Will Donald Trump visit California in 2026?
open
Total volume
$212
$4 in 24h
Trades
50
Unique wallets
24
Liquidity
$2,656
Latest YES mid
52¢
Latest NO mid
48¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-31
last 07-15 03:27
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $48 | $0 | +$48 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $8 | $35 | $27 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $25 | — | +$25 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 13 | $14 | $35 | $21 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $49 | $0 | +$48 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $2 | $2 |
| Below median | 4 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $8 | $35 | $27 |
| unranked | 11 | $36 | $34 | +$3 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | No | +101 | $31 | $31 | 3 | 07-14 22:35 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +65 | $48 | $48 | 2 | 06-27 16:39 |
| Embellished-Toast-Cake 0x1452…449c | No | +60 | $23 | $23 | 5 | 07-15 03:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | +25 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 07-13 11:35 |
| Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | +13 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 07-14 22:35 |
| Old-Massage 0x8172…1d63 | No | +9 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-13 07:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x86a0…2f95 | Yes | +6 | $3 | $5 | 3 | 07-15 02:29 |
| Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | No | +6 | $1 | $3 | 2 | 07-14 22:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x1787…58c2 | No | +5 | $-3 | $10 | 5 | 07-14 22:35 |
| Loving-Hate 0x48c4…19e5 | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-23 23:01 |
| Huge-Stamen 0xb6a2…4b66 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-31 07:32 |
| Thunderous-Clutch 0x3c15…45a0 | No | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-14 04:03 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-30 11:32 |
| Bony-Blog 0x6ea8…7254 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-31 04:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x8d0c…e1ce | No | +1 | $-0 | $4 | 3 | 07-14 22:28 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 03:27:25 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 12 | 39¢ | $5 | 0x980935… |
| 07-15 03:27:25 | Embellished-Toast-Cake 0x1452…449c | No | BUY | 12 | 39¢ | $5 | 0x980935… |
| 07-15 02:29:01 | (anonymous) 0x86a0…2f95 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 72¢ | $1 | 0xd530d6… |
| 07-15 02:29:01 | Putrid-Penny-Shine 0xe60a…a633 | No | SELL | 1 | 28¢ | $0 | 0xd530d6… |
| 07-14 22:50:23 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | SELL | 0 | 39¢ | $0 | 0x0c1fa0… |
| 07-14 22:50:23 | Embellished-Toast-Cake 0x1452…449c | No | BUY | 6 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x0c1fa0… |
| 07-14 22:50:23 | (anonymous) 0x86a0…2f95 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 61¢ | $3 | 0x0c1fa0… |
| 07-14 22:38:01 | Embellished-Toast-Cake 0x1452…449c | No | BUY | 12 | 39¢ | $5 | 0xc856a3… |
| 07-14 22:38:01 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | SELL | 12 | 39¢ | $5 | 0xc856a3… |
| 07-14 22:35:28 | Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | No | BUY | 40 | 39¢ | $16 | 0x756844… |
| 07-14 22:35:28 | Willing-Eaves 0x38a4…4ef2 | No | SELL | 6 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x756844… |
| 07-14 22:35:28 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 61¢ | $8 | 0x756844… |
| 07-14 22:35:28 | (anonymous) 0x1787…58c2 | No | SELL | 7 | 39¢ | $3 | 0x756844… |
| 07-14 22:35:28 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | No | SELL | 3 | 39¢ | $1 | 0x756844… |
| 07-14 22:28:10 | Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | No | BUY | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0xc1c8f8… |
| 07-14 22:28:10 | (anonymous) 0x8d0c…e1ce | No | SELL | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0xc1c8f8… |
| 07-14 20:20:07 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 12 | 28¢ | $3 | 0xaee3c4… |
| 07-14 20:20:07 | (anonymous) 0x1787…58c2 | No | BUY | 9 | 28¢ | $3 | 0xaee3c4… |
| 07-14 20:20:07 | Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | No | SELL | 35 | 28¢ | $10 | 0xaee3c4… |
| 07-14 20:20:07 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | No | BUY | 8 | 28¢ | $2 | 0xaee3c4… |
| 07-14 20:20:07 | (anonymous) 0x8d0c…e1ce | No | BUY | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0xaee3c4… |
| 07-14 04:03:17 | Thunderous-Clutch 0x3c15…45a0 | No | BUY | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x770da3… |
| 07-14 04:03:17 | (anonymous) 0x5b9f…36ed | No | SELL | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x770da3… |
| 07-13 11:35:50 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | BUY | 10 | 62¢ | $6 | 0x7a932b… |
| 07-13 11:35:50 | Embellished-Toast-Cake 0x1452…449c | No | BUY | 15 | 38¢ | $6 | 0x7a932b… |
| 07-13 11:35:50 | Willing-Eaves 0x38a4…4ef2 | No | SELL | 5 | 38¢ | $2 | 0x7a932b… |
| 07-13 11:25:37 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | BUY | 15 | 62¢ | $9 | 0x312d06… |
| 07-13 11:25:37 | Embellished-Toast-Cake 0x1452…449c | No | BUY | 15 | 38¢ | $6 | 0x312d06… |
| 06-30 11:32:32 | (anonymous) 0x8e42…a043 | No | SELL | 2 | 21¢ | $0 | 0x654276… |
| 06-30 11:32:32 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 2 | 21¢ | $0 | 0x654276… |
| 06-27 16:39:25 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 56 | 76¢ | $42 | 0xc5237b… |
| 06-27 16:39:25 | Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | No | BUY | 56 | 24¢ | $14 | 0xc5237b… |
| 06-23 23:01:49 | (anonymous) 0x1787…58c2 | No | BUY | 2 | 14¢ | $0 | 0xe49ed3… |
| 06-23 23:01:49 | Loving-Hate 0x48c4…19e5 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 86¢ | $2 | 0xe49ed3… |
| 06-21 12:12:34 | (anonymous) 0x86a0…2f95 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 48¢ | $1 | 0xb7c582… |
| 06-21 12:12:34 | (anonymous) 0x8e42…a043 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0xb7c582… |
| 06-21 12:12:19 | Unfinished-Length 0x5447…19c8 | No | SELL | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xb2fb50… |
| 06-21 12:12:19 | (anonymous) 0x8d0c…e1ce | No | BUY | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xb2fb50… |
| 06-17 03:16:40 | (anonymous) 0x3492…e5c8 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 56¢ | $5 | 0xa21050… |
| 06-17 03:16:40 | (anonymous) 0x1787…58c2 | No | SELL | 9 | 44¢ | $4 | 0xa21050… |
| 06-13 07:11:03 | (anonymous) 0x3492…e5c8 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 91¢ | $8 | 0xaa0211… |
| 06-13 07:11:03 | Old-Massage 0x8172…1d63 | No | BUY | 4 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xaa0211… |
| 06-06 18:14:27 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 61¢ | $6 | 0xd322c0… |
| 06-06 18:14:27 | Ordinary-Hire-Mover 0x6ad8…637b | Yes | SELL | 9 | 61¢ | $6 | 0xd322c0… |
| 06-03 08:20:59 | Ordinary-Hire-Mover 0x6ad8…637b | Yes | BUY | 9 | 92¢ | $8 | 0x4597e9… |
| 06-03 08:20:59 | (anonymous) 0x1787…58c2 | No | BUY | 9 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x4597e9… |
| 05-31 07:32:27 | (anonymous) 0x5b9f…36ed | No | BUY | 2 | 59¢ | $1 | 0x51c48b… |
| 05-31 07:32:27 | Huge-Stamen 0xb6a2…4b66 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 41¢ | $1 | 0x51c48b… |
| 05-31 04:54:59 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | SELL | 2 | 59¢ | $1 | 0xa502d8… |
| 05-31 04:54:59 | Bony-Blog 0x6ea8…7254 | No | BUY | 2 | 59¢ | $1 | 0xa502d8… |