Agitated-Bricklaying 0x84cfff…cd2f63
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$8.52M
Unrealized P&L
-$50.2K
Hit rate
49.8%
Resolved
28,189
Trades
1,777,549
lifetime
Volume
$170.7M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$96
Open exposure
$264.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-24
last 10-26 00:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 174 days
Categories
Other
56% 40% -$6,210,784
Sports
44% 49% -$2,312,272
Politics
0% 50% +$29
Crypto
0% 61% +$5,700
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$629
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 16258 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Chicago Fire FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +99,516 $94,007 96¢ $95.3K +$1,279 07-21 05:54
Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +76,828 $73,601 99¢ $75.7K +$2,113 07-22 14:14
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +27,947 $12,388 66¢ $18.3K +$5,918 08-02 02:12
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +38,780 $21,919 34¢ $13.4K -$8,540 07-27 12:39
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +150,734 $27,453 8¢ $12.8K -$14,640 07-15 18:17
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +35,704 $19,307 34¢ $12.3K -$6,989 06-18 22:59
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +139,929 $24,388 8¢ $11.9K -$12,494 08-01 22:20
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +10,728 $4,714 66¢ $7.0K +$2,313 07-23 00:13
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? No +31,447 $28,447 16¢ $5.1K -$23,305 07-20 23:40
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? Yes +3,031 $187 84¢ $2.5K +$2,349 06-26 22:15
Will Houston Dynamo FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +2,393 $2,335 96¢ $2.3K -$30 06-24 21:07
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? Yes +10,704 $289 16¢ $1.7K +$1,445 06-28 23:26
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? No +2,044 $1,972 84¢ $1.7K -$260 06-12 02:04
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,030 $833 92¢ $942 +$109 06-25 23:03
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +3,662 $773 22¢ $787 +$14 10-02 23:19
Will New England Revolution win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +11,507 $148 4¢ $443 +$295 08-02 06:15
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +397 $322 92¢ $363 +$41 06-26 00:44
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +1,941 $428 16¢ $320 -$108 07-02 16:09
Will St. Louis City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +3,043 $15 6¢ $184 +$169 07-22 16:44
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +8,880 $169 2¢ $182 +$13 08-20 22:20
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +2,884 $116 6¢ $176 +$60 10-05 22:58
Will D.C. United win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +171 $169 100¢ $171 +$1 06-16 21:46
Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +140 $138 100¢ $140 +$2 06-12 13:08
Will Colorado Rapids win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +117 $116 100¢ $117 +$1 06-16 21:47
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +133 $110 84¢ $111 +$1 06-17 00:59
Will Portland Timbers win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +94 $94 100¢ $94 +$0 06-16 21:47
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +309 $39 13¢ $40 +$1 06-27 07:19
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +1,603 $20 2¢ $36 +$16 06-28 14:51
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +2,730 $22 1¢ $35 +$13 06-27 15:05
Will FC Dallas win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +358 $3 5¢ $19 +$16 06-27 15:05