Realized P&L
+$34.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$721
Hit rate
89.1%
Resolved
1,273
Trades
5,790
lifetime
Volume
$586.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$101
Open exposure
$17.2K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 20:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 185 days
Categories
Politics
63% 76% +$30,337
Other
29% 80% +$3,383
Crypto
7% 85% +$287
Sports
1% 80% +$262
Tech
0% 0% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 124 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +4,798 $4,376 96¢ $4.6K +$211 10-20 01:56
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +4,450 $4,102 92¢ $4.1K +$14 10-25 22:51
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +5,100 $3,965 80¢ $4.1K +$140 10-29 20:00
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? No +2,104 $1,561 86¢ $1.8K +$245 10-23 10:24
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? Yes +800 $766 96¢ $771 +$4 10-25 02:34
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +400 $312 94¢ $374 +$62 09-15 15:32
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +377 $264 80¢ $301 +$37 10-13 21:53
Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31? No +316 $294 93¢ $294 +$0 10-20 01:59
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +245 $216 88¢ $216 $0 10-29 20:43
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes +250 $208 84¢ $209 +$1 10-20 23:38
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +221 $150 80¢ $178 +$28 10-10 14:04
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +100 $81 97¢ $97 +$16 09-15 12:04
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +130 $101 72¢ $94 -$7 10-08 09:43
another fed rate hike in 2026 Yes +50 $41 77¢ $38 -$2 09-30 12:34
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? Yes +532 $27 5¢ $29 +$2 10-16 21:27
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? No +50 $17 22¢ $11 -$7 10-22 18:09
Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026? Yes +400 $24 1¢ $5 -$19 10-22 20:05
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +8 $2 12¢ $1 -$1 09-22 13:08
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? Yes +100 $5 0¢ $0 -$5 09-24 00:47