(anonymous) 0x25d6da…bde5e9 Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$945
Unrealized P&L
+$1.46K
Hit rate
52.0%
Resolved
119
Trades
1,267
lifetime
Volume
$18.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$9.24K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-15
last 11-07 16:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Politics
51% 51% -$616
Other
49% 59% -$328
Tech
0% 75% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Tyreek Hill sign with the Kansas City Chiefs in 2026? No +1,397 $582 74¢ $1.0K +$458 11-05 01:22
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +1,052 $674 67¢ $703 +$29 11-06 17:45
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +803 $541 68¢ $542 +$1 11-06 20:19
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +482 $345 91¢ $440 +$95 09-21 12:58
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed? Yes +650 $404 64¢ $413 +$9 11-07 21:13
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +386 $136 100¢ $385 +$249 10-28 02:05
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +1,140 $303 33¢ $378 +$76 11-04 09:54
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +538 $291 69¢ $372 +$81 10-26 18:24
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +441 $294 83¢ $367 +$73 10-07 15:24
Will Tyreek Hill sign with the Kansas City Chiefs in 2026? Yes +1,397 $759 26¢ $356 -$403 10-24 22:39
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +473 $267 71¢ $336 +$70 11-06 10:35
Will Ken Calvert win the CA-40 House seat? Yes +352 $198 95¢ $336 +$138 10-30 18:21
Will Eric Jones win the CA-04 House seat? Yes +279 $67 94¢ $262 +$195 10-26 00:35
Will no next Israeli Minister of National Security be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +380 $211 69¢ $262 +$52 11-05 23:14
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +805 $250 32¢ $262 +$12 11-05 08:03
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed? No +700 $312 36¢ $256 -$57 11-06 19:34
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +234 $198 98¢ $229 +$31 10-25 12:28
Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? Yes +252 $169 89¢ $224 +$55 10-23 04:10
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +276 $231 81¢ $224 -$7 11-04 23:25
Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat? No +221 $60 94¢ $208 +$149 10-27 22:01
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +652 $334 31¢ $201 -$134 10-27 05:10
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? No +227 $164 87¢ $197 +$32 11-05 12:34
Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? No +189 $123 88¢ $168 +$44 10-31 14:42
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +250 $137 67¢ $168 +$31 11-05 19:32
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +573 $246 29¢ $166 -$80 11-07 15:45
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +165 $160 96¢ $159 -$2 10-03 16:23
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes +154 $64 100¢ $154 +$90 10-27 23:58
Will no next Israeli Minister of National Security be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +480 $200 31¢ $149 -$51 11-05 23:50
Will the Florida Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%? Yes +144 $47 99¢ $143 +$95 11-02 17:44
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +162 $12 88¢ $142 +$131 10-04 16:42