Perfect-Mistake — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5.80K

Unrealized P&L

+$4.63K

Hit rate

86.0%

Resolved

815

Trades

4,523

lifetime

Volume

$463.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$103

Open exposure

$21.0K

17 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-05 20:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 126 days

Categories

Other

67% 91% +$3,628

Pop-Culture

25% 92% +$3,228

Politics

6% 81% -$993

Sports

1% 88% -$66

Crypto

0% 100% +$5

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions (17) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?	Yes		+6,965	$5,434	86¢	$6.0K	+$521	11-02 14:38
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?	Yes		+5,481	$3,957	90¢	$5.0K	+$1,004	09-19 13:35
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?	Yes		+3,357	$2,580	86¢	$2.9K	+$306	11-01 18:37
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No		-2,000	-$1,856	98¢	$-1969	-$113	04-28 14:37
Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026?	No		+1,526	$1,453	99¢	$1.5K	+$54	08-03 18:28
Will Swim – BTS be the top song for 2026?	No		+1,044	$1,022	99¢	$1.0K	+$13	10-02 14:59
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	Yes		+1,355	-$491	57¢	$779	+$1,270	11-03 14:36
Will Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026?	Yes		+580	$345	84¢	$484	+$139	09-29 10:44
Will "Choosin Texas – Ella Langley" be the top song in the US for 2026?	Yes		+402	$329	96¢	$383	+$54	07-19 09:49
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No		+400	$326	88¢	$350	+$24	10-28 21:24
Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	Yes		+1,003	-$978	34¢	$346	+$1,324	11-03 14:37
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026?	Yes		+245	$156	88¢	$214	+$58	10-01 18:47
Will Ed Sheeran have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No		+72	$71	100¢	$72	+$1	10-29 09:30
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?	No		+337	$79	14¢	$47	-$31	09-28 14:13
Will Beauty And A Beat – Justin Bieber & Nicki Minaj be the top song for 2026?	No	—	+26	$21	99¢	$25	+$4	07-21 06:45
Will Ariana Grande be the second most streamed artist for 2026?	No	—	+20	$20	100¢	$20	+$0	10-15 21:52
Will Billie Eilish be the second most streamed artist for 2026?	No	—	+12	$10	100¢	$12	+$2	06-13 09:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?	40	$18.8K	16,956	3,388	+13,569	No	-$529	07-02 14:39
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	96	$14.4K	11,531	8,386	+3,145	Yes	+$879	04-29 18:59
Will "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?	20	$9.8K	11,439	1,221	+10,218	Yes	-$7,951	05-07 13:59
Will Drake have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	62	$9.8K	10,206	0	+10,206	No	+$394	05-29 14:02
Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?	20	$8.4K	9,328	2,364	+6,965	open	—	11-02 14:38
Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in May?	35	$8.0K	8,273	0	+8,273	No	+$270	05-31 12:38
will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	39	$7.4K	7,420	658	+6,762	No	+$268	07-01 19:18
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?	151	$7.3K	7,394	1,913	+5,481	open	—	09-19 13:35
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	63	$5.4K	9,183	7,828	+1,355	open	—	11-03 14:36
will end of beginning djo be the 1 song on spotify this week 114	38	$5.3K	3,803	2,888	+915	Yes	+$98	01-26 23:03
Will Kanye West have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	29	$4.7K	3,133	1,651	+1,482	No	+$84	04-27 20:36
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?	30	$4.6K	5,271	1,577	+3,694	open	—	11-01 18:37
will i just might bruno mars be the 1 song on us spotify this week 732	4	$4.5K	4,513	0	+4,513	No	+$7	02-11 22:19
will bruno mars have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month 196	32	$4.3K	4,643	0	+4,643	Yes	+$299	03-24 18:08
will bruno mars have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	35	$4.3K	4,629	1,159	+3,471	Yes	+$918	02-25 08:07
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$4.3K	3,791	783	+3,008	No	-$25	04-01 09:04
will what you saying by lil uzi vert be the billboard 1 song for the week of february 14	5	$4.2K	4,238	0	+4,238	No	+$7	02-09 21:34
Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	32	$4.0K	4,467	3,464	+1,003	open	—	11-03 14:37
will stateside zara larsson pinkpantheress zara larsson be the 1 song on spotify this week 488	8	$3.9K	3,963	0	+3,963	No	+$43	03-23 14:03
will aperture by harry styles be the billboard 1 song for the week of february 14	10	$3.9K	3,943	0	+3,943	No	+$40	02-09 21:33
Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	50	$3.7K	6,596	27	+6,569	No	+$2,958	04-30 07:54
will mutt by leon thomas be the billboard 1 song for the week of january 24	3	$3.6K	3,594	0	+3,594	No	+$4	01-19 22:37
Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	19	$3.4K	4,323	3,922	+400	Yes	+$1,126	10-28 20:57
Will Bruno Mars have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	33	$3.2K	5,100	238	+4,862	No	-$218	04-30 11:41
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	12	$3.1K	1,978	1,164	+814	No	+$13	01-17 22:50
Will Olivia Rodrigo have a #1 hit in the US in June?	6	$3.0K	3,038	0	+3,038	Yes	+$9	06-13 15:29
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	9	$3.0K	4,338	4,338	+0	Yes	-$633	04-03 13:20
Will Drake have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	6	$3.0K	1,653	1,350	+303	No	+$9	04-27 20:44
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	1	$3.0K	2,999	0	+2,999	No	+$21	05-12 18:12
will bad bunny have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	71	$2.9K	3,947	1,123	+2,825	No	+$449	02-25 01:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 20:37:07	Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 14.75M in November?	No	BUY	130	64¢	$83	0x890731…
11-03 21:33:27	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	76¢	$152	0x6bb6ed…
11-03 14:37:52	Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	Yes	BUY	205	30¢	$62	0xe1dd19…
11-03 14:36:52	Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,358	68¢	$922	0x97b48b…
11-03 13:15:28	Will "Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA" be the #2 US song this week?	Yes	SELL	93	94¢	$88	0x06f9ec…
11-02 19:54:52	Will "Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA" be the #2 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x31d97b…
11-02 19:54:19	Will "Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA" be the #2 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	25	52¢	$13	0x482b75…
11-02 19:54:07	Will "Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA" be the #2 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xc72ebd…
11-02 19:54:06	Will "Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA" be the #2 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	25	52¢	$13	0xea6b70…
11-02 19:54:06	Will "Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA" be the #2 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0xb4eb07…
11-02 14:38:55	Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?	Yes	BUY	983	80¢	$786	0xb93e7f…
11-02 14:35:00	Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	Yes	BUY	362	62¢	$224	0x073459…
11-02 08:18:16	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of November 14?	Yes	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0xfa2798…
11-01 18:37:34	Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$7	0xd3bcd7…
11-01 18:37:12	Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	75¢	$0	0xae20af…
11-01 17:39:31	Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 27M in October?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xebd2db…
11-01 14:49:28	Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 26M in October?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xe16ee3…
11-01 14:49:24	Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 25M in October?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x18a89e…
11-01 14:49:16	Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 24M in October?	No	BUY	516	100¢	$516	0x6f3313…
11-01 14:35:40	Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?	Yes	BUY	733	87¢	$637	0x8c7755…
11-01 14:21:36	Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	Yes	SELL	614	40¢	$245	0xb4c485…
11-01 12:56:13	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	42	27¢	$11	0x9d0012…
11-01 11:42:43	Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 116m by October 31?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x1510fa…
11-01 11:42:36	Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 113m by October 31?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$95	0xc70600…
11-01 11:42:33	Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 110m by October 31?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x5b3f69…
11-01 11:42:28	Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 107m by October 31?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xcf3968…
11-01 02:44:01	Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026?	Yes	SELL	458	13¢	$59	0xd02b38…
10-31 19:08:07	Will A$AP Rocky have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	No	BUY	156	93¢	$145	0xd682e9…
10-31 19:07:57	Will Jack Harlow have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	No	BUY	32	93¢	$29	0xca22ad…
10-31 19:04:33	Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,031	82¢	$845	0xbb7bf1…
10-31 12:00:39	Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 27M in October?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x547e64…
10-31 12:00:31	Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 24M in October?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe8fd11…
10-31 11:59:54	Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 24M in October?	No	BUY	1,172	99¢	$1,159	0x384b6b…
10-30 21:48:31	Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 116m by October 31?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xa7b9a3…
10-30 15:25:06	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	262	84¢	$221	0x8fa3d9…
10-30 14:19:16	Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0x33d475…
10-30 10:24:46	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb5bb7d…
10-30 10:23:33	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	288	100¢	$286	0x639baa…
10-29 09:30:29	Will Ed Sheeran have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	BUY	72	99¢	$71	0x4b2aee…
10-28 21:32:58	Will Eminem be the third most streamed artist for 2026?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x3413ed…
10-28 21:24:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	400	82¢	$328	0x967954…
10-28 21:02:31	Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 107m by October 31?	No	BUY	338	100¢	$337	0xbcd417…
10-28 20:57:10	Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	SELL	63	98¢	$61	0x62a233…
10-28 20:49:50	Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 26M in October?	No	BUY	485	99¢	$480	0xe7cf02…
10-28 20:49:43	Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 27M in October?	No	BUY	1,108	99¢	$1,097	0xb5906e…
10-28 20:47:22	Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 107m by October 31?	No	BUY	408	100¢	$407	0xecf44f…
10-27 22:01:17	Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 113m by October 31?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x3b8b41…
10-27 22:01:08	Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 107m by October 31?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x0a2ee2…
10-27 20:18:15	Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	177	80¢	$142	0xde6d01…
10-27 20:18:11	Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	40	79¢	$32	0x10f143…
10-27 20:18:03	Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x0991cd…
10-26 20:23:18	Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 107m by October 31?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xa99e46…
10-26 20:23:14	Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 113m by October 31?	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0xd9d67b…
10-26 20:23:11	Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 107m by October 31?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xf384de…
10-26 19:25:36	Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	SELL	151	91¢	$137	0x7bcb14…
10-26 14:16:45	Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	Yes	BUY	558	33¢	$184	0xa0c8ac…
10-26 13:20:18	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x807ba0…
10-25 18:51:12	Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 107m by October 31?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x849196…
10-25 18:51:08	Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 107m by October 31?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$15	0x7de417…
10-25 18:50:21	Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	250	80¢	$200	0xd36de2…
10-24 19:49:26	Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 107m by October 31?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x1a8ae4…
10-24 19:49:21	Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 107m by October 31?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$16	0x0b420c…
10-24 19:49:18	Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 107m by October 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x15fb16…
10-24 19:49:15	Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 107m by October 31?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xfa8f17…
10-24 19:49:12	Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 107m by October 31?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xa63e39…
10-24 19:49:06	Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 110m by October 31?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xdfc94a…
10-24 19:48:09	Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 110m by October 31?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x1491d9…
10-24 19:48:05	Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 110m by October 31?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x412d3e…
10-24 19:46:23	Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	SELL	40	37¢	$15	0xd76dc7…
10-24 14:17:42	Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	36¢	$18	0xc1b285…
10-24 08:32:02	Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 113m by October 31?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x679dfc…
10-24 08:31:48	Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 116m by October 31?	No	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0xece801…
10-24 08:30:30	Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 110m by October 31?	No	BUY	1,500	100¢	$1,492	0xe4f3ea…
10-22 17:01:45	Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	Yes	SELL	784	47¢	$367	0x656aa9…
10-22 06:58:08	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe83aad…
10-22 06:58:00	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xc9a963…
10-22 06:57:59	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xddc486…
10-22 06:46:41	Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	34¢	$41	0x4803b2…
10-22 00:38:26	Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	Yes	BUY	113	50¢	$56	0xea588d…
10-21 20:14:08	Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	Yes	BUY	215	50¢	$107	0x29d721…
10-21 20:14:05	Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	Yes	BUY	221	37¢	$82	0x2a49ff…
10-21 18:03:48	Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	Yes	SELL	104	29¢	$30	0x5991a6…
10-21 10:05:21	Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?	No	SELL	26	80¢	$21	0x7bf103…
10-21 09:54:50	Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	53¢	$79	0x88b43f…
10-21 09:54:45	Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	32¢	$39	0x12e344…
10-21 09:39:20	Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	Yes	SELL	455	62¢	$282	0xf5ee4c…
10-20 20:20:27	Will Future have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0xf52e1e…
10-20 20:19:24	Will Jack Harlow have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	No	BUY	241	82¢	$197	0x417e6d…
10-20 20:16:03	Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0xb13108…
10-20 20:11:36	Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 26M in October?	No	BUY	187	100¢	$186	0x1fab32…
10-20 20:10:57	Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	127	47¢	$60	0xe5a746…
10-20 20:07:51	Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 110m by October 31?	No	BUY	388	100¢	$387	0x9a0745…
10-20 19:42:36	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaebca6…
10-20 19:42:27	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x20ad00…
10-20 19:42:15	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xac1def…
10-20 19:42:12	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x79d42d…
10-20 19:42:05	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x95a8fd…
10-20 19:42:00	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	203	100¢	$202	0x286cc2…
10-20 19:38:51	Will "Lies - Zach Bryan, Lana Del Rey" be the #1 US song this week?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xaa899d…
10-20 19:36:51	Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	Yes	BUY	467	24¢	$112	0xb47e7d…