Realized P&L
-$144
Unrealized P&L
+$206
Hit rate
49.3%
Resolved
142
Trades
37,871
lifetime
Volume
$210.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$2.59K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-27
last 07-21 23:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Crypto
39% 100% +$1
Other
31% 49% $-220
Sports
21% 63% +$64
Politics
5% 62% +$11
Tech
3%
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 427 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? No +322 $198 74¢ $240 +$42 07-14 20:43
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026? No +215 $185 97¢ $208 +$23 07-14 21:23
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +191 $142 92¢ $176 +$34 07-16 15:07
Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026? No +145 $121 92¢ $133 +$12 06-28 03:03
Will Brandon Johnson be arrested before 2027? No +140 $117 90¢ $126 +$8 07-09 09:20
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? Yes +141 $59 76¢ $107 +$48 07-05 17:46
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? No +110 $95 92¢ $101 +$6 07-11 16:09
Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026? No +100 $85 99¢ $99 +$14 07-06 02:36
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +170 $152 58¢ $99 $-53 07-05 03:36
Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026? No +100 $91 92¢ $92 +$2 06-23 19:05
Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026? No +100 $87 92¢ $92 +$5 06-28 02:23
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? No +100 $77 90¢ $90 +$12 07-06 02:35
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? Yes +217 $80 40¢ $86 +$5 07-07 14:34
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? No +105 $69 72¢ $75 +$6 06-20 22:51
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? No +292 $182 24¢ $72 $-110 07-02 06:19
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +198 $71 36¢ $71 +$0 07-07 18:41
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? Yes +222 $57 29¢ $63 +$6 07-08 10:11
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? No +198 $47 32¢ $63 +$16 07-12 07:16
Weed rescheduled by December 31? No +80 $55 77¢ $62 +$7 06-08 20:15
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026? No +60 $38 92¢ $55 +$18 06-17 14:40
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +127 $20 42¢ $53 +$33 07-05 13:03
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested before 2027? No +55 $46 94¢ $52 +$6 06-23 18:00
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027? No +59 $40 85¢ $50 +$10 06-01 19:44
Will John Ratcliffe leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +60 $42 81¢ $49 +$7 07-08 19:56
Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026? No +55 $38 88¢ $49 +$10 06-16 21:30
Will Susan Rice be arrested before 2027? No +50 $40 92¢ $46 +$6 06-01 17:04
Will Donald Trump visit California in 2026? No +101 $31 45¢ $46 +$14 07-14 22:35
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? No +76 $36 60¢ $46 +$10 06-17 01:35
Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026? No +50 $41 87¢ $44 +$2 07-15 10:56
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon before 2027? No +50 $39 86¢ $43 +$4 06-01 19:49