Realized P&L
+$93
Unrealized P&L
+$33
Hit rate
90.9%
Resolved
21
Trades
10,127
lifetime
Volume
$466.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$46
Open exposure
$2.70K
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 06-10 00:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
58% 73% +$78
Other
37% 67% +$13
Sports
4% 75% +$2
Tech
1%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 150 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes -1,300 $-920 68¢ $-877 +$42 06-01 14:00
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? No +330 $310 98¢ $325 +$15 06-07 21:58
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +402 $241 62¢ $251 +$10 06-03 09:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -239 $-149 84¢ $-200 $-50 05-29 15:49
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No -243 $-194 80¢ $-193 +$1 06-03 00:28
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of June? No -195 $-191 98¢ $-192 $-1 06-06 10:01
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +160 $136 88¢ $141 +$5 06-10 00:36
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? No +138 $122 89¢ $123 +$1 06-10 05:40
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Yes +245 $103 36¢ $89 $-14 06-07 10:01
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No -84 $-92 98¢ $-83 +$9 06-01 09:32
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No +78 $56 76¢ $59 +$4 06-09 04:27
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +53 $41 89¢ $47 +$6 06-01 10:43
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Yes +54 $35 66¢ $35 +$1 06-05 22:30
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +25 $24 97¢ $24 $-0 06-10 03:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +31 $23 76¢ $24 +$1 06-07 11:23
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No +32 $19 64¢ $20 +$2 06-06 16:24
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? No +5 $4 87¢ $4 +$0 06-03 19:25
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Yes +5 $3 90¢ $4 +$1 05-30 10:36
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027? No +5 $3 70¢ $4 +$0 06-01 09:03
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? No -14 $-1 $-0 +$1 05-29 09:37
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? No +1 $0 11¢ $0 +$0 06-09 14:35