(anonymous) 0xef13bd…0263d9
bot hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$3.98K
Unrealized P&L
+$204
Hit rate
70.3%
Resolved
969
Trades
5,576
lifetime
Volume
$68.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$1.42K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-07
last 10-29 09:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 105 days
Categories
Other
64% 53% +$3,166
Politics
26% 58% +$203
Sports
4% 66% +$447
Tech
3% 65% +$94
Pop-Culture
1% 62% +$39
Crypto
1% 67% +$33
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 152 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +204 $142 100¢ $203 +$62 10-27 16:06
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%? No +200 $140 99¢ $199 +$59 10-15 17:12
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +202 $110 84¢ $168 +$59 10-27 20:02
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? No +153 $115 98¢ $151 +$36 10-24 10:05
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +196 $145 76¢ $150 +$5 10-22 22:46
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat? Yes +207 $145 70¢ $145 $0 10-27 02:06
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat? Yes +202 $126 66¢ $134 +$8 10-25 10:42
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +65 $42 98¢ $64 +$22 10-08 19:55
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +43 $20 99¢ $42 +$22 10-27 20:00
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? Yes +200 $58 14¢ $27 -$31 10-22 06:56
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No +80 $20 26¢ $21 +$1 10-15 23:30
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? Yes +204 $49 10¢ $19 -$29 10-13 20:27
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat? Yes +15 $10 68¢ $11 +$1 10-25 12:07
2026 Balance of Power: Other No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 06-26 02:17
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 06-26 02:17
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +10 $8 94¢ $9 +$1 06-26 02:17
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +10 $6 72¢ $7 +$1 06-26 02:17
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes +10 $6 58¢ $6 $0 10-22 12:02
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-07 17:02
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 06-07 16:33
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? Yes +5 $2 94¢ $5 +$2 10-27 12:57
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +82 $15 6¢ $4 -$10 10-03 04:23
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +5 $4 82¢ $4 +$0 06-07 20:34
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? Yes +32 $6 11¢ $4 -$3 10-15 02:01
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? No +57 $4 6¢ $3 $0 10-27 12:57
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +10 $6 34¢ $3 -$2 06-26 02:17
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +5 $4 62¢ $3 $0 06-07 20:34
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +11 $2 22¢ $3 +$1 10-25 02:53
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 10-27 20:07
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -5 -$2 38¢ $-2 $0 06-07 20:19