Perfect-Mistake — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$60

Unrealized P&L

-$21

Hit rate

20.2%

Resolved

Trades

3,006

lifetime

Volume

$326.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$109

Open exposure

$1.11K

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-19 22:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

64% — —

Pop-Culture

26% — —

Politics

8% 50% +$60

Sports

2% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	-1,215	$-966	82¢	$-990	$-24	07-05 18:45
Will Ariana Grande feature Kanye West on Petal?	No	+45	$43	99¢	$44	+$1	06-06 14:33
Will A$AP Rocky have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	No	+34	$29	90¢	$30	+$1	06-13 22:28
Will Ed Sheeran have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	No	+23	$20	85¢	$20	$-0	06-02 15:05
Will Ariana Grande feature Drake on Petal?	No	+17	$15	98¢	$16	+$1	06-06 14:31
Will Ariana Grande feature Frank Ocean on Petal?	No	+7	$7	98¢	$7	+$0	06-06 14:32
Will Future have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	No	+2	$1	81¢	$1	+$0	07-19 22:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will olivia dean have a 1 hit in the us in june	38	$18.8K	16,906	3,388	+13,519	open	—	07-02 14:39
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	87	$13.9K	11,005	8,386	+2,619	open	—	04-27 20:47
Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in May?	35	$8.0K	8,273	0	+8,273	open	—	05-31 12:38
will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	39	$7.4K	7,420	658	+6,762	open	—	07-01 19:18
will end of beginning djo be the 1 song on spotify this week 114	38	$5.3K	3,803	2,888	+915	open	—	01-26 23:03
Will Kanye West have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	29	$4.7K	3,133	1,651	+1,482	open	—	04-27 20:36
will i just might bruno mars be the 1 song on us spotify this week 732	4	$4.5K	4,513	0	+4,513	open	—	02-11 22:19
will bruno mars have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month 196	32	$4.3K	4,643	0	+4,643	open	—	03-24 18:08
will bruno mars have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	35	$4.3K	4,629	1,159	+3,471	open	—	02-25 08:07
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$4.3K	3,791	783	+3,008	open	—	04-01 09:04
will what you saying by lil uzi vert be the billboard 1 song for the week of february 14	5	$4.2K	4,238	0	+4,238	open	—	02-09 21:34
will stateside zara larsson pinkpantheress zara larsson be the 1 song on spotify this week 488	8	$3.9K	3,963	0	+3,963	open	—	03-23 14:03
will aperture by harry styles be the billboard 1 song for the week of february 14	10	$3.9K	3,943	0	+3,943	open	—	02-09 21:33
will mutt by leon thomas be the billboard 1 song for the week of january 24	3	$3.6K	3,594	0	+3,594	open	—	01-19 22:37
Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	42	$3.1K	6,048	27	+6,021	open	—	04-27 20:39
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	12	$3.1K	1,978	1,164	+814	open	—	01-17 22:50
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	9	$3.0K	4,338	4,338	+0	open	—	04-03 13:20
Will Drake have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	6	$3.0K	1,653	1,350	+303	open	—	04-27 20:44
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	1	$3.0K	2,999	0	+2,999	open	—	05-12 18:12
will bad bunny have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	71	$2.9K	3,947	1,123	+2,825	open	—	02-25 01:52
will golden huntrx be the 1 song on spotify this week 674	2	$2.9K	2,873	0	+2,873	open	—	01-01 16:06
will aperture harry styles be the 1 song on us spotify this week 296	77	$2.7K	2,705	1,039	+1,666	open	—	02-05 21:59
will ariana grande have a 1 hit in the us in june	10	$2.7K	2,730	0	+2,730	open	—	06-04 00:42
will i just might bruno mars be the 1 song on spotify this week	5	$2.5K	2,507	0	+2,507	open	—	01-22 14:57
will the fate of ophelia taylor swift be the 1 song on spotify this week 233	5	$2.5K	2,532	0	+2,532	open	—	01-16 14:30
will elon musk perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	15	$2.4K	2,418	0	+2,418	open	—	02-09 00:22
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	7	$2.3K	5,017	5,017	+0	open	—	04-03 22:40
will stateside zara larsson pinkpantheress zara larsson be the 1 song on us spotify this week 112	6	$2.3K	2,452	0	+2,452	open	—	03-11 23:40
Will Bruno Mars have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	28	$2.3K	4,161	238	+3,923	open	—	04-27 20:43
will back to friends sombr be the 1 song on spotify this week 456	5	$2.2K	2,231	0	+2,231	open	—	02-24 16:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 22:43:09	Will Future have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0x3cd69b…
07-05 18:45:41	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	608	82¢	$498	0xbc62e3…
07-02 14:40:04	will don toliver have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	784	100¢	$783	0x6e9dab…
07-02 14:39:55	will olivia dean have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	7,376	100¢	$7,368	0x032610…
07-02 14:39:19	will olivia dean have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x84432e…
07-02 14:39:05	will olivia dean have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	333	100¢	$333	0x90f946…
07-01 19:58:34	will bruno mars have a 1 hit in june	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x157a78…
07-01 19:58:04	will gracie abrams have a 1 hit in june	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x08522a…
07-01 19:57:58	will bruno mars have a 1 hit in june	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x61dcd2…
07-01 19:57:56	will gracie abrams have a 1 hit in june	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xdc12ec…
07-01 19:57:47	will bruno mars have a 1 hit in june	No	BUY	108	100¢	$107	0xdb4f88…
07-01 19:57:41	will beyonce have a 1 hit in june	No	BUY	313	100¢	$313	0x6684b8…
07-01 19:57:40	will beyonce have a 1 hit in june	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xf1aa84…
07-01 19:57:35	will kanye west have a 1 hit in june	No	BUY	621	100¢	$620	0xc489ee…
07-01 19:57:34	will kanye west have a 1 hit in june	No	BUY	155	100¢	$155	0x209768…
07-01 19:57:22	will gracie abrams have a 1 hit in june	No	BUY	362	100¢	$361	0x43d54f…
07-01 19:57:20	will gracie abrams have a 1 hit in june	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x85b50b…
07-01 19:57:17	will drake have a 1 hit in june	No	BUY	268	100¢	$267	0x608a2e…
07-01 19:57:14	will drake have a 1 hit in june	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xdb8975…
07-01 19:57:07	will the weeknd have a 1 hit in june	No	BUY	157	100¢	$157	0x1658b1…
07-01 19:57:05	will the weeknd have a 1 hit in june	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x5ab845…
07-01 19:56:58	will don toliver have a 1 hit in june	No	BUY	169	100¢	$169	0x118d81…
07-01 19:56:55	will don toliver have a 1 hit in june	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0xf75daa…
07-01 19:20:37	will alex warren have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	332	100¢	$332	0xa15b97…
07-01 19:18:47	will olivia dean have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	1,180	100¢	$1,179	0xc04476…
07-01 19:18:22	will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x2c6f0c…
07-01 19:18:16	will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x8c4152…
07-01 19:18:13	will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	201	99¢	$200	0x4b6582…
07-01 19:18:08	will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x11c262…
07-01 19:15:23	will olivia dean have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0xd490f1…
07-01 19:15:17	will olivia dean have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x1dc4b7…
06-30 22:58:44	will olivia dean have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x83e22c…
06-30 22:58:43	will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x7fd1f4…
06-30 22:13:31	will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	SELL	500	80¢	$401	0xe1e7b7…
06-30 22:13:10	will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	SELL	25	83¢	$21	0x095c7e…
06-30 21:40:31	will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xf803fa…
06-30 20:34:14	will olivia dean have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	SELL	2,000	67¢	$1,340	0x42b3bd…
06-30 20:32:20	will olivia dean have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	SELL	1,002	71¢	$713	0xfe3b13…
06-30 20:27:44	will olivia dean have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	SELL	45	75¢	$34	0x5520d5…
06-30 20:27:10	will olivia dean have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	SELL	6	75¢	$4	0x4de96b…
06-30 20:24:49	will olivia dean have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	SELL	6	76¢	$5	0x401ced…
06-30 20:23:53	will olivia dean have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	SELL	125	75¢	$93	0x257d04…
06-30 20:16:05	will olivia dean have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	SELL	204	80¢	$163	0x3c7524…
06-30 19:04:43	will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	45	90¢	$41	0xb7a435…
06-30 19:02:32	will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	58	90¢	$53	0x1c563c…
06-30 19:02:19	will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	16	90¢	$14	0x3fd5e8…
06-30 19:02:01	will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x16a4ae…
06-30 18:59:05	will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	250	90¢	$225	0xe2c308…
06-30 18:59:01	will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	250	90¢	$225	0xe07165…
06-30 18:58:41	will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	250	90¢	$225	0x0edfd4…
06-30 18:58:38	will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	250	90¢	$225	0xf0170f…
06-30 18:58:34	will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	530	90¢	$475	0x9a89e4…
06-30 18:58:34	will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	250	90¢	$225	0x381764…
06-30 18:48:40	will olivia dean have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0xf90085…
06-30 18:37:44	will olivia dean have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	67	88¢	$59	0x562f69…
06-30 18:24:49	will olivia dean have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	67	89¢	$59	0xa19eb1…
06-30 18:22:56	will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	312	91¢	$285	0xad262a…
06-30 18:22:50	will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	19	91¢	$17	0x66c37c…
06-30 18:19:28	will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	30	92¢	$27	0x663f3a…
06-30 18:09:52	will olivia dean have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	467	90¢	$420	0x18eeb7…
06-30 17:42:37	will beyonce have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x480ce2…
06-30 17:40:22	will olivia dean have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	63	95¢	$60	0x62be52…
06-30 17:37:35	will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	18	90¢	$16	0x1566d5…
06-30 17:35:56	will olivia dean have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	82	98¢	$80	0x5dbd1f…
06-30 17:35:52	will olivia dean have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	2,000	97¢	$1,940	0xebf591…
06-30 17:34:52	will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	2,000	95¢	$1,900	0x11a7ea…
06-30 17:34:25	will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	Yes	SELL	54	4¢	$2	0xe07c0a…
06-30 17:32:34	will olivia dean have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	827	97¢	$800	0xa8ba35…
06-30 17:30:50	will olivia dean have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	715	98¢	$700	0x48c63e…
06-30 17:30:37	will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	337	93¢	$313	0x714cd1…
06-30 17:25:41	will olivia dean have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	2,073	96¢	$1,980	0x7cbde3…
06-30 17:25:40	will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	2,026	98¢	$1,980	0xf2656d…
06-30 15:13:11	will olivia dean have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x1eac14…
06-30 15:13:10	will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x476c87…
06-29 21:17:19	will bruno mars have a 1 hit in june	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdcab46…
06-29 21:17:14	will olivia dean have a 1 hit in june	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x98f08d…
06-29 21:17:11	will noah kahan have a 1 hit in june	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x996713…
06-29 21:17:05	will drake have a 1 hit in june	No	BUY	179	99¢	$177	0x91259f…
06-29 21:16:56	will kanye west have a 1 hit in june	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0c56d6…
06-29 21:16:52	will bad bunny have a 1 hit in june	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x74e41e…
06-29 21:16:47	will beyonce have a 1 hit in june	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x01f1bb…
06-29 21:16:44	will the weeknd have a 1 hit in june	No	BUY	89	99¢	$88	0xdacffe…
06-29 21:16:38	will don toliver have a 1 hit in june	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8edfda…
06-29 21:15:34	will beyonce have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfbe4a1…
06-29 21:15:22	will bruno mars have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x196364…
06-29 20:38:08	will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x5056e8…
06-29 20:35:05	will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	Yes	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x23c139…
06-29 19:50:55	will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x7ee48d…
06-29 19:44:10	will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	Yes	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x95f21a…
06-29 18:35:37	will olivia dean have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	97	89¢	$86	0xfa6992…
06-29 18:35:29	will olivia dean have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xb06618…
06-29 18:33:37	will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	SELL	7	40¢	$3	0x0624d8…
06-29 18:33:34	will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	SELL	52	39¢	$20	0x58aaf4…
06-29 18:33:19	will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	Yes	BUY	26	62¢	$16	0xeb00a2…
06-23 21:38:41	will kanye west have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	183	98¢	$180	0x72cff1…
06-23 21:38:37	will kanye west have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xbfa069…
06-23 21:38:31	will kanye west have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x4bd872…
06-23 21:38:28	will kanye west have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0xe047ca…
06-21 14:17:11	will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	95	77¢	$73	0x500930…
06-21 10:00:31	will olivia dean have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x2f00c5…