Realized P&L
+$6.27K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.24K
Hit rate
80.7%
Resolved
1,350
Trades
18,395
lifetime
Volume
$694.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$38
Open exposure
$6.51K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 10-26 19:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 245 days
Categories
Politics
50% 81% +$4,338
Other
42% 78% +$1,349
Sports
5% 84% +$563
Tech
2% 86% +$167
Crypto
1% 75% -$142
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 103 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No +914 $659 90¢ $822 +$164 10-23 07:28
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +1,036 $141 78¢ $803 +$661 10-25 19:09
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +1,159 $841 64¢ $742 -$99 10-20 06:22
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +722 $663 92¢ $661 -$3 10-25 10:36
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes +551 $42 82¢ $449 +$408 10-25 06:28
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? Yes +649 $488 68¢ $444 -$44 10-18 12:06
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +414 $290 70¢ $292 +$2 10-23 20:01
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +281 $259 93¢ $261 +$2 10-25 12:19
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? No -259 -$219 98¢ $-253 -$35 07-08 14:12
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +261 $222 86¢ $223 +$1 10-25 05:04
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +333 $206 66¢ $218 +$12 10-22 14:49
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +171 $147 86¢ $147 +$0 10-25 03:22
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +171 $143 80¢ $137 -$6 10-08 07:52
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? Yes +190 $94 71¢ $135 +$41 10-25 22:56
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +166 $125 72¢ $121 -$4 10-25 06:29
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? No +150 $105 68¢ $102 -$3 10-26 16:59
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +116 $84 78¢ $91 +$7 10-26 14:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? No +83 $79 97¢ $80 +$2 10-14 05:19
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes -79 -$95 96¢ $-76 +$19 07-31 07:53
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 No +73 $30 96¢ $70 +$40 08-22 15:25
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? Yes +142 $69 45¢ $65 -$5 10-18 17:43
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +83 $54 62¢ $52 -$2 10-25 04:23
will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638 No +54 $28 94¢ $51 +$23 08-20 05:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +50 $24 88¢ $44 +$20 07-31 09:27
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +56 $40 68¢ $38 -$2 10-25 03:56
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +50 $20 62¢ $31 +$11 10-17 02:35
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No +30 $10 95¢ $28 +$19 06-14 08:07
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? No +28 $21 98¢ $27 +$6 10-25 16:54
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? (copy) No +28 $25 95¢ $26 +$2 09-29 02:39
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? No +25 $22 92¢ $23 +$1 10-23 14:55