Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.67K

Unrealized P&L

+$171

Hit rate

65.7%

Resolved

2,137

Trades

10,861

lifetime

Volume

$144.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$788

30 positions

First seen

2026-07-11

last 11-01 04:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 106 days

Categories

Other

63% 50% +$1,322

Crypto

29% 62% +$330

Politics

4% 52% +$103

Sports

2% 51% -$97

Tech

2% 63% +$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 156 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	+414	$399	97¢	$403	+$4	10-30 04:54
Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	+66	$62	98¢	$65	+$3	07-23 14:02
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+85	-$33	66¢	$57	+$90	10-30 08:38
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	+55	$46	96¢	$53	+$7	10-15 15:36
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	+49	$29	94¢	$47	+$17	10-12 18:13
Printr FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	+486	$40	6¢	$31	-$9	10-26 12:35
Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	+31	$19	65¢	$20	+$1	10-30 02:46
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+63	$15	18¢	$12	-$3	10-24 19:41
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?	No	+9	$8	86¢	$8	$0	10-13 19:18
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	+10	$5	81¢	$8	+$3	10-23 13:13
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+62	$10	12¢	$7	-$2	10-30 00:20
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?	No	+8	$6	83¢	$7	+$0	08-31 01:43
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?	Yes	+326	$3	2¢	$6	+$4	10-29 19:02
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	+6	$5	98¢	$6	+$1	10-29 21:24
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	+6	-$9	94¢	$6	+$14	09-20 21:52
Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	+9	$5	60¢	$5	+$0	10-20 02:14
Hurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	+5	$2	95¢	$5	+$2	08-13 06:36
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	+5	-$1	84¢	$4	+$5	10-30 00:44
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	+4	$3	97¢	$4	+$1	09-06 22:45
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?	No	+4	$2	95¢	$4	+$2	09-11 11:23
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	+6	$4	62¢	$4	$0	10-30 00:28
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?	No	+4	-$2	95¢	$4	+$5	08-26 00:23
Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	+9	-$5	40¢	$4	+$8	10-20 02:38
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	+4	-$1	96¢	$3	+$4	09-01 21:17
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	Yes	+5	$3	61¢	$3	+$0	09-25 04:33
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	+3	$3	99¢	$3	+$0	09-21 13:38
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	+77	$7	4¢	$3	-$4	10-22 17:37
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+4	$3	80¢	$3	$0	10-28 12:45
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?	No	+3	-$12	98¢	$3	+$15	10-09 19:46
Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026?	No	+3	$1	95¢	$3	+$2	09-12 17:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?	36	$1.7K	940	885	+55	open	—	10-15 15:36
Probable FDV above $300M one day after launch?	53	$1.7K	1,180	894	+286	open	—	10-16 07:36
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?	17	$1.1K	560	557	+3	open	—	10-09 19:46
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?	22	$918	564	515	+49	open	—	10-12 18:13
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by December 31?	36	$881	549	548	+1	open	—	10-16 13:34
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	18	$814	649	235	+414	open	—	10-30 04:54
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?	10	$790	408	407	+1	open	—	10-11 22:54
Printr FDV above $80M one day after launch?	26	$763	463	406	+57	open	—	10-29 17:40
Will Chaos Labs launch a token by September 30, 2027?	26	$756	508	506	+2	open	—	10-12 11:56
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	6	$736	393	389	+4	Yes	+$10	09-16 06:31
Linera FDV above $300M one day after launch?	24	$726	412	411	+1	open	—	10-16 16:07
Unit FDV above $2B one day after launch?	31	$715	464	453	+11	open	—	10-22 04:15
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?	17	$711	377	376	+1	open	—	09-24 15:42
will bitcoin dip to 56k july 13 19 2026	5	$670	431	430	+1	No	+$2	07-15 08:30
Noble FDV above $300M one day after launch?	20	$669	378	378	+0	open	—	10-01 03:25
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by December 31?	24	$635	405	405	+0	open	—	10-14 21:16
Metamask FDV above $500M one day after launch?	38	$629	754	754	+0	open	—	10-03 16:49
Unit FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	41	$608	666	464	+203	open	—	10-23 04:54
Will LI.FI launch a token by December 31, 2026?	22	$598	341	339	+2	open	—	10-01 05:10
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?	28	$590	351	350	+1	open	—	10-16 05:51
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	13	$584	325	319	+6	open	—	09-20 21:52
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 18,000 in 2026?	10	$539	297	277	+20	open	—	10-24 08:07
Unit FDV above $3B one day after launch?	26	$522	324	282	+42	open	—	10-03 18:38
Printr FDV above $1B one day after launch?	9	$496	282	246	+36	open	—	10-08 23:39
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?	10	$494	397	140	+257	open	—	09-08 00:18
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?	17	$487	425	419	+6	open	—	08-20 14:16
Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 116m by October 31?	9	$485	254	253	+1	open	—	10-03 11:42
Hurupay FDV above $10M one day after launch?	20	$479	284	276	+9	open	—	09-21 14:55
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026?	20	$459	367	201	+166	open	—	10-31 09:23
StandX FDV above $100M one day after launch?	14	$447	302	297	+5	open	—	10-28 17:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 04:13:39	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $740 in November?	No	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x616fad…
11-01 04:00:04	Will Chainlink reach $24 in October?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x69490a…
11-01 04:00:04	Will Chainlink reach $22 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x4e5792…
11-01 02:51:28	Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.50% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x0cb91b…
11-01 02:50:28	Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.50% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x8b0bd6…
11-01 01:35:43	Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.50% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	36	73¢	$26	0xa8c7da…
11-01 01:35:43	Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.75% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	25¢	$7	0x5073fb…
11-01 00:56:19	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $680 in November?	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x7cb4ab…
10-31 23:55:42	Will Plasma reach $0.24 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xc3fec5…
10-31 23:55:42	Will Plasma reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xc22ab3…
10-31 23:38:06	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $228 in November?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x46260f…
10-31 23:17:58	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in November?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x40aafb…
10-31 23:06:22	Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0xa305cb…
10-31 23:06:21	Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0xdbdd4d…
10-31 21:20:49	Will Frank Ocean release a new song in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0x971c1b…
10-31 21:20:49	Will Frank Ocean release an album in 2026?	No	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0x457ed6…
10-31 19:44:30	Hotstuff FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xe3825c…
10-31 19:44:30	Hotstuff FDV above $80M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x374c88…
10-31 17:19:16	Will GTE launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	8	67¢	$5	0x249054…
10-31 17:19:15	Will GTE launch a token by September 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	41¢	$3	0xc41663…
10-31 17:05:19	Kimi K4 released by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0x85433d…
10-31 17:05:19	Kimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	68¢	$11	0x21008e…
10-31 15:22:51	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.15% before 2027?	No	SELL	44	80¢	$35	0x3b437c…
10-31 15:22:49	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	44	21¢	$9	0x6bd9db…
10-31 15:13:37	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $570 in November?	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xb45612…
10-31 14:47:10	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.15% before 2027?	No	BUY	46	75¢	$34	0xf2ec0a…
10-31 14:47:10	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	48	23¢	$11	0x521464…
10-31 14:39:58	Over $5M committed to the over.computer public sale?	Yes	SELL	6	40¢	$2	0x56198e…
10-31 14:39:55	Over $10M committed to the over.computer public sale?	No	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0x089c82…
10-31 14:32:31	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in November?	No	SELL	9	85¢	$8	0xe46469…
10-31 14:32:28	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $585 in November?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x8b4ba9…
10-31 14:30:57	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in November?	Yes	SELL	58	18¢	$10	0x5852f4…
10-31 14:30:57	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in November?	No	SELL	58	85¢	$49	0x2a047b…
10-31 14:07:45	Will GTE launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x72cf0f…
10-31 14:07:45	Will GTE launch a token by September 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x594d13…
10-31 12:02:27	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $520 in November?	No	SELL	19	84¢	$16	0xa3d9fe…
10-31 12:02:27	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $540 in November?	Yes	SELL	19	24¢	$5	0x46cc16…
10-31 11:49:19	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $700 in November?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xde5324…
10-31 10:46:03	Tori FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	16	76¢	$12	0x8644fb…
10-31 10:46:03	Tori FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	16	21¢	$3	0x3d2b31…
10-31 10:39:54	Valantis FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	42	74¢	$31	0xc66c2e…
10-31 10:39:43	Valantis FDV above $80M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x403da7…
10-31 10:39:43	Valantis FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	43	75¢	$32	0x35c012…
10-31 10:09:57	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $700 in November?	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x009a03…
10-31 09:41:39	Will Chainlink reach $22 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	9¢	$2	0xe2d5cd…
10-31 09:41:39	Will Chainlink reach $24 in October?	No	BUY	25	89¢	$22	0x3dde43…
10-31 09:23:45	Pacifica FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x931cbb…
10-31 09:23:00	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $7B in 2026?	Yes	BUY	152	2¢	$2	0x66687c…
10-31 09:23:00	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026?	No	BUY	152	96¢	$146	0x3506bf…
10-31 08:07:04	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,260 in November?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x17538a…
10-31 06:43:57	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $532.50 Week of November 2 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	67¢	$8	0xcc2939…
10-31 06:43:57	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $540 Week of November 2 2026?	No	SELL	12	58¢	$7	0x12fb5e…
10-31 05:59:24	Valantis FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	30	83¢	$25	0xce31fb…
10-31 05:59:24	Valantis FDV above $80M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	30	21¢	$6	0x872de3…
10-31 04:53:46	Over $10M committed to the over.computer public sale?	No	BUY	7	66¢	$4	0xdb7d21…
10-31 04:53:46	Over $5M committed to the over.computer public sale?	Yes	BUY	7	21¢	$1	0x8d30ad…
10-31 04:17:30	Pacifica FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0xd455c2…
10-31 04:17:30	Pacifica FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x599155…
10-31 03:51:42	msft above 570 week november 6 2026	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xdcbf17…
10-31 03:35:16	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $540 Week of November 2 2026?	No	BUY	12	62¢	$7	0xf51aae…
10-31 03:35:15	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $532.50 Week of November 2 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0x3f2759…
10-31 02:28:48	aapl close above 335 on november 2 2026	No	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x5745bf…
10-30 22:44:07	Hotstuff FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	30	26¢	$8	0x3eca85…
10-30 21:36:49	Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 8.00% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x1d9aea…
10-30 21:09:34	Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	43	11¢	$5	0x27a166…
10-30 21:05:48	Tori FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0xf3ad31…
10-30 21:05:48	Tori FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	16	78¢	$12	0x96dd6d…
10-30 19:21:00	Will Ambient launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xf36d76…
10-30 19:21:00	Will Ambient launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	54¢	$6	0x89d713…
10-30 19:02:19	Will Ambient launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xb4eac5…
10-30 19:02:19	Will Ambient launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x373717…
10-30 18:38:46	Will Ambient launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x92d541…
10-30 18:38:46	Will Ambient launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x2555f3…
10-30 15:31:46	Will OnRe launch a token by September 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	25	38¢	$10	0xff0c4b…
10-30 15:31:46	Will OnRe launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	25	58¢	$14	0x27bd54…
10-30 14:39:31	Will Courtyard launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x148c19…
10-30 14:39:31	Will Courtyard launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x0fc0d1…
10-30 14:31:48	Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0xad9fcb…
10-30 14:31:48	Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0x4d0890…
10-30 14:10:28	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $7B in 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	4¢	$1	0xb19caa…
10-30 14:10:28	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026?	No	SELL	27	97¢	$26	0x71e725…
10-30 13:47:48	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $740 in November?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x271c26…
10-30 12:51:52	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $540 in November?	Yes	BUY	19	46¢	$9	0xdaa3e2…
10-30 12:51:51	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $520 in November?	No	BUY	19	43¢	$8	0x9f71ab…
10-30 12:44:28	msft close above 540 on november 2 2026	Yes	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0xe8457a…
10-30 12:43:13	msft close above 540 on november 2 2026	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xf65b71…
10-30 12:22:24	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $740 in November?	No	BUY	35	62¢	$22	0xe3c809…
10-30 12:22:24	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $720 in November?	Yes	BUY	35	35¢	$12	0x706e38…
10-30 12:05:10	Will AlloX launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	19	87¢	$17	0xbd57b4…
10-30 12:05:10	Will AlloX launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	11¢	$2	0x2337d4…
10-30 11:56:21	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $7B in 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	5¢	$2	0xa17d69…
10-30 11:56:21	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026?	No	SELL	44	96¢	$42	0x784d9b…
10-30 11:48:40	Next Israeli government formed by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	22	59¢	$13	0x951e2f…
10-30 11:48:40	Next Israeli government formed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	SELL	22	43¢	$9	0x4852c1…
10-30 11:45:40	Next Israeli government formed by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x14e942…
10-30 11:45:39	Next Israeli government formed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	BUY	22	49¢	$11	0x0cf911…
10-30 11:26:15	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $54 Week of October 26 2026?	No	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x28c93f…
10-30 11:13:54	Ethereal FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0xa5df26…
10-30 11:13:54	Ethereal FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0x537aab…
10-30 11:09:03	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	60	6¢	$4	0x0a7376…