Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$239
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
112
lifetime
Volume
$2.21K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$1.70K
19 positions
First seen
2026-05-26
last 07-23 10:52
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
64%
Politics
36%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Discord IPO before 2027? No +600 $240 66¢ $394 +$154 06-26 14:33
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? No +614 $329 63¢ $387 +$57 07-21 15:05
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? No +142 $126 92¢ $130 +$4 06-29 06:33
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +282 $101 40¢ $113 +$12 07-03 12:21
Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027? No +119 $104 90¢ $106 +$2 07-23 10:52
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026? No +151 $114 67¢ $101 $-13 07-12 16:00
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +120 $94 78¢ $93 $-1 07-17 12:13
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? Yes +720 $56 11¢ $78 +$22 07-20 07:45
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? No +98 $80 80¢ $78 $-2 07-22 10:43
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026? Yes +223 $44 26¢ $58 +$14 07-11 22:37
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026? No +63 $50 80¢ $50 $-0 06-17 06:22
Bank of England rate hike in 2026? Yes +114 $57 31¢ $35 $-22 06-16 12:18
Will Donald Trump visit California in 2026? No +60 $23 57¢ $34 +$11 07-15 03:27
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No +20 $12 78¢ $16 +$4 06-12 20:14
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026? Yes +40 $16 26¢ $10 $-5 07-07 07:10
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? No +5 $4 89¢ $4 +$1 06-19 15:17
Will Donald Trump visit Colorado in 2026? No +5 $3 75¢ $4 +$1 07-03 03:16
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027? Yes +29 $5 12¢ $4 $-1 06-21 21:36
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? Yes +80 $3 $4 +$1 06-30 16:32