Will Trump pardon Eric Adams before 2027?
open
Total volume
$436
Trades
80
Unique wallets
32
Liquidity
$801
Latest YES mid
12¢
Latest NO mid
88¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-11
last 07-23 08:49
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $0 | $60 | $60 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $4 | $1 | +$3 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 21 | $35 | $165 | $131 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $1 | $26 | $24 |
| Median | 2 | — | $4 | $4 |
| Below median | 5 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | — | $35 | $35 |
| unranked | 20 | $35 | $162 | $127 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | +53 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-22 00:51 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +37 | $26 | $26 | 2 | 07-04 08:15 |
| Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | No | +33 | $29 | $33 | 2 | 07-23 08:49 |
| Slow-Exhibit 0x1411…2410 | No | +23 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 07-04 09:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | +15 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-04 09:36 |
| Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | +13 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 07-02 10:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xfd1c…4c80 | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 4 | 07-04 14:16 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 07-04 13:16 |
| Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-04 08:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x66c8…d1fa | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-02 00:06 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +3 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-04 14:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | +3 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 07-04 16:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-20 19:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x18f0…3101 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-20 19:51 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 08:49:21 | (anonymous) 0xc986…da9a | Yes | SELL | 2 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xd48834… |
| 07-23 08:49:21 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | No | SELL | 2 | 89¢ | $2 | 0xd48834… |
| 07-22 00:51:42 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | BUY | 53 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x1d181a… |
| 07-22 00:51:42 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x1d181a… |
| 07-22 00:51:42 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | No | BUY | 35 | 90¢ | $31 | 0x1d181a… |
| 07-21 22:41:45 | (anonymous) 0xf7ec…e53a | Yes | SELL | 18 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xfd6d03… |
| 07-21 22:41:45 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xfd6d03… |
| 07-21 22:41:43 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 18 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xb8a957… |
| 07-21 22:41:43 | (anonymous) 0xf7ec…e53a | Yes | BUY | 18 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xb8a957… |
| 07-09 20:23:31 | (anonymous) 0xa4df…d3da | No | SELL | 15 | 91¢ | $14 | 0xb97176… |
| 07-09 20:23:31 | (anonymous) 0xbf8d…38dd | No | SELL | 15 | 91¢ | $14 | 0xb97176… |
| 07-09 20:23:31 | (anonymous) 0x2ea5…a6e2 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 9¢ | $4 | 0xb97176… |
| 07-09 20:23:31 | (anonymous) 0x748e…f4f2 | No | SELL | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0xb97176… |
| 07-09 20:22:53 | (anonymous) 0xb959…859c | Yes | SELL | 50 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x9e1e34… |
| 07-09 20:22:53 | (anonymous) 0x0815…cf3c | No | SELL | 15 | 91¢ | $14 | 0x9e1e34… |
| 07-09 20:22:53 | (anonymous) 0xf74c…4b75 | No | SELL | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x9e1e34… |
| 07-09 20:22:53 | (anonymous) 0x5647…3404 | No | SELL | 15 | 91¢ | $14 | 0x9e1e34… |
| 07-09 20:22:20 | (anonymous) 0x4fe0…48e5 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x5322bf… |
| 07-09 20:22:20 | (anonymous) 0x039b…f701 | No | SELL | 15 | 91¢ | $14 | 0x5322bf… |
| 07-09 20:22:20 | (anonymous) 0x2c3b…244a | No | SELL | 15 | 91¢ | $14 | 0x5322bf… |
| 07-09 20:22:20 | (anonymous) 0xb514…a2f1 | No | SELL | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x5322bf… |
| 07-09 20:21:38 | (anonymous) 0xb959…859c | Yes | BUY | 15 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x0ff2f6… |
| 07-09 20:21:38 | (anonymous) 0xbf8d…38dd | No | BUY | 15 | 91¢ | $14 | 0x0ff2f6… |
| 07-09 20:21:38 | (anonymous) 0x748e…f4f2 | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x1cf164… |
| 07-09 20:21:38 | (anonymous) 0xb959…859c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x1cf164… |
| 07-09 20:21:37 | (anonymous) 0xb959…859c | Yes | BUY | 15 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xb22463… |
| 07-09 20:21:37 | (anonymous) 0xa4df…d3da | No | BUY | 15 | 91¢ | $14 | 0xb22463… |
| 07-09 20:20:56 | (anonymous) 0x4fe0…48e5 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xa10df5… |
| 07-09 20:20:56 | (anonymous) 0x4fe0…48e5 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x991c9e… |
| 07-09 20:20:56 | (anonymous) 0xf74c…4b75 | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0xa10df5… |
| 07-09 20:20:56 | (anonymous) 0x0815…cf3c | No | BUY | 15 | 91¢ | $14 | 0x991c9e… |
| 07-09 20:20:55 | (anonymous) 0x4fe0…48e5 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x0c9c87… |
| 07-09 20:20:55 | (anonymous) 0x5647…3404 | No | BUY | 15 | 91¢ | $14 | 0x0c9c87… |
| 07-09 20:20:13 | (anonymous) 0x2ea5…a6e2 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x1723dc… |
| 07-09 20:20:13 | (anonymous) 0xb514…a2f1 | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x2179e7… |
| 07-09 20:20:13 | (anonymous) 0x2ea5…a6e2 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x2179e7… |
| 07-09 20:20:13 | (anonymous) 0x039b…f701 | No | BUY | 15 | 91¢ | $14 | 0x1723dc… |
| 07-09 20:20:11 | (anonymous) 0x2c3b…244a | No | BUY | 15 | 91¢ | $14 | 0xb754b2… |
| 07-09 20:20:11 | (anonymous) 0x2ea5…a6e2 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xb754b2… |
| 07-04 16:16:46 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x8b1616… |
| 07-04 16:16:46 | (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x8f6732… |
| 07-04 16:16:46 | (anonymous) 0xc986…da9a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x8b1616… |
| 07-04 16:16:46 | (anonymous) 0xc986…da9a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x8f6732… |
| 07-04 16:16:46 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 4 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x8f6732… |
| 07-04 15:16:32 | (anonymous) 0xc986…da9a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x57e7db… |
| 07-04 15:16:32 | (anonymous) 0xc986…da9a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xc2d487… |
| 07-04 15:16:32 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x57e7db… |
| 07-04 15:16:32 | (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xc2d487… |
| 07-04 15:16:32 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 4 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xc2d487… |
| 07-04 14:16:19 | (anonymous) 0xfd1c…4c80 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x1a5139… |
| 07-04 14:16:19 | (anonymous) 0xc986…da9a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x1a5139… |
| 07-04 14:16:19 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x112210… |
| 07-04 14:16:19 | (anonymous) 0xc986…da9a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x112210… |
| 07-04 14:16:19 | (anonymous) 0xfd1c…4c80 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x112210… |
| 07-04 13:16:05 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x3b66cc… |
| 07-04 13:16:05 | (anonymous) 0xfd1c…4c80 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x3b66cc… |
| 07-04 13:16:05 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x527b1f… |
| 07-04 13:16:05 | (anonymous) 0xc986…da9a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x3b66cc… |
| 07-04 13:16:05 | (anonymous) 0xc986…da9a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x527b1f… |
| 07-04 09:36:16 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | BUY | 15 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x6867c8… |
| 07-04 09:36:16 | Slow-Exhibit 0x1411…2410 | No | BUY | 15 | 84¢ | $13 | 0x6867c8… |
| 07-04 08:16:35 | New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | SELL | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0xbf5945… |
| 07-04 08:16:35 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | No | BUY | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0xbf5945… |
| 07-04 08:15:35 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 30 | 69¢ | $21 | 0xee322d… |
| 07-04 08:15:35 | (anonymous) 0xc986…da9a | Yes | BUY | 30 | 31¢ | $9 | 0xee322d… |
| 07-04 08:15:34 | (anonymous) 0xc986…da9a | Yes | BUY | 12 | 31¢ | $4 | 0x3fcb02… |
| 07-04 08:15:34 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 7 | 69¢ | $5 | 0x3fcb02… |
| 07-04 08:15:34 | New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | BUY | 5 | 69¢ | $3 | 0x3fcb02… |
| 07-02 10:17:19 | Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | BUY | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x17ce97… |
| 07-02 10:17:19 | Slow-Exhibit 0x1411…2410 | No | BUY | 8 | 86¢ | $7 | 0x17ce97… |
| 07-02 00:06:01 | (anonymous) 0x66c8…d1fa | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x788522… |
| 07-02 00:06:01 | Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x788522… |
| 06-20 19:51:13 | (anonymous) 0x18f0…3101 | No | BUY | 2 | 86¢ | $2 | 0x9aca8f… |
| 06-20 19:51:13 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x9aca8f… |
| 06-19 14:50:37 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 4 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x43a782… |
| 06-19 14:50:37 | (anonymous) 0xfd1c…4c80 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x43a782… |
| 06-11 07:12:43 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xd5771a… |
| 06-11 07:12:43 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xd5771a… |
| 06-11 07:12:12 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x7278e5… |
| 06-11 07:12:12 | (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x7278e5… |