Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$637
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
74
lifetime
Volume
$1.44K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$2.07K
26 positions
First seen
2026-05-26
last 07-03 12:21
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
85%
Politics
15%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +1,166 $281 54¢ $624 +$343 07-03 11:47
Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +719 $117 49¢ $352 +$236 07-03 03:26
Discord IPO before 2027? No +600 $240 51¢ $306 +$66 06-26 14:33
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? No +142 $126 90¢ $129 +$3 06-29 06:33
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +282 $101 33¢ $93 $-8 07-03 12:21
Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +2,027 $78 $83 +$5 07-03 06:59
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026? No +107 $80 70¢ $75 $-6 06-25 13:06
Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +75 $60 98¢ $74 +$14 07-03 04:10
Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +760 $30 $68 +$37 07-03 03:45
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? No +101 $58 57¢ $58 $-0 07-02 02:16
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026? No +63 $50 79¢ $50 $-1 06-17 06:22
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? Yes +236 $18 11¢ $26 +$8 06-26 03:30
Bank of England rate hike in 2026? Yes +114 $57 18¢ $20 $-37 06-16 12:18
Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +653 $25 $18 $-7 07-03 06:24
Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +575 $21 $18 $-3 07-03 04:19
Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +342 $17 $15 $-2 07-03 06:04
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No +20 $12 73¢ $15 +$3 06-12 20:14
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026? Yes +34 $14 32¢ $11 $-3 06-25 13:06
Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +38 $12 28¢ $10 $-2 07-03 06:07
Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +354 $11 $7 $-4 07-03 00:49
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? No +5 $4 79¢ $4 +$0 06-19 15:17
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027? Yes +29 $5 11¢ $3 $-2 06-21 21:36
Will Donald Trump visit Colorado in 2026? No +5 $3 58¢ $3 +$0 07-03 03:16
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? Yes +80 $3 $3 +$0 06-30 16:32
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026? Yes +17 $4 12¢ $2 $-2 06-19 15:06
Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +37 $2 $2 $-0 07-03 03:49