Will Ed Sheeran have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
open
Total volume
$119
Trades
25
Unique wallets
16
Liquidity
$230
Latest YES mid
14¢
Latest NO mid
86¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-02
last 08-10 05:08
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $9 | $40 | $31 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $3 | $7 | $4 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $13 | $52 | $39 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $2 | $20 | $18 |
| Median | 4 | $7 | $68 | $61 |
| Below median | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $8 | — | +$8 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $7 | $7 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| unranked | 2 | $7 | $4 | +$3 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pesky-Cranberry 0xe004…7849 | No | +66 | $48 | $48 | 3 | 06-28 19:04 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +25 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-05 09:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | Yes | +25 | $7 | $7 | 7 | 06-28 22:02 |
| Perfect-Mistake 0x89e0…9412 | No | +23 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-02 15:05 |
| Forsaken-Meridian 0x91d7…0dfc | Yes | +21 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-10 05:08 |
| Sneaky-Spouse 0x17f4…9d7f | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 08-10 05:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 5 | 06-28 19:04 |
| Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | +15 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-02 15:05 |
| Vivacious-Fondue 0x51b1…7865 | No | +9 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-28 22:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x8d0c…e1ce | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-02 15:05 |
| Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-28 12:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x66c8…d1fa | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-28 12:22 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-15 02:28 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-10 05:08:34 | Sneaky-Spouse 0x17f4…9d7f | No | BUY | 21 | 94¢ | $20 | 0xac3a44… |
| 08-10 05:08:34 | Forsaken-Meridian 0x91d7…0dfc | Yes | BUY | 21 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xac3a44… |
| 08-05 09:01:29 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xceff25… |
| 08-05 09:01:29 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xceff25… |
| 07-15 02:28:44 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xc8815d… |
| 07-15 02:28:44 | Grimy-Breastplate 0x13ad…65fd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xc8815d… |
| 07-12 12:07:25 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x37b8a0… |
| 07-12 12:07:25 | Grimy-Breastplate 0x13ad…65fd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x37b8a0… |
| 06-28 22:02:26 | Vivacious-Fondue 0x51b1…7865 | No | BUY | 9 | 74¢ | $7 | 0x4aeb64… |
| 06-28 22:02:26 | (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | Yes | BUY | 1 | 26¢ | $0 | 0x4aeb64… |
| 06-28 22:02:26 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x4aeb64… |
| 06-28 19:04:40 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xc331cc… |
| 06-28 19:04:40 | Pesky-Cranberry 0xe004…7849 | No | BUY | 32 | 73¢ | $23 | 0xc331cc… |
| 06-28 19:04:40 | (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | Yes | BUY | 2 | 27¢ | $0 | 0xc331cc… |
| 06-28 17:40:19 | (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | Yes | BUY | 4 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xd2bad0… |
| 06-28 17:40:19 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 27¢ | $0 | 0xd2bad0… |
| 06-28 17:40:19 | Pesky-Cranberry 0xe004…7849 | No | BUY | 4 | 73¢ | $3 | 0xd2bad0… |
| 06-28 17:39:53 | Pesky-Cranberry 0xe004…7849 | No | BUY | 30 | 73¢ | $22 | 0x0b9190… |
| 06-28 17:39:53 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x0b9190… |
| 06-28 17:39:53 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 27¢ | $7 | 0x0b9190… |
| 06-28 12:22:37 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x4b452b… |
| 06-28 12:22:37 | (anonymous) 0x66c8…d1fa | No | BUY | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0x4b452b… |
| 06-02 15:05:29 | Perfect-Mistake 0x89e0…9412 | No | BUY | 23 | 88¢ | $20 | 0x625215… |
| 06-02 15:05:29 | (anonymous) 0x8d0c…e1ce | Yes | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x625215… |
| 06-02 15:05:29 | Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | BUY | 15 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x625215… |