Realized P&L
-$30
Unrealized P&L
-$59
Hit rate
7.8%
Resolved
15
Trades
16,895
lifetime
Volume
$101.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$162
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-25 00:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Crypto
74% 13% $-30
Other
15%
Politics
6%
Tech
4%
Sports
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 270 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +150 $71 32¢ $49 $-22 07-22 18:05
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +88 $40 40¢ $36 $-5 07-20 13:59
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +100 $35 32¢ $32 $-4 07-21 02:16
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +34 $23 58¢ $20 $-4 07-18 23:14
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +54 $19 16¢ $8 $-11 07-20 03:59
Will Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027? Yes +20 $10 40¢ $8 $-2 07-22 09:46
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? Yes +7 $3 56¢ $4 +$1 07-17 07:46
Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz before 2027? Yes +20 $15 16¢ $3 $-12 07-21 23:49
Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027? Yes +7 $2 13¢ $1 $-1 07-22 06:18
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +2 $1 42¢ $1 $-0 07-18 10:36
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +1 $0 81¢ $0 +$0 07-18 10:28
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? No +1 $0 44¢ $0 $-0 07-17 05:34
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +0 $0 68¢ $0 +$0 07-21 18:33
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes +0 $0 20¢ $0 +$0 07-22 00:52