Realized P&L
-$144
Unrealized P&L
+$353
Hit rate
49.3%
Resolved
142
Trades
35,315
lifetime
Volume
$165.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$2.28K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-27
last 07-01 00:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Crypto
50% 100% +$1
Other
27% 49% $-220
Sports
15% 63% +$64
Politics
4% 62% +$11
Tech
2%
Pop-Culture
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 427 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kash Patel out by June 30? No +196 $162 99¢ $194 +$31 06-01 01:07
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +188 $125 100¢ $188 +$63 06-01 12:43
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +222 $82 68¢ $150 +$68 06-22 12:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +141 $107 99¢ $140 +$32 06-26 04:26
Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026? No +145 $121 82¢ $120 $-1 06-28 03:03
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +136 $95 86¢ $117 +$22 06-23 01:55
Will Ozuna perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No -100 $-99 100¢ $-100 $-0 06-24 23:24
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No +95 $87 100¢ $95 +$8 06-15 23:43
Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026? No +100 $91 92¢ $92 +$2 06-23 19:05
Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026? No +100 $87 88¢ $88 +$2 06-28 02:23
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? No +96 $45 75¢ $72 +$27 06-16 21:01
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? No +95 $64 72¢ $68 +$4 06-17 19:35
Weed rescheduled by December 31? No +80 $55 79¢ $63 +$9 06-08 20:15
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? No +105 $69 60¢ $63 $-6 06-20 22:51
Will Ariana Grande feature Olivia Rodrigo on Petal? Yes +132 $14 45¢ $59 +$46 06-26 10:41
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +166 $90 32¢ $54 $-36 06-29 08:14
Will Karol G perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +55 $43 93¢ $51 +$9 06-29 22:54
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026? No +60 $38 82¢ $49 +$12 06-17 14:40
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027? No +59 $40 83¢ $49 +$8 06-01 19:44
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested before 2027? No +55 $46 88¢ $48 +$2 06-23 18:00
Will Susan Rice be arrested before 2027? No +50 $40 94¢ $47 +$7 06-01 17:04
Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026? No +55 $38 84¢ $47 +$8 06-16 21:30
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? No +76 $36 62¢ $47 +$11 06-17 01:35
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +76 $30 60¢ $45 +$16 06-29 12:23
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon before 2027? No +50 $39 85¢ $42 +$4 06-01 19:49
Will Beyoncé perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +45 $41 93¢ $42 +$1 06-29 23:53
Will Brandon Johnson be arrested before 2027? No +50 $41 79¢ $40 $-1 06-28 11:02
Will Post Malone perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +40 $36 97¢ $39 +$3 06-30 04:09
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? Yes +96 $28 40¢ $38 +$10 06-26 01:53
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? No +55 $42 68¢ $38 $-4 06-29 07:38