaeba5…
07-17 12:34:55	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 17 20260708001726333	No	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xab6ab6…
07-17 09:02:48	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 17 2026 20260708165455692	No	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0xe33e66…
07-17 09:01:21	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693	No	BUY	13	36¢	$5	0x13d021…
07-17 08:19:37	megaquake by july 31 20260617190926646	No	SELL	14	95¢	$14	0xef3056…
07-17 06:29:15	iran successfully targets shipping on july 17	No	BUY	12	37¢	$5	0x8b9d05…
07-17 02:40:00	will ashley trail be evicted in big brother season 28 week 1 20260710020428897	No	BUY	13	42¢	$6	0x902805…
07-17 02:16:25	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 22 2026 20260630182730900	No	BUY	14	10¢	$1	0xb15c65…
07-17 02:15:57	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 21 2026 20260630182730899	No	BUY	14	10¢	$1	0xf294c4…
07-17 01:48:25	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 18 20260708001726334	No	SELL	12	86¢	$11	0x3712ec…
07-17 01:35:08	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 18 20260708001726334	No	BUY	13	44¢	$6	0x9afd62…
07-17 00:37:01	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xa5a5f0…
07-16 23:01:34	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	SELL	14	23¢	$3	0x57d120…
07-16 22:40:08	iran military action against a gulf state on july 17 20260708212322942	No	BUY	13	26¢	$3	0x8c080e…
07-16 20:54:13	iran military action against a gulf state on july 16 20260708212322941	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x9ef49b…
07-16 20:51:08	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x0b388c…
07-16 20:29:07	will the highest recorded wind on mtpt washington in july be at least 115 mph 20260626193609219	No	BUY	14	90¢	$13	0x3a3c6f…
07-16 19:43:37	will the highest recorded wind on mtpt washington in july be at least 105 mph 20260626193609217	No	BUY	15	89¢	$13	0xabb079…
07-16 19:33:08	iran successfully targets shipping on july 16	No	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x973845…
07-16 19:15:59	another gta vi trailer released by july 31 20260629155922032	No	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0x5840d5…
07-16 18:56:07	will the highest recorded wind on mtpt washington in july be at least 110 mph 20260626193609218	No	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0x51c6c1…
07-16 18:54:46	will the highest recorded wind on mtpt washington in july be at least 100 mph 20260626193609216	No	BUY	15	83¢	$12	0xa90988…
07-16 18:54:35	will the highest recorded wind on mtpt washington in july be at least 90 mph 20260626193609214	No	BUY	14	60¢	$9	0x94bed3…
07-16 17:45:13	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	No	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0xa2cc6c…
07-16 17:43:02	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	No	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0xd98c81…
07-16 17:00:52	james comey charges dropped by july 31	No	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0xfb8ff8…
07-16 15:17:40	will mrbeast hit 510 million subscribers by july 31 20260619183536639	No	BUY	14	78¢	$11	0x815427…
07-16 15:15:05	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 16 20260708001726332	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x8c5240…
07-16 14:33:53	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 24 2026 20260630182730902	No	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0x8d4b14…
07-16 12:50:32	will the highest recorded wind on mtpt washington in july be at least 95 mph 20260626193609215	No	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0x6acc6a…
07-16 12:42:37	us x cuba diplomatic meeting by july 31 20260616213226435	No	SELL	15	74¢	$11	0xd928e6…
07-16 11:56:50	will donald trump publicly insult marjorie taylor greene by july 31 2026 20260626210612718	No	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x731e27…