Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
127
lifetime
Volume
$407
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$72
25 positions
First seen
2026-06-13
last 07-02 05:04
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
54%
Sports
37%
Tech
3%
Pop-Culture
2%
Politics
2%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +5 $4 96¢ $5 +$1 07-01 01:49
Will Credit-card routing competition become law this year? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 06-29 00:56
Anduril IPO before 2027? No +5 $4 90¢ $5 +$0 06-28 05:33
Celonis IPO before 2027? No +5 $4 89¢ $4 +$0 06-28 19:15
Will Trump pardon Eric Adams before 2027? No +5 $4 88¢ $4 +$0 07-02 00:06
Vanta IPO before 2027? No +5 $4 88¢ $4 $-0 06-28 22:46
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? No +5 $5 88¢ $4 $-0 06-28 04:00
Will Ed Sheeran have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? No +5 $4 86¢ $4 +$0 06-28 12:22
Databricks IPO before 2027? No +5 $4 82¢ $4 $-0 06-28 07:58
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +5 $4 78¢ $4 +$0 06-29 15:13
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 78¢ $4 +$0 06-29 16:54
Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2026? Yes +5 $3 64¢ $3 +$0 06-28 11:00
Will Taylor Swift release an album in 2026? Yes +5 $2 55¢ $3 +$1 07-01 19:37
Will Travis Scott release an album in 2026? Yes +5 $3 50¢ $3 $-0 07-01 17:53
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $3 50¢ $3 $-1 06-29 13:49
Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +5 $2 50¢ $2 +$1 06-30 15:43
Will Sabrina Carpenter have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? No +5 $3 49¢ $2 $-1 07-01 17:07
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +5 $2 32¢ $2 $-1 06-30 04:46
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? No +5 $2 30¢ $2 $-0 06-30 02:38
Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +5 $3 28¢ $1 $-2 07-01 20:35
Will Playboi Carti release an album in 2026? Yes +5 $1 25¢ $1 +$0 07-01 16:50
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? Yes +5 $1 20¢ $1 +$0 06-28 02:16
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026? Yes +5 $1 18¢ $1 $-0 06-28 01:28
Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +5 $1 11¢ $1 $-1 06-28 03:25
Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +5 $1 $0 $-1 07-01 05:32