Kindhearted-Mixer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$34.3K

Unrealized P&L

+$808

Hit rate

89.1%

Resolved

1,273

Trades

5,771

lifetime

Volume

$584.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$101

Open exposure

$16.5K

19 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 19:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 185 days

Categories

Politics

63% 76% +$30,337

Other

29% 80% +$3,383

Crypto

7% 85% +$287

Sports

1% 80% +$262

Tech

0% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 124 trades/day

Open positions (19) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	No	+4,798	$4,376	96¢	$4.6K	+$245	10-20 01:56
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+4,450	$4,102	92¢	$4.1K	+$14	10-25 22:51
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+4,200	$3,236	82¢	$3.4K	+$187	09-22 15:09
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?	No	+2,104	$1,561	86¢	$1.8K	+$239	10-23 10:24
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+800	$766	97¢	$773	+$6	10-25 02:34
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	+400	$312	94¢	$378	+$66	09-15 15:32
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	+377	$264	80¢	$300	+$36	10-13 21:53
Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31?	No	+316	$294	93¢	$294	+$0	10-20 01:59
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	Yes	+250	$208	84¢	$209	+$1	10-20 23:38
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	+221	$150	81¢	$179	+$29	10-10 14:04
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	+195	$171	91¢	$178	+$7	09-22 17:54
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	+100	$81	97¢	$97	+$16	09-15 12:04
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	+130	$101	72¢	$93	-$8	10-08 09:43
another fed rate hike in 2026	Yes	+50	$41	78¢	$39	-$2	09-30 12:34
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?	Yes	+532	$27	7¢	$35	+$9	10-16 21:27
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	No	+50	$17	15¢	$7	-$10	10-22 18:09
Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+400	$24	1¢	$4	-$20	10-22 20:05
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+8	$2	9¢	$1	-$1	09-22 13:08
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?	Yes	+100	$5	0¢	$0	-$5	09-24 00:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Star" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	56	$13.7K	27,034	0	+27,034	Yes	+$13,247	10-16 23:04
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	3	$12.0K	12,000	0	+12,000	No	+$40	04-30 20:38
will the government shutdown last 60 days or more 286 461 927 735 666	7	$11.0K	11,078	0	+11,078	No	+$34	02-03 19:16
will trump say crypto or bitcoin during address to the nation	34	$10.1K	10,229	0	+10,229	No	+$161	04-02 01:19
Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by December 31?	6	$10.0K	5,690	5,690	+0	Yes	+$1,180	10-13 15:08
dota2 flc lgd 2026 08 12	6	$9.5K	9,760	0	+9,760	Team Falcons	-$41	08-13 06:25
will trump talk to friedrich merz in january	89	$9.0K	5,371	6,045	-674	Yes	+$547	01-28 15:58
will afd win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	55	$8.7K	8,790	0	+8,790	No	+$64	03-22 16:43
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	60	$8.1K	8,200	0	+8,200	No	+$135	03-25 17:46
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	11	$8.0K	4,044	4,044	+0	No	+$91	01-24 02:57
Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?	3	$7.6K	7,658	0	+7,658	No	+$36	08-18 20:59
will trump visit china by march 31	25	$6.6K	5,918	1,105	+4,813	No	+$215	03-25 21:25
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	29	$6.4K	3,163	3,490	-327	No	+$100	04-24 16:17
Will Trump and Xi not shake hands during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	23	$6.0K	6,080	0	+6,080	No	+$48	05-14 01:54
will trump say million or billion or trillion 20 times during the announcement on thursday	3	$5.5K	5,525	0	+5,525	No	+$30	01-29 23:02
will trump say crypto or bitcoin during healthcare event	2	$5.4K	5,386	0	+5,386	No	+$6	04-23 20:19
will trump say bitcoin crypto or cryptocurrency during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421460	4	$5.2K	5,264	0	+5,264	No	+$14	08-05 22:23
Will Andy Burnham say "Reform" during the next PMQ?	59	$5.2K	5,496	0	+5,496	No	+$278	09-22 16:20
will trump say america or american 25 times during the 2026 state of the union address 819	47	$5.2K	5,397	0	+5,397	Yes	+$181	02-25 02:53
will vance say israel during his rocky mount visit	1	$5.1K	5,110	0	+5,110	No	+$51	03-13 18:42
netanyahu out by march 31 854	9	$5.0K	3,400	1,800	+1,600	No	+$74	03-30 00:28
will khamenei leave iran by jan 16 974	22	$4.9K	2,313	2,713	-400	No	+$49	01-16 01:12
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	11	$4.9K	5,300	1,100	+4,200	open	—	09-22 15:09
Will Trump and Xi only be photographed together during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	6	$4.8K	4,871	0	+4,871	No	+$23	05-14 02:00
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	11	$4.6K	2,765	2,755	+10	Yes	+$462	05-05 02:37
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	3	$4.4K	4,389	0	+4,389	No	+$7	04-28 22:39
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	27	$4.4K	4,798	0	+4,798	open	—	10-20 01:56
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	37	$4.4K	3,501	3,471	+30	Yes	-$1,067	09-20 14:43
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	6	$4.1K	4,450	0	+4,450	open	—	10-25 22:51
will khamenei leave iran by friday	9	$4.0K	4,095	0	+4,095	No	+$124	01-09 00:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 19:21:08	Will EKRE win the most seats in the 2027 Estonian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x976604…
10-28 19:21:07	Will EKRE win the most seats in the 2027 Estonian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x1944a1…
10-28 18:37:29	Will no statement by Warsh happen during October Press Conference?	No	BUY	214	100¢	$213	0x0835c7…
10-28 15:00:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	95¢	$189	0x76dd48…
10-28 13:59:28	Will Warsh say "Price" 30+ times during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0xa037cd…
10-28 13:50:13	Will Warsh say "President" or "Trump" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x1179d1…
10-28 12:04:34	Will Warsh say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during October Press Conference?	No	BUY	97	51¢	$50	0x39d3ba…
10-28 11:35:52	Will Warsh say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during October Press Conference?	No	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xca1a4c…
10-27 21:47:48	Will Isamaa win the most seats in the 2027 Estonian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0xf6d97e…
10-27 21:47:36	Will Isamaa win the most seats in the 2027 Estonian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x2db87a…
10-27 16:19:17	Will Warsh say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during October Press Conference?	No	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0xb03237…
10-27 08:08:24	Will Warsh say "Price" 30+ times during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x6dc67a…
10-26 12:54:24	Will EKRE win the most seats in the 2027 Estonian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0xed64e4…
10-26 12:54:24	Will EKRE win the most seats in the 2027 Estonian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	19	2¢	$0	0xace05d…
10-26 12:54:24	Will EKRE win the most seats in the 2027 Estonian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	27	2¢	$1	0x6522ca…
10-25 22:51:47	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,150	91¢	$1,046	0x73cedc…
10-25 17:02:51	Will Trump say "Marxist" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x2953a4…
10-25 16:39:02	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	Yes	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x661378…
10-25 16:14:57	Will Trump say "Osama Bin Laden" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	40	45¢	$18	0xd00f5d…
10-25 16:06:05	Will Trump say "Osama Bin Laden" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xc8d9b5…
10-25 16:06:03	Will Trump say "Osama Bin Laden" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x3c3d3c…
10-25 16:06:02	Will Trump say "Marxist" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xbf9c85…
10-25 16:06:00	Will Trump say "Marxist" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5d0ee5…
10-25 16:00:53	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x862b9d…
10-25 15:54:00	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	Yes	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0x6c9b74…
10-25 15:53:53	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	Yes	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0xf26256…
10-25 15:41:12	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x0bf319…
10-25 11:17:54	Will Warsh say "Price" 30+ times during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x7fed45…
10-25 02:34:20	Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	96¢	$51	0xef69ce…
10-25 02:06:24	Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x121d40…
10-25 02:01:09	Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	96¢	$34	0xaef7d2…
10-24 22:23:23	Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	96¢	$82	0x714949…
10-23 18:21:57	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	300	92¢	$276	0x3b9072…
10-23 17:00:41	Will EKRE win the most seats in the 2027 Estonian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x314b8e…
10-23 11:32:33	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Deport" or "Deported" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	Yes	BUY	849	28¢	$235	0x60556b…
10-23 10:24:57	Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?	No	BUY	200	71¢	$142	0x1a5bc0…
10-23 09:26:47	Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	99	44¢	$43	0x7bf42e…
10-23 08:26:47	Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	BUY	23	73¢	$17	0xe672c4…
10-23 07:27:18	Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x8978ec…
10-23 04:31:18	Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x7d0fbc…
10-23 01:17:51	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	No	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x2e9472…
10-23 01:01:57	Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x24359a…
10-23 00:56:24	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	Yes	BUY	24	74¢	$18	0xdf7212…
10-23 00:44:35	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	No	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0xd4a6a9…
10-23 00:43:18	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x1e2b42…
10-23 00:26:09	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	Yes	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x99f05f…
10-23 00:24:32	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	Yes	BUY	138	93¢	$128	0x7249ee…
10-23 00:23:53	Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	BUY	12	73¢	$9	0x37b05f…
10-22 23:45:50	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	Yes	BUY	39	93¢	$37	0x782011…
10-22 23:18:35	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x021d22…
10-22 23:02:18	Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	BUY	13	73¢	$9	0x2c929e…
10-22 23:00:57	Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xe5e630…
10-22 22:57:00	Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	BUY	12	73¢	$9	0xbc5d5d…
10-22 22:43:12	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	Yes	BUY	190	92¢	$175	0x3054cb…
10-22 22:19:54	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2,200	93¢	$2,046	0xb18c7b…
10-22 21:21:51	Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?	No	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0x5c3abc…
10-22 20:05:32	Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	377	6¢	$23	0x677422…
10-22 18:54:17	Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x832ff9…
10-22 18:42:26	Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	6¢	$1	0xdd0fc8…
10-22 18:09:00	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0xae13af…
10-22 16:51:57	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xecd894…
10-22 16:04:30	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	31	35¢	$11	0xc794d5…
10-22 13:37:11	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x8c3930…
10-22 12:26:50	Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ?	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xbb2ebc…
10-22 09:58:29	Will Trump say "Meat" or "Steak" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xcd88fe…
10-22 09:53:27	Will Trump say "Meat" or "Steak" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	No	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0x21b895…
10-22 09:53:24	Will Trump say "Meat" or "Steak" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	No	BUY	147	36¢	$53	0xf085c5…
10-22 09:53:09	Will Trump say "Meat" or "Steak" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	No	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xc32b32…
10-22 09:52:45	Will Trump say "Meat" or "Steak" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xae5173…
10-22 09:52:32	Will Trump say "Meat" or "Steak" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	No	BUY	24	36¢	$9	0x0cb02c…
10-22 09:52:30	Will Trump say "Meat" or "Steak" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	No	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x053e0e…
10-22 09:52:26	Will Trump say "Meat" or "Steak" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	No	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x2b6da8…
10-22 09:52:24	Will Trump say "Meat" or "Steak" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	No	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xa59bc6…
10-22 08:34:08	Will Trump say "Right to Repair" or "Right to Fix" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	No	BUY	2	25¢	$1	0xf70fad…
10-22 07:26:39	Will Trump say "Meat" or "Steak" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	No	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x682df7…
10-22 07:26:35	Will Trump say "Meat" or "Steak" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	No	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0xdecaf2…
10-22 06:55:29	Will EKRE win the most seats in the 2027 Estonian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	69	4¢	$3	0x4cb1b4…
10-22 06:24:58	Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?	No	BUY	171	72¢	$123	0xe28eb6…
10-22 06:24:56	Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?	No	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0x9fb92b…
10-22 06:03:08	Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?	No	BUY	59	73¢	$43	0x05a0d8…
10-22 04:15:56	Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	BUY	501	73¢	$368	0x124e05…
10-22 03:07:57	Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?	No	BUY	1,404	75¢	$1,057	0x60a758…
10-22 02:06:03	Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?	No	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0xa8ef7f…
10-22 00:40:24	Will Trump say "Tax" 20+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	No	BUY	129	85¢	$110	0xb20c23…
10-22 00:39:54	Will Trump say "Tax" 20+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	No	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0xa5f5f7…
10-22 00:39:08	Will Trump say "Tax" 20+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	No	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0x81271f…
10-22 00:23:56	Will Trump say "Border" 20+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	No	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0x94ce58…
10-22 00:09:26	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	68	94¢	$64	0x5fa0a3…
10-21 23:21:15	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	143	98¢	$140	0xb3ef8e…
10-21 23:20:59	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	240	93¢	$223	0xed4b92…
10-21 23:20:57	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	128	88¢	$113	0x313c08…
10-21 23:04:11	Will Trump say "Tax" 20+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x7f754c…
10-21 23:02:33	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	400	53¢	$212	0xce8c7b…
10-21 22:59:18	Will Trump say "Border" 20+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	400	54¢	$216	0x19b9d2…
10-21 22:58:42	Will Trump say "Tax" 20+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	400	90¢	$360	0xcb4393…
10-21 22:51:14	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	No	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0x6b5e87…
10-21 22:51:09	Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	No	BUY	200	63¢	$126	0x248a79…
10-21 22:49:57	Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	No	BUY	376	62¢	$233	0x144a31…
10-21 22:26:08	Will Trump say "Border" 20+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	175	58¢	$101	0x6b54a8…
10-21 14:16:36	Will Trump say "Border" 20+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x072f79…