Realized P&L
+$6.27K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.24K
Hit rate
80.7%
Resolved
1,350
Trades
18,395
lifetime
Volume
$694.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$38
Open exposure
$6.51K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 10-26 19:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 245 days
Categories
Politics
50%
81%
+$4,338
Other
42%
78%
+$1,349
Sports
5%
84%
+$563
Tech
2%
86%
+$167
Crypto
1%
75%
-$142
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk
• peak 103 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party | 370 | $20.4K | 12,558 | 14,658 | -2,100 | Yes | +$393 | 01-23 07:22 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | 77 | $11.6K | 6,050 | 6,865 | -815 | Yes | +$659 | 03-01 07:25 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 194 | $11.5K | 10,574 | 10,218 | +356 | No | +$17 | 05-29 18:49 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? | 208 | $10.6K | 6,477 | 6,610 | -133 | Yes | +$526 | 05-11 06:26 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | 245 | $8.6K | 5,606 | 4,661 | +945 | No | +$529 | 07-26 00:43 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | 200 | $8.3K | 7,091 | 7,388 | -297 | No | -$454 | 03-25 12:19 |
| us strikes iran by february 27 2026 | 33 | $7.4K | 3,389 | 4,330 | -941 | No | -$44 | 02-28 07:05 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15? | 91 | $7.3K | 4,206 | 4,332 | -126 | Yes | +$356 | 05-13 07:21 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026 | 79 | $7.0K | 4,449 | 3,930 | +519 | No | +$95 | 04-23 03:02 |
| new stranger things episode released by january 31 294 | 39 | $6.9K | 2,767 | 4,327 | -1,560 | No | -$20 | 01-15 03:46 |
| will tran cam tu be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party | 115 | $6.9K | 3,394 | 3,595 | -200 | No | +$40 | 01-22 09:37 |
| will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam | 11 | $6.6K | 3,338 | 3,337 | +1 | No | +$103 | 04-07 03:36 |
| will iran strike turkey in march | 133 | $6.4K | 3,981 | 3,432 | +549 | No | +$228 | 03-25 00:27 |
| will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165 | 224 | $6.4K | 4,058 | 5,010 | -951 | No | -$217 | 04-01 13:48 |
| us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992 | 16 | $6.2K | 4,129 | 2,200 | +1,929 | No | +$72 | 02-19 18:06 |
| netanyahu out by march 31 854 | 55 | $6.1K | 3,125 | 3,252 | -127 | No | +$53 | 03-19 17:10 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? | 153 | $5.7K | 4,407 | 1,921 | +2,487 | Yes | +$342 | 09-22 01:00 |
| Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027? | 344 | $5.5K | 7,283 | 7,105 | +179 | No | -$933 | 07-04 04:18 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 103 | $5.5K | 4,950 | 5,200 | -250 | Yes | +$101 | 06-17 02:48 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026 | 78 | $5.4K | 3,203 | 3,530 | -326 | No | +$289 | 06-04 16:06 |
| will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election | 70 | $5.3K | 3,026 | 3,152 | -126 | No | -$110 | 02-08 15:55 |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? | 194 | $5.1K | 4,198 | 3,873 | +326 | Yes | -$559 | 07-13 03:31 |
| Iran leadership change by March 13? | 39 | $4.9K | 2,460 | 2,727 | -267 | No | +$52 | 03-14 06:35 |
| houthi strike on israel by march 6 2026 | 54 | $4.9K | 2,924 | 2,520 | +404 | No | +$315 | 03-08 04:41 |
| will pheu thai party pt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election | 43 | $4.8K | 2,332 | 2,589 | -256 | No | +$34 | 02-08 10:49 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | 74 | $4.8K | 3,252 | 3,059 | +193 | No | +$11 | 04-27 12:35 |
| Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to at least 30 years in prison? | 52 | $4.8K | 2,480 | 2,527 | -48 | Yes | +$113 | 02-19 07:10 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | 48 | $4.7K | 2,940 | 2,929 | +11 | Yes | -$15 | 06-17 02:20 |
| Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30? | 40 | $4.5K | 3,301 | 1,879 | +1,422 | Yes | +$149 | 04-09 13:46 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | 25 | $4.4K | 2,651 | 1,958 | +693 | No | +$80 | 04-14 05:01 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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