Perfect-Mistake — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$60

Unrealized P&L

-$62

Hit rate

20.2%

Resolved

Trades

2,894

lifetime

Volume

$295.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$102

Open exposure

$588

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-11 15:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

64% — —

Pop-Culture

25% — —

Politics

9% 50% +$60

Sports

2% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 109 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	-607	$-468	84¢	$-513	$-46	06-01 06:59
Will Ariana Grande feature Kanye West on Petal?	No	+45	$43	100¢	$44	+$1	06-06 14:33
Will Ed Sheeran have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	No	+23	$20	78¢	$18	$-2	06-02 15:05
Will A$AP Rocky have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	No	+7	$5	83¢	$6	+$1	06-06 13:46
Will Ariana Grande feature Frank Ocean on Petal?	No	+7	$7	64¢	$5	$-2	06-06 14:32
Will Ariana Grande feature Drake on Petal?	No	+17	$15	8¢	$1	$-14	06-06 14:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	87	$13.9K	11,005	8,386	+2,619	open	—	04-27 20:47
Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in May?	35	$8.0K	8,273	0	+8,273	open	—	05-31 12:38
will end of beginning djo be the 1 song on spotify this week 114	38	$5.3K	3,803	2,888	+915	open	—	01-26 23:03
Will Kanye West have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	29	$4.7K	3,133	1,651	+1,482	open	—	04-27 20:36
will i just might bruno mars be the 1 song on us spotify this week 732	4	$4.5K	4,513	0	+4,513	open	—	02-11 22:19
will bruno mars have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month 196	32	$4.3K	4,643	0	+4,643	open	—	03-24 18:08
will bruno mars have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	35	$4.3K	4,629	1,159	+3,471	open	—	02-25 08:07
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$4.3K	3,791	783	+3,008	open	—	04-01 09:04
will what you saying by lil uzi vert be the billboard 1 song for the week of february 14	5	$4.2K	4,238	0	+4,238	open	—	02-09 21:34
will stateside zara larsson pinkpantheress zara larsson be the 1 song on spotify this week 488	8	$3.9K	3,963	0	+3,963	open	—	03-23 14:03
will aperture by harry styles be the billboard 1 song for the week of february 14	10	$3.9K	3,943	0	+3,943	open	—	02-09 21:33
will mutt by leon thomas be the billboard 1 song for the week of january 24	3	$3.6K	3,594	0	+3,594	open	—	01-19 22:37
Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	42	$3.1K	6,048	27	+6,021	open	—	04-27 20:39
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	12	$3.1K	1,978	1,164	+814	open	—	01-17 22:50
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	9	$3.0K	4,338	4,338	+0	open	—	04-03 13:20
Will Drake have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	6	$3.0K	1,653	1,350	+303	open	—	04-27 20:44
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	1	$3.0K	2,999	0	+2,999	open	—	05-12 18:12
will bad bunny have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	71	$2.9K	3,947	1,123	+2,825	open	—	02-25 01:52
will golden huntrx be the 1 song on spotify this week 674	2	$2.9K	2,873	0	+2,873	open	—	01-01 16:06
will aperture harry styles be the 1 song on us spotify this week 296	77	$2.7K	2,705	1,039	+1,666	open	—	02-05 21:59
will ariana grande have a 1 hit in the us in june	10	$2.7K	2,730	0	+2,730	open	—	06-04 00:42
will i just might bruno mars be the 1 song on spotify this week	5	$2.5K	2,507	0	+2,507	open	—	01-22 14:57
will the fate of ophelia taylor swift be the 1 song on spotify this week 233	5	$2.5K	2,532	0	+2,532	open	—	01-16 14:30
will elon musk perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	15	$2.4K	2,418	0	+2,418	open	—	02-09 00:22
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	7	$2.3K	5,017	5,017	+0	open	—	04-03 22:40
will stateside zara larsson pinkpantheress zara larsson be the 1 song on us spotify this week 112	6	$2.3K	2,452	0	+2,452	open	—	03-11 23:40
Will Bruno Mars have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	28	$2.3K	4,161	238	+3,923	open	—	04-27 20:43
will back to friends sombr be the 1 song on spotify this week 456	5	$2.2K	2,231	0	+2,231	open	—	02-24 16:28
will the fate of ophelia taylor swift be the 1 song on us spotify this week 147	11	$2.2K	2,188	0	+2,188	open	—	01-28 16:29
will erika kirk perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	6	$2.2K	2,169	0	+2,169	open	—	02-09 00:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 15:07:19	will olivia rodrigo have a 1 hit in the us in june	Yes	BUY	68	97¢	$66	0xebe0f1…
06-11 15:02:40	will olivia rodrigo have a 1 hit in the us in june	Yes	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0x493155…
06-11 08:39:43	will olivia rodrigo have a 1 hit in the us in june	Yes	BUY	61	97¢	$60	0x5a59fa…
06-11 08:18:52	will olivia rodrigo have a 1 hit in the us in june	Yes	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0x7eadba…
06-08 20:58:00	Will Ariana Grande have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	98¢	$12	0xec1484…
06-08 20:55:40	Will Ariana Grande have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x1265b1…
06-08 20:55:37	Will Ariana Grande have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x1defda…
06-08 20:55:34	Will Ariana Grande have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	93¢	$18	0x3aba0a…
06-08 20:55:31	Will Ariana Grande have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0x694f33…
06-08 20:55:28	Will Ariana Grande have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x6c69fd…
06-06 14:33:06	Will Ariana Grande feature Kanye West on Petal?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$6	0x626a76…
06-06 14:32:46	Will Ariana Grande feature Frank Ocean on Petal?	No	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0x053237…
06-06 14:32:15	Will Ariana Grande feature Kanye West on Petal?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xa7d238…
06-06 14:32:10	Will Ariana Grande feature Kanye West on Petal?	No	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0x4af231…
06-06 14:32:07	Will Ariana Grande feature Kanye West on Petal?	No	BUY	8	95¢	$7	0x323148…
06-06 14:31:55	Will Ariana Grande feature Drake on Petal?	No	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x45117b…
06-06 14:30:13	will taylor swift have a 1 hit in the us in june	Yes	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0x08a5fc…
06-06 14:30:07	will taylor swift have a 1 hit in the us in june	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xfa8b3d…
06-06 13:46:48	Will A$AP Rocky have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x690bfd…
06-05 17:34:55	will olivia dean have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xf8d61b…
06-04 00:42:24	will ariana grande have a 1 hit in the us in june	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x39a679…
06-03 21:54:07	will ariana grande have a 1 hit in the us in june	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xd20bb0…
06-03 20:46:52	will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x93f415…
06-03 20:45:58	will ariana grande have a 1 hit in the us in june	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xbbfe92…
06-03 20:41:10	will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	SELL	17	50¢	$8	0x278a47…
06-03 18:57:48	Will Ariana Grande have a #1 hit in the US in June?	Yes	BUY	538	100¢	$536	0xb720e1…
06-03 18:57:07	Will Ariana Grande have a #1 hit in the US in June?	Yes	BUY	443	100¢	$442	0x18b302…
06-03 18:56:39	Will Ariana Grande have a #1 hit in the US in June?	Yes	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0xfe84b4…
06-03 18:56:30	Will Ariana Grande have a #1 hit in the US in June?	Yes	BUY	133	100¢	$132	0x979e87…
06-03 14:48:27	Will Noah Kahan have a #1 hit in the US in June?	No	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0xa9665a…
06-02 21:13:32	Will Bruno Mars have a #1 hit in the US in June?	No	BUY	29	94¢	$27	0x434b5b…
06-02 21:12:46	Will Noah Kahan have a #1 hit in the US in June?	No	BUY	67	97¢	$65	0xa23d81…
06-02 19:44:06	Will Noah Kahan have a #1 hit in the US in June?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x350582…
06-02 19:10:48	Will Taylor Swift have a #1 hit in June?	Yes	BUY	97	88¢	$85	0xf9602d…
06-02 19:04:53	Will Taylor Swift have a #1 hit in June?	Yes	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xf1f323…
06-02 18:05:12	will gracie abrams have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x80f64a…
06-02 17:03:08	will gracie abrams have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xb8b713…
06-02 15:05:29	Will Ed Sheeran have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x625215…
06-02 15:05:02	Will Ariana Grande have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0xf8917f…
06-02 14:19:29	Will Noah Kahan have a #1 hit in the US in June?	No	BUY	17	97¢	$17	0x603425…
06-02 14:19:27	Will Noah Kahan have a #1 hit in the US in June?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3312a4…
06-02 14:18:43	Will Bruno Mars have a #1 hit in the US in June?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe5651d…
06-02 11:14:34	Will Drake have a #1 hit in the US in June?	No	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x1f2c07…
06-02 11:03:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	400	99¢	$395	0x2e16fa…
06-02 02:49:27	Will Ariana Grande have a #1 hit in the US in June?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1838c4…
06-01 20:55:38	Will Ariana Grande have a #1 hit in the US in June?	Yes	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x48dc6e…
06-01 20:55:26	Will Ariana Grande have a #1 hit in the US in June?	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x51133e…
06-01 20:44:37	will gracie abrams have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	19	90¢	$17	0x2f228f…
06-01 18:48:07	will don toliver have a 1 hit in june	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xf573a1…
06-01 18:47:20	Will Kanye West have a #1 hit in June?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x70028c…
06-01 18:45:33	will alex warren have a 1 hit in june	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xcc1e64…
06-01 18:45:03	Will Kanye West have a #1 hit in June?	No	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0x14e012…
06-01 18:44:56	will bruno mars have a 1 hit in june	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x488d2f…
06-01 18:44:34	Will Kanye West have a #1 hit in June?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xd5a78f…
06-01 18:43:55	will alex warren have a 1 hit in june	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x16f726…
06-01 12:27:52	Will Bruno Mars have a #1 hit in the US in May?	No	BUY	432	100¢	$431	0x1da699…
06-01 12:27:44	Will Beyonce have a #1 hit in the US in May?	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0x7ebfd2…
06-01 12:27:37	Will Beyonce have a #1 hit in the US in May?	No	BUY	182	100¢	$182	0x6dad1c…
06-01 06:59:01	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	407	77¢	$314	0xfddb01…
06-01 02:49:32	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0xb00227…
05-31 21:16:35	will bruno mars have a 1 hit in june	No	BUY	16	86¢	$14	0x7c06ff…
05-31 19:20:02	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0xdb7953…
05-31 13:58:46	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	77¢	$10	0xed1a2a…
05-31 12:38:11	Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in May?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x967aee…
05-31 12:21:33	Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in May?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xc6066e…
05-31 12:19:50	Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in May?	No	BUY	613	99¢	$606	0x1e49aa…
05-31 12:19:48	Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in May?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x422261…
05-30 14:31:55	Will Ariana Grande have a #1 hit in May?	Yes	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x984a81…
05-30 14:31:51	Will Ariana Grande have a #1 hit in May?	Yes	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0x3c2629…
05-30 14:31:50	Will Ariana Grande have a #1 hit in May?	Yes	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0xa5260b…
05-30 14:31:46	Will Ariana Grande have a #1 hit in May?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x84d7d3…
05-30 08:13:01	Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in May?	No	BUY	790	98¢	$778	0x0d1506…
05-30 08:12:52	Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in May?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xf8033c…
05-30 08:12:48	Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in May?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xa97e3d…
05-30 08:12:41	Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in May?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xb3aef7…
05-30 08:12:36	Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in May?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x196ebd…
05-30 08:12:29	Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in May?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x4649de…
05-30 08:12:26	Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in May?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x857878…
05-30 08:12:20	Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in May?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x183821…
05-30 08:11:49	Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in May?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x3b3871…
05-29 09:34:41	Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in May?	No	BUY	1,100	98¢	$1,074	0x0e0d22…
05-29 09:34:12	Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in May?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xf7a784…
05-28 21:00:42	Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in May?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x47948c…
05-28 20:19:03	Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in May?	No	BUY	18	97¢	$18	0xced55b…
05-28 20:08:09	Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in May?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xfcf8d2…
05-28 20:07:27	Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in May?	No	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0x510f8c…
05-28 20:06:04	Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in May?	No	BUY	333	98¢	$326	0x2669a9…
05-28 20:06:01	Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in May?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0xb27c4a…
05-28 20:05:56	Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in May?	No	BUY	53	97¢	$51	0xaaccfa…
05-28 20:05:54	Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in May?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xde17a6…
05-28 20:05:52	Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in May?	No	BUY	1,050	98¢	$1,025	0x101944…
05-28 20:05:19	Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in May?	No	BUY	111	97¢	$107	0x5e738d…
05-28 20:05:17	Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in May?	No	BUY	14	97¢	$13	0xee0b48…
05-28 20:05:17	Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in May?	No	BUY	1,105	98¢	$1,078	0x0d1998…
05-28 20:02:38	Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in May?	No	BUY	55	97¢	$53	0xeeb91e…
05-28 20:02:33	Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in May?	No	BUY	990	98¢	$966	0x9d1f2d…
05-28 20:01:10	Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in May?	No	BUY	76	97¢	$74	0xc6457e…
05-28 15:33:06	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	77¢	$77	0xc082c3…
05-28 08:00:31	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xe0ab1c…
05-27 21:58:59	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	77¢	$12	0xce48a4…