Realized P&L
+$20
Unrealized P&L
+$23
Hit rate
96.8%
Resolved
4
Trades
57
lifetime
Volume
$278
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$221
22 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 20:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
59%
Sports
22% 75% +$20
Politics
12%
Tech
7%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? No +45 $44 98¢ $44 $-0 05-04 21:34
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? Yes +46 $15 92¢ $43 +$28 05-05 12:47
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? No +30 $26 88¢ $26 +$1 05-05 19:38
Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Isurus (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stage UNO MILLE +25 $16 100¢ $25 +$9 05-05 09:20
Will SpaceX have 14 or more launches in May? No +30 $20 49¢ $15 $-5 05-05 18:31
Will Pam Bondi be arrested before 2027? No +15 $13 92¢ $14 +$1 05-05 00:50
Will Trump visit China by May 15? Yes +15 $13 88¢ $13 +$1 05-05 07:05
Will "Man on Fire: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week? Yes +10 $9 100¢ $10 +$1 05-05 02:10
Will Lisa Cook be arrested before 2027? No +10 $9 86¢ $9 $-0 05-05 09:20
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +10 $6 69¢ $7 +$2 05-05 17:47
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? No +47 $14 $4 $-10 05-04 21:34
Will Mike Thurmond win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election? Yes +25 $1 12¢ $3 +$2 05-04 21:44
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? No +5 $3 43¢ $2 $-1 05-05 08:41
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026? No +4 $2 44¢ $2 +$0 05-05 19:28
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? Yes +5 $3 29¢ $1 $-1 05-04 23:14
Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027? Yes +10 $1 14¢ $1 +$0 05-04 22:44
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10? Yes +5 $1 13¢ $1 $-0 05-05 19:17
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? Yes +31 $1 $1 $-0 05-05 12:47
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10? Yes +5 $0 $0 $-0 05-05 19:17
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? Yes +5 $1 $0 $-1 05-05 12:47
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 5? Down +5 $1 $0 $-1 05-05 07:16
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? No +5 $1 $0 $-1 05-05 20:08