Realized P&L (24h)
+$6
Unrealized P&L
+$16
Hit rate
85.2%
Resolved (24h)
5
Trades (24h)
47
76 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$184
$373 lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$288
22 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-06 02:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
50% 33% +$3
Tech
21%
Sports
20% 80% +$21
Politics
9%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? No +75 $58 76¢ $58 $-0 05-06 00:29
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? Yes +46 $15 98¢ $46 +$31 05-05 12:47
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? No +45 $44 99¢ $45 +$0 05-04 21:34
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? No +40 $33 87¢ $35 +$2 05-05 22:35
Will Adam Hamilton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas? Yes +25 $16 72¢ $18 +$2 05-05 17:44
Will SpaceX have 14 or more launches in May? No +30 $20 48¢ $14 $-5 05-05 18:31
Will Pam Bondi be arrested before 2027? No +15 $13 92¢ $14 +$1 05-05 00:50
Will Trump visit China by May 15? Yes +15 $13 90¢ $13 +$1 05-05 07:05
Will Lisa Cook be arrested before 2027? No +10 $9 86¢ $9 +$0 05-05 09:20
Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +10 $7 76¢ $8 +$0 05-05 22:30
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +10 $6 70¢ $7 +$2 05-05 17:47
Will "Swapped" be the top US Netflix movie this week? Yes +17 $8 36¢ $6 $-2 05-06 02:24
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? Yes +15 $7 36¢ $5 $-2 05-05 21:59
Will Mike Thurmond win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election? Yes +25 $1 11¢ $3 +$2 05-04 21:44
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? No +5 $3 54¢ $3 $-0 05-05 08:41
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026? No +4 $2 48¢ $2 +$0 05-05 19:28
Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027? Yes +10 $1 14¢ $1 +$0 05-04 22:44
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? No +47 $14 $1 $-13 05-04 21:34
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10? Yes +5 $1 $0 $-0 05-05 19:17
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10? Yes +5 $0 $0 $-0 05-05 19:17
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? Yes +31 $1 $0 $-1 05-05 12:47
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? Yes +5 $1 $0 $-1 05-05 12:47