Realized P&L
-$144
Unrealized P&L
+$223
Hit rate
49.3%
Resolved
142
Trades
37,793
lifetime
Volume
$208.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$2.60K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-27
last 07-21 06:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Crypto
39% 100% +$1
Other
31% 49% $-220
Sports
21% 63% +$64
Politics
5% 62% +$11
Tech
3%
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 427 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? No +322 $198 76¢ $245 +$47 07-14 20:43
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026? No +215 $185 97¢ $208 +$23 07-14 21:23
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +191 $142 92¢ $177 +$35 07-16 15:07
Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026? No +145 $121 92¢ $133 +$12 06-28 03:03
Will Brandon Johnson be arrested before 2027? No +140 $117 90¢ $126 +$8 07-09 09:20
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? No +110 $95 91¢ $101 +$6 07-11 16:09
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? Yes +141 $59 71¢ $100 +$41 07-05 17:46
Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026? No +100 $85 99¢ $99 +$14 07-06 02:36
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +170 $152 55¢ $93 $-58 07-05 03:36
Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026? No +100 $91 92¢ $92 +$2 06-23 19:05
Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026? No +100 $87 92¢ $92 +$5 06-28 02:23
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? No +100 $77 90¢ $90 +$12 07-06 02:35
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? Yes +217 $80 39¢ $85 +$4 07-07 14:34
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? No +292 $182 29¢ $85 $-97 07-02 06:19
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? No +105 $69 70¢ $74 +$5 06-20 22:51
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +198 $71 36¢ $71 +$0 07-07 18:41
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? Yes +222 $57 30¢ $67 +$10 07-08 10:11
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? No +198 $47 32¢ $63 +$16 07-12 07:16
Weed rescheduled by December 31? No +80 $55 77¢ $62 +$7 06-08 20:15
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +127 $20 45¢ $57 +$38 07-05 13:03
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026? No +60 $38 92¢ $55 +$18 06-17 14:40
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested before 2027? No +55 $46 95¢ $53 +$7 06-23 18:00
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027? No +59 $40 88¢ $52 +$12 06-01 19:44
Will Donald Trump visit California in 2026? No +101 $31 48¢ $49 +$18 07-14 22:35
Will John Ratcliffe leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +60 $42 81¢ $49 +$7 07-08 19:56
Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026? No +55 $38 88¢ $48 +$10 06-16 21:30
Will Susan Rice be arrested before 2027? No +50 $40 92¢ $46 +$6 06-01 17:04
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? No +76 $36 61¢ $46 +$11 06-17 01:35
Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026? No +50 $41 88¢ $44 +$3 07-15 10:56
Will Donald Trump visit South Carolina in 2026? Yes +55 $39 78¢ $43 +$4 07-13 15:52